Southern Tigers vs Central Districts Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025

Tip-off: 10:45

Final 75-89

9-19 21-31 28-16 17-23

Position#7

Record4-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game85.5

Southern Tigers

Central Districts Lions 🏆

Position#2

Record12-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game95.8

Allowed / game85.0

NBL1 Central

Other2025

Meetings · Southern Tigers v Central Districts Lions

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Central Districts Lions winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Adelaide Rockets

111-75

111

+36

H19/04

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

89-77

+12

A25/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

73-88

-15

H27/04

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

92-99

-7

H03/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

69-94

-25

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

86-98

-12

A24/05

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

81-93

-12

A31/05

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

82-67

+15

H14/06

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

72-79

-7

H21/06

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

83-88

-5

A22/06

NBL1 Central

25-21

31-18

29-22

26-14

17-18

21-20

25-20

26-19

26-21

15-21

10-25

22-21

22-31

20-27

28-22

22-19

11-24

15-27

23-27

20-16

22-32

22-18

23-31

19-17

23-22

13-19

16-27

29-25

28-24

13-15

21-13

20-15

24-19

11-18

17-22

20-20

20-23

16-23

27-24

20-18

169.6Avg total

83.8Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	82.7	85.5	168.2	-2.8	31%
Season at home (6)	81.8	82.3	164.2	-0.5	33%
Season away (7)	83.4	88.1	171.6	-4.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	85.8	169.6	-2.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	85.0	165.8	-4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	80.5	95.1	175.6	-14.5	6%
vs Similar (7)	74.9	82.3	157.1	-7.4	14%
vs Weaker (6)	91.2	77.5	168.7	+13.7	83%

This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Central Districts Lions Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South Adelaide Panthers

99-83

+16

H17/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

78-103

103

-25

A25/04

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

100-86

100

+14

H27/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

82-77

H03/05

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

87-77

+10

A11/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

98-86

+12

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

89-76

+13

A31/05

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

109-86

109

+23

H14/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

103-91

103

+12

A15/06

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

120-87

120

+33

H21/06

NBL1 Central

31-24

15-27

20-12

33-20

23-34

20-21

21-17

14-31

25-27

34-20

15-24

26-15

20-20

18-17

26-20

18-20

31-20

15-19

15-26

26-12

32-22

18-22

31-23

17-19

27-25

25-22

16-8

21-21

25-29

22-20

27-15

35-22

27-29

27-19

25-12

24-31

24-19

30-29

33-12

33-27

181.7Avg total

96.5Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	95.8	85.0	180.8	+10.8	92%
Season at home (7)	100.4	85.4	185.9	+15.0	100%
Season away (6)	90.5	84.5	175.0	+6.0	83%
Last 10 (10)	96.5	85.2	181.7	+11.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	103.8	85.2	189.0	+18.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	92.6	102.2	194.8	-9.7	11%
vs Similar (2)	91.0	96.0	187.0	-5.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	98.5	86.7	185.2	+11.8	95%

This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Southern TigersCentral Districts Lions

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.4	42.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.9	43.1	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.5	45.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.0	47.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.5	41%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	20.1	39.9	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.3	20.7	45.0	+3.7	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	23.9	48.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	24.4	48.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.0	23.5	48.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.5	24.9	51.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	24.8	51.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	24.8	25.6	50.3	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	25.5	49.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.4	23.0	47.4	+1.4	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	23.3	42.7	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.6	33.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	24.2	44.1	-4.3	41%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	19.3	38.2	-0.5	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	23.2	47.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	23.0	47.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.4	46.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.4	24.8	47.2	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	21.5	45.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.6	22.6	47.2	+2.1	58%	-

Southern TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Adelaide Rockets

56-39

+17

H19/04

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

38-38

A25/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

41-42

-1

H27/04

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

42-58

-16

H03/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

26-51

-25

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

44-50

-6

A24/05

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

36-41

-5

A31/05

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

41-39

H14/06

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

35-37

-2

H21/06

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

36-46

-10

A22/06

NBL1 Central

83.6Avg total

39.5Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	44.2	84.9	-3.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	44.3	84.9	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	44.1	85.0	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	44.1	83.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	42.6	81.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.6	46.4	87.1	-5.8	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.7	42.6	81.3	-3.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	83%	-

This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Central Districts LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South Adelaide Panthers

46-51

-5

H17/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

43-55

-12

A25/04

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

59-47

+12

H27/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

38-37

H03/05

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

46-39

A11/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

50-44

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

52-47

A31/05

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

47-49

-2

H14/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

54-48

A15/06

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

54-48

H21/06

NBL1 Central

95.4Avg total

48.9Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	47.1	95.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.8	47.4	96.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.0	46.8	94.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	46.5	95.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	47.2	98.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	47.2	50.3	97.6	-3.1	44%	-
vs Similar (2)	48.0	47.0	95.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	49.0	45.6	94.6	+3.4	68%	-

