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China W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 73-71
17-17 9-18 22-16 25-20
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game57.8
China W 🏆
vs
Japan W
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game57.0
EuropeAsia Cup WomenAsia Cup Women - Final· Sydney Olympic Park Sports Halls
Women2023Neutral venue
Meetings · China W v Japan W
05 Oct 2023
CHIN74
JAPA72
02 Jul 2023
CHIN73
JAPA71
28 Jul 2017
CHIN71
JAPA74
31 Oct 2013
CHIN55
JAPA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

China WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
USA W
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
A24/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
H26/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
81-55
81
55
+26
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H29/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
61-59
61
59
+2
no box
A30/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
no box
H01/10
World Cup Women
Lebanon W
#6
W
89-44
89
44
+45
90avg 78
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
80-46
80
46
+34
80avg 78
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
no box
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
74-60
74
60
+14
64avg 78
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
12-26
22-12
16-21
25-15
26-10
21-17
23-18
17-14
18-14
19-17
27-10
25-25
25-14
16-19
19-13
13-17
23-13
11-14
14-15
13-18
20-25
14-25
14-15
24-21
18-9
22-2
25-12
18-13
15-7
32-7
15-19
12-21
20-17
21-16
19-18
18-11
17-21
18-11
21-17
141.2Avg total
77.6Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.557.8140.2+24.8100%
Season at home (3)83.361.7145.0+21.7100%
Season away (1)80.046.0126.0+34.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.663.6141.2+14.080%
Last 5 (5)78.262.8141.0+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.575.0140.5-9.525%
vs Similar (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (25)88.962.1151.0+26.892%
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
89-56
89
56
+33
no box
H22/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
A23/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
56-70
56
70
-14
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
53-67
53
67
-14
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
54-71
54
71
-17
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
94-53
94
53
+41
98avg 92
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
95-57
95
57
+38
99avg 92
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
91-66
91
66
+25
87avg 92
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
88-52
88
52
+36
83avg 92
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
23-18
24-26
12-23
21-18
26-11
19-15
23-12
9-24
25-14
12-16
18-15
12-20
13-21
14-20
17-9
5-16
21-13
18-19
9-19
18-16
16-20
9-20
11-15
21-14
19-17
26-12
28-10
28-14
21-17
17-17
29-9
15-21
29-11
26-19
21-15
24-11
23-14
19-13
22-14
141.4Avg total
76.6Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.057.0149.0+35.0100%
Season at home (2)91.052.5143.5+38.5100%
Season away (2)93.061.5154.5+31.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.664.8141.4+11.850%
Last 5 (5)84.459.8144.2+24.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.377.9152.2-3.645%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.958.8145.8+28.194%
This opponent (China W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
China WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
China WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USA W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A24/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H26/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H27/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H29/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A30/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H01/10
World Cup Women
Lebanon W
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
70.1Avg total
37.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.132.375.3+10.880%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.334.277.5+9.171%-
Last 30 away (13)42.829.772.5+13.192%-
Last 10 (10)37.232.970.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.667.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.239.073.2-4.850%-
vs Similar (1)35.032.067.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (25)44.831.276.0+13.684%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A13/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
72.2Avg total
39.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.972.0+4.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.631.870.5+6.859%-
Last 30 away (13)37.436.674.0+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.233.072.2+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.831.073.8+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.874.1-5.59%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.530.171.6+11.482%-
This opponent (China W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
China Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China W: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.8 points a game
54%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.0
51.6%
45.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.3
34.2%
32.9%25.0
🏀 Free throws11.710.0
85.7%
76.0%10.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.8 points a game
54%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.2
58.3%
45.4%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.214.5
41.1%
32.9%43.5
🏀 Free throws10.89.0
83.7%
76.0%9.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 02 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China W
WWWWLWWWWL
Japan W
WWWWLLLLWL
#1
League position
#2
+39.8
Net rating
+46.9
110.9
Offensive rating
126.6
71.1
Defensive rating
79.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
60.1%
35.1%
Opp. effective FG%
41.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.16
34.2%
3-point %
41.1%
76.9%
Assist %
69.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 126.6Defence71.1 · 79.6Shooting51.5% · 60.1%3-point %34.2% · 41.1%Ball care13.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds32.7% · 33.3%Free throws0.17 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ China W   ■ Japan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
China W wins
6
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
03/10/21Japan W v China W78-73
29/09/19Japan W v China W71-68
30/08/18Japan W v China W74-86
17/08/18Japan W v China W73-105
28/07/17China W v Japan W71-74
05/09/15Japan W v China W85-50
01/09/15Japan W v China W57-56
31/10/13China W v Japan W55-62
China Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/23HAustralia W74-60
28/06/23HSouth Korea W87-81 OT
27/06/23ANew Zealand W80-46
26/06/23HLebanon W89-44
01/10/22HUSA W61-83
30/09/22AAustralia W61-59
29/09/22HFrance W85-71
27/09/22HBelgium W81-55
26/09/22HPuerto Rico W95-60
24/09/22AUSA W63-77
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/23HNew Zealand W88-52
28/06/23AAustralia W91-66
27/06/23APhilippines W95-57
26/06/23HChinese Taipei W94-53
27/09/22AAustralia W54-71
26/09/22AFrance W53-67
25/09/22HCanada W56-70
23/09/22ASerbia W64-69
22/09/22HMali W89-56
13/02/22ABosnia & Herzegovina W82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China W
Asia Cup Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.583.380.0
Allowed / game57.861.746.0
Point differential+24.8+21.7+34.0
Avg total140.2145.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%33%0%
Japan W
Asia Cup Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.091.093.0
Allowed / game57.052.561.5
Point differential+35.0+38.5+31.5
Avg total149.0143.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Japan W440100%92.057.0+35.0
2 China W440100%82.557.8+24.8
3 Australia W64267%82.361.2+21.2
4 New Zealand W63350%63.772.7-9.0
5 South Korea W52340%73.073.8-0.8
6 Lebanon W41325%54.578.5-24.0
7 Philippines W51420%66.488.8-22.4
8 Chinese Taipei W4040%63.088.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China W179222573
Japan W1718162071
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