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Spain W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 75-86
18-26 18-20 21-23 18-17
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Spain W
vs
Japan W 🏆
Position#13
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Novomatic Arena Sopron
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Romania W
#31
W
75-32
75
32
+43
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
88-34
88
34
+54
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
no box
A15/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
78-57
78
57
+21
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
67-42
67
42
+25
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 76
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 76
H12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
20-6
19-8
18-5
18-10
28-10
24-6
18-8
15-17
13-20
19-18
16-12
19-14
23-15
10-22
26-6
20-18
15-9
20-22
21-11
20-7
13-9
20-13
14-13
18-14
20-14
12-18
19-14
17-13
15-12
16-18
10-21
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
123.4Avg total
71.9Scored
51.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.951.5123.4+20.480%
Last 5 (5)67.853.0120.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.075.6141.6-9.60%
vs Similar (4)63.862.0125.8+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.355.2134.6+24.195%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Philippines W
#7
W
95-57
95
57
+38
99avg 85
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
91-66
91
66
+25
87avg 85
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
88-52
88
52
+36
83avg 85
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 85
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
21-17
17-17
29-9
15-21
29-11
26-19
21-15
24-11
23-14
19-13
22-14
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
20-15
20-18
16-11
25-14
16-26
24-19
11-12
21-17
145.5Avg total
89.3Scored
56.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.356.2145.5+33.180%
Last 5 (5)86.053.6139.6+32.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.276.3149.5-3.145%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (17)89.458.2147.6+31.288%
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +9.8+9.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +8.3+8.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +9.8+9.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +8.3+8.3
Spain WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania W
#31
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A09/02
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A12/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A15/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
61.9Avg total
36.7Scored
25.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.828.164.8+8.777%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.327.165.3+11.283%-
Last 30 away (12)34.529.664.1+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)36.725.261.9+11.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.624.059.6+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.032.261.2-3.260%-
vs Similar (4)30.229.059.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.926.966.8+13.081%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines W
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
Asian Games Women
76.6Avg total
47.2Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.834.174.9+6.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.933.475.3+8.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.734.874.5+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)47.229.476.6+17.890%-
Last 5 (5)45.230.475.6+14.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.840.375.1-5.59%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (17)46.030.276.2+15.894%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀71%
🏀🏀🏀10%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 71% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers7.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.025.5
49.0%
45.1%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.02.5
14.7%
30.1%7.5
🏀 Free throws16.513.0
78.8%
74.5%13.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
45.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.8
40.8%
30.1%41.4
🏀 Free throws10.28.8
86.3%
74.5%8.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/5 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
WWLWWWWLWW
Japan W
LWWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#13
+28.9
Net rating
+36.5
93.8
Offensive rating
120.8
64.9
Defensive rating
84.2
42.4%
Effective FG%
56.7%
37.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.15
14.7%
3-point %
40.8%
85.7%
Assist %
69.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 120.8Defence64.9 · 84.2Shooting42.4% · 56.7%3-point %14.7% · 40.8%Ball care17.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.15Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Spain W   ■ Japan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Spain W wins
0
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
27/09/14Japan W v Spain W50-74
27/09/10Japan W v Spain W59-86
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
25/06/23HBelgium W58-64
24/06/23HHungary W69-60
22/06/23HGermany W67-42
18/06/23HGreece W76-60
16/06/23HMontenegro W78-57
15/06/23ALatvia W63-67
12/02/23AIceland W88-34
09/02/23ARomania W75-32
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23AChina W72-74
03/10/23HSouth Korea W81-58
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73
01/07/23HNew Zealand W88-52
28/06/23AAustralia W91-66
27/06/23APhilippines W95-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Japan W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%88.040.0+48.0
2 China W110100%94.047.0+47.0
3 Canada W330100%76.053.3+22.7
4 Puerto Rico W42250%63.275.2-12.0
5 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
6 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
7 New Zealand W1010%47.094.0-47.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain W1818211875
Japan W2620231786
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