This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	23.3	44.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	24.4	44.5	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.1	43.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	23.3	45.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.1	24.9	45.1	-4.8	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.7	21.9	39.6	-4.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	26.3	20.2	46.5	+6.2	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	21.4	45.1	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.0	21.8	46.8	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.9	43.5	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	16.9	39.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	14.0	40.4	+12.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.2	23.9	47.1	-0.7	56%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.0	18.5	46.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.6	20.5	44.1	+3.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.7	42.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.6	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	16.7	34.9	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	23.5	47.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	21.9	47.0	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	25.1	48.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	21.8	46.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.1	28.0	50.1	-5.9	11%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	30.5	45.5	-15.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.9	20.6	46.5	+5.3	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	43.5	83.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	43.2	81.1	-5.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	43.9	86.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	41.7	86.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	42.4	84.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.2	47.7	86.9	-8.5	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.9	38.6	74.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	48.0	37.5	85.5	+10.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.8	44.9	92.7	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	50.1	43.7	93.8	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.5	46.0	91.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	38.7	86.3	+8.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.4	38.0	90.4	+14.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	45.3	51.9	97.2	-6.6	22%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.0	49.0	92.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	49.5	41.1	90.6	+8.4	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Southern Tigers wins

Central Districts Lions wins

Date	Game	Score
24/05/25	Central Districts Lions v Southern Tigers	98-86
16/06/24	Southern Tigers v Central Districts Lions	96-102
13/04/24	Central Districts Lions v Southern Tigers	99-93
17/06/23	Central Districts Lions v Southern Tigers	100-73
22/04/23	Southern Tigers v Central Districts Lions	80-104
06/08/22	Southern Tigers v Central Districts Lions	81-111
07/05/22	Central Districts Lions v Southern Tigers	88-95
10/07/21	Southern Tigers v Central Districts Lions	65-90
01/05/21	Central Districts Lions v Southern Tigers	76-87

Southern Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/25	A	North Adelaide Rockets	83-88
21/06/25	H	Eastern Mavericks	72-79
14/06/25	H	Norwood Flames	82-67
31/05/25	A	South Adelaide Panthers	81-93
24/05/25	A	Central Districts Lions	86-98
10/05/25	A	Woodville Warriors	69-94
03/05/25	H	Sturt Sabres	92-99
27/04/25	H	Forestville Eagles	73-88
25/04/25	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	89-77
19/04/25	H	North Adelaide Rockets	111-75

Central Districts Lionslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/06/25	H	North Adelaide Rockets	120-87
15/06/25	A	South Adelaide Panthers	103-91
14/06/25	H	Sturt Sabres	109-86
31/05/25	A	Eastern Mavericks	89-76
24/05/25	H	Southern Tigers	98-86
11/05/25	A	Norwood Flames	87-77
03/05/25	H	Woodville Warriors	82-77
27/04/25	H	West Adelaide Bearcats	100-86
25/04/25	A	Forestville Eagles	78-103
17/04/25	H	South Adelaide Panthers	99-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Tigers

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	31%
Home	WLLWL	33%
Away	WLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	31%	33%	29%
Points / game	82.7	81.8	83.4
Allowed / game	85.5	82.3	88.1
Point differential	-2.8	-0.5	-4.7
Avg total	168.2	164.2	171.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	33%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Central Districts Lions

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	95.8	100.4	90.5
Allowed / game	85.0	85.4	84.5
Point differential	+10.8	+15.0	+6.0
Avg total	180.8	185.9	175.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	71%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Central Districts Lions	13	12	1	92%	95.8	85.0	+10.8
2	Forestville Eagles	14	12	2	86%	93.2	77.8	+15.4
3	Woodville Warriors	13	9	4	69%	81.1	78.5	+2.6
4	South Adelaide Panthers	13	8	5	62%	86.0	81.9	+4.1
5	West Adelaide Bearcats	13	6	7	46%	84.5	85.3	-0.8
6	Sturt Sabres	14	5	9	36%	89.4	91.9	-2.4
7	Eastern Mavericks	14	5	9	36%	82.3	88.1	-5.8
8	Southern Tigers	13	4	9	31%	82.7	85.5	-2.8
9	North Adelaide Rockets	13	3	10	23%	76.2	91.4	-15.2
10	Norwood Flames	14	3	11	21%	80.0	86.1	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Southern Tigers	9	21	28	17	75
Central Districts Lions	19	31	16	23	89

← all games of the day

Southern Tigers vs Central Districts Lions Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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