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Spain vs Slovakia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-71
22-18 25-14 24-25 13-14
Position#22
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game69.7
Spain 🏆
vs
Position#23
Record8-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Pazo dos Deportes Paco Paz
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovakia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Iceland
#31
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 59
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
53-58
53
58
-5
51avg 59
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
63avg 59
A22/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-14
19-15
18-13
16-13
13-20
15-19
24-20
24-17
29-17
20-13
21-17
21-22
29-20
14-17
32-19
16-17
27-17
21-18
21-13
16-17
16-12
26-18
11-27
21-21
27-17
25-23
12-27
14-23
23-17
20-17
18-22
14-11
12-8
13-21
14-18
14-10
24-15
10-21
11-13
149.2Avg total
78.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.069.7137.7-1.733%
Season at home (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
Season away (2)64.565.0129.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.171.1149.2+7.050%
Last 5 (5)71.674.2145.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.080.0155.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.576.8155.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (22)87.371.7159.0+15.691%
This opponent (Slovakia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlovakiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovakia
Date
Competition
Norway
#28
W
68-56
68
56
+12
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
A22/07
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
86-63
86
63
+23
no box
H26/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
83-58
83
58
+25
no box
H02/08
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
A05/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
60-75
60
75
-15
55avg 57
H22/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
52-64
52
64
-12
40avg 57
A25/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
64avg 57
H22/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
20-13
14-13
18-10
22-15
22-23
17-8
21-27
12-21
21-14
26-14
13-22
18-10
13-19
23-24
15-12
30-27
16-10
19-3
21-23
19-13
19-18
23-16
22-11
15-21
26-13
28-15
20-15
13-25
23-15
18-24
6-11
10-15
17-16
11-14
14-19
10-14
15-24
21-10
13-11
139.8Avg total
73.3Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.169.3142.4+3.862%
Season at home (7)75.071.7146.7+3.357%
Season away (6)70.866.5137.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)73.366.5139.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)71.267.4138.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.978.2144.1-12.414%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.570.2143.7+3.364%
vs Weaker (2)87.563.5151.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Spain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
SpainSlovakia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland
#31
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A23/02
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H26/08
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/11
EuroBasket
72.6Avg total
39.9Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.034.776.7+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.435.679.0+7.869%-
Last 30 away (14)40.433.674.0+6.786%-
Last 10 (10)39.932.772.6+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.266.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.834.573.2+4.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.232.070.2+6.2100%-
vs Weaker (22)43.235.278.5+8.073%-
This opponent (Slovakia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlovakiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#28
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A13/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/07
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H02/08
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A25/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H22/11
EuroBasket
70.3Avg total
35.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.438.072.4-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.539.173.6-4.638%-
Last 30 away (14)34.336.771.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.670.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.868.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.541.174.6-7.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.035.169.1-1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)43.535.579.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Spain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.315.0
38.1%
50.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.0
28.0%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws25.015.7
62.7%
71.4%15.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slovakiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovakia: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.415.7
48.5%
50.6%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.0
31.8%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.813.9
70.2%
71.4%13.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain
WLLLLWWWLW
Slovakia
LLLWWWWWWW
#22
League position
#23
-3.1
Net rating
+9.5
89.3
Offensive rating
100.9
92.5
Defensive rating
91.4
39.6%
Effective FG%
48.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.0%
3-point %
31.8%
75.8%
Assist %
71.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 100.9Defence92.5 · 91.4Shooting39.6% · 48.1%3-point %28.0% · 31.8%Ball care18.3% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Spain   ■ Slovakia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Spain wins
0
Slovakia wins
DateGameScore
22/11/24Slovakia v Spain72-76 OT
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24ASlovakia76-72 OT
25/02/24ABelgium53-58
22/02/24HLatvia75-79
03/09/23HCanada85-88
01/09/23HLatvia69-74
30/08/23AIran85-65
28/08/23ABrazil96-78
26/08/23HIvory Coast94-64
26/02/23HItaly68-72
23/02/23AIceland80-61
Slovakialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HSpain72-76 OT
25/02/24ALatvia52-64
22/02/24HBelgium60-75
05/08/23AAlbania89-64
02/08/23HRomania83-58
26/07/23HAlbania86-63
22/07/23ARomania69-65
26/02/23ADenmark72-71
23/02/23HNorth Macedonia82-73
13/11/22ANorway68-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game68.075.064.5
Allowed / game69.779.065.0
Point differential-1.7-4.0-0.5
Avg total137.7154.0129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Slovakia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game73.175.070.8
Allowed / game69.371.766.5
Point differential+3.8+3.3+4.3
Avg total142.4146.7137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia440100%80.856.8+24.0
2 Italy330100%88.371.0+17.3
3 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
4 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
5 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
6 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
7 Montenegro43175%82.875.8+7.0
8 Turkey43175%82.276.0+6.2
9 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
10 Israel43175%81.276.5+4.8
11 Slovenia43175%83.079.0+4.0
12 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
13 Portugal107370%82.773.0+9.7
14 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
15 Bulgaria149564%78.674.4+4.2
16 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
17 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
18 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
19 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
20 Germany42250%74.865.5+9.2
21 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
22 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
23 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
24 Denmark189950%74.473.6+0.8
25 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
26 Sweden42250%72.079.2-7.2
27 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
28 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
29 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
30 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
31 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Iceland31233%72.078.7-6.7
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
37 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
38 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
39 Ukraine4040%74.585.0-10.5
40 Hungary4040%67.281.5-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain2225241384
Slovakia1814251471
← all games of the day
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