Spirou Basket W host Lummen W on 6 November 2026 in the Top Division Women, and the Pythia model names Spirou the clear favourite, assigning it a 93% chance to win because of their dominant 0-3 record, 46.0 points per game and 86.0 points allowed per game, while Lummen sits 11th with a 0-4 record, 51.0 points per game and 95.5 points allowed per game; Spirou's home record of 0-1, 50.0 points scored and 68.0 points allowed, and Lummen's road record of 0-2, 44.5 points scored and 105.0 points allowed, both illustrate the gap. Spirou's last five games show one win and four losses, including a 50-68 defeat at home to Liege W, while Lummen's last five are all losses, the most recent being a 35-121 loss away to Namur W. In their four previous meetings Spirou has won every encounter, most recently 59-50 on 1 May 2026. Pythia projects a 77-60 score, 137.1 total points, a 93% probability for Spirou to win, a 7% chance for Lummen, a home line of -8.5 with a 78% chance Spirou covers, an over line of 128.0 with a 72% chance of the over, and a 2% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Spirou's ability to keep the margin above eight points.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 46.0 | 86.0 | 132.0 | -40.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 50.0 | 68.0 | 118.0 | -18.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 44.0 | 95.0 | 139.0 | -51.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.7 | 57.4 | 103.1 | -11.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.6 | 76.0 | 124.6 | -27.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 50.7 | 75.4 | 126.0 | -24.7 | 10% |
| vs Similar (2) | 66.5 | 64.5 | 131.0 | +2.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 53.0 | 40.1 | 93.1 | +12.9 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 51.0 | 95.5 | 146.5 | -44.5 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 57.5 | 86.0 | 143.5 | -28.5 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 44.5 | 105.0 | 149.5 | -60.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.4 | 66.5 | 114.9 | -18.1 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.8 | 88.2 | 139.0 | -37.4 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (30) | 48.5 | 85.8 | 134.3 | -37.3 | 7% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 63.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (28) | 27.6 | 35.3 | 62.9 | -7.7 | 25% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 26.9 | 33.6 | 60.5 | -6.7 | 23% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 28.1 | 36.7 | 64.9 | -8.6 | 27% | 47% |
| Last 10 (8) | 25.5 | 33.4 | 58.9 | -7.9 | 12% | 12% |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.4 | 36.6 | 63.0 | -10.2 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 25.9 | 38.3 | 64.2 | -12.4 | 10% | 48% |
| vs Similar (2) | 28.5 | 30.5 | 59.0 | -2.0 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 34.2 | 24.6 | 58.8 | +9.6 | 80% | 20% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 63.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (27) | 23.9 | 46.8 | 70.6 | -22.9 | 7% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 24.3 | 43.9 | 68.2 | -19.6 | 7% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 23.4 | 49.8 | 73.2 | -26.5 | 8% | 77% |
| Last 10 (8) | 24.4 | 40.8 | 65.1 | -16.4 | 25% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 23.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | -20.0 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 23.9 | 46.8 | 70.6 | -22.9 | 7% | 67% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spirou Basket W over 68 | 83.1% | 1.69 | 1.69 | - | - | - | - | +32.2pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 68.5 | 80.9% | 1.72 | 1.87 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +28.9pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 67.5 | 83.5% | 1.64 | 1.80 | 1.48 | - | - | - | +28.8pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 70 | 77.3% | 1.74 | 1.74 | - | - | - | - | +27.9pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W -9 | 77.3% | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - | +27.8pp | Won |
| Spirou Basket W over 69.5 | 78.0% | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.67 | - | - | - | +27.2pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 69 | 80.3% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +27.0pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 71 | 74.1% | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | - | - | +27.0pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W -8.5 | 77.9% | 1.77 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.65 | - | +26.9pp | Won |
| Spirou Basket W over 70.5 | 74.9% | 1.82 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.80 | - | - | +26.2pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W -10.5 | 72.2% | 1.88 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.83 | - | - | +23.7pp | Won |
| Spirou Basket W over 66.5 | 85.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W -9.5 | 75.1% | 1.78 | 1.84 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 1.73 | - | +23.5pp | Won |
| Spirou Basket W -7.5 | 80.4% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +23.4pp | Won |
| Spirou Basket W over 72 | 70.6% | 1.80 | 1.80 | - | - | - | - | +22.6pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 65.5 | 88.0% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +22.4pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W -6.5 | 82.8% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Won |
| Over 127.5 | 72.3% | 1.84 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.79 | - | +22.3pp | Lost |
| Over 128 | 71.7% | 1.75 | 1.75 | - | - | - | - | +21.8pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 71.5 | 71.6% | 1.86 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.80 | - | - | +21.6pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W over 64.5 | 89.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +21.0pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W -5.5 | 85.0% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Over 126.5 | 74.3% | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | - | - | +20.8pp | Lost |
| Over 128.5 | 70.2% | 1.79 | 1.91 | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.59 | - | +20.4pp | Lost |
| Spirou Basket W -4.5 | 87.1% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +19.6pp | Won |
| Spirou Basket W (regulation) | 91.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +17.7pp | Won |
| Spirou Basket W win | 93.0% | 1.18 | 1.29 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +16.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 98.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | - |
| Lummen W under 65.5 | 71.2% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.8 | 15.1 | 46.8% | 30.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 15.3 | 3.5 | 31.5% | 10.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.1 | 9.0 | 71.8% | 9.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.4 | 15.9 | 46.8% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 16.1 | 4.2 | 31.5% | 12.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 11.0 | 71.8% | 11.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 | Lummen W v Spirou Basket W | 50-59 |
| 17/04/26 | Spirou Basket W v Lummen W | 75-68 |
| 13/12/25 | Lummen W v Spirou Basket W | 44-67 |
| 12/09/25 | Spirou Basket W v Lummen W | 74-59 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/26 | A | Phantoms W | 54-90 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Liege W | 50-68 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Kortrijk W | 34-100 |
| 01/05/26 | A | Lummen W | 59-50 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Waregem W | 46-72 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Charleroi W | 20-0 |
| 17/04/26 | H | Lummen W | 75-68 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Waregem W | 52-48 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Charleroi W | 20-0 |
| 03/04/26 | H | Kortrijk W | 47-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | H | Phantoms W | 64-84 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Liege W | 54-89 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Namur W | 35-121 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Kortrijk W | 51-88 |
| 01/05/26 | H | Spirou Basket W | 50-59 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Charleroi W | 20-0 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Waregem W | 54-78 |
| 17/04/26 | A | Spirou Basket W | 68-75 |
| 15/04/26 | H | Charleroi W | 20-0 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Waregem W | 68-71 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 46.0 | 50.0 | 44.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.0 | 68.0 | 95.0 |
| Point differential | -40.0 | -18.0 | -51.0 |
| Avg total | 132.0 | 118.0 | 139.0 |
| Over 127.5 | 67% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 51.0 | 57.5 | 44.5 |
| Allowed / game | 95.5 | 86.0 | 105.0 |
| Point differential | -44.5 | -28.5 | -60.5 |
| Avg total | 146.5 | 143.5 | 149.5 |
| Over 127.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 90.5 | 61.8 | +28.8 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 88.6 | 73.2 | +15.4 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.6 | 58.4 | +30.2 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 77.6 | 64.2 | +13.4 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 82.0 | 64.0 | +18.0 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 67.7 | 68.2 | -0.5 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.6 | 82.0 | -7.4 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 69.6 | 74.8 | -5.2 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 62.8 | 88.5 | -25.7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 46.0 | 86.0 | -40.0 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 51.0 | 95.5 | -44.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 63 | |
| 7 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 45 |
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