PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sporting CP vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 62-70
21-15 15-20 13-23 13-12
Position#24
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game80.1
vs
PAOK 🏆
Position#5
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Arena Savaria
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Vechta
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 79
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valcea
#38
W
102-61
102
61
+41
105avg 79
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 79
H01/11
LPB
Sassari
#23
L
72-89
72
89
-17
61avg 79
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
127-86
127
86
+41
134avg 79
A09/11
LPB
Vechta
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
71avg 79
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 79
H15/11
LPB
Valcea
#38
W
121-67
121
67
+54
130avg 79
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
82avg 79
A06/12
LPB
Bilbao
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 79
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
26-17
10-30
23-24
27-12
26-19
24-21
25-9
28-13
15-21
18-14
17-16
20-24
21-31
21-17
10-17
42-21
25-19
21-20
39-26
20-24
14-23
17-18
27-10
27-18
18-24
24-16
19-16
37-20
31-21
24-17
29-9
25-22
25-23
17-27
20-23
23-26
15-23
25-25
16-20
171.7Avg total
91.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.780.1167.9+7.657%
Season at home (3)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Season away (4)83.885.5169.2-1.825%
Last 10 (10)91.480.3171.7+11.160%
Last 5 (5)90.681.0171.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.488.3163.8-12.922%
vs Similar (7)77.081.3158.3-4.343%
vs Weaker (14)94.976.6171.6+18.386%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 76
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 76
A01/11
Basket League
Trepca
#41
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 76
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 76
A09/11
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
102avg 76
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
89avg 76
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 76
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 76
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 76
A14/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
23-25
18-22
20-23
14-13
27-20
19-23
18-17
16-16
21-22
20-16
20-21
18-23
13-17
27-14
20-22
29-21
26-21
25-33
24-21
30-23
20-18
13-17
25-29
17-23
24-25
15-25
25-19
16-16
27-18
21-17
18-19
19-25
28-21
27-15
27-9
31-20
28-17
21-28
17-22
167.9Avg total
86.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.783.3173.0+6.486%
Season at home (4)94.581.8176.2+12.8100%
Season away (3)83.385.3168.7-2.067%
Last 10 (10)86.581.4167.9+5.180%
Last 5 (5)89.881.2171.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.984.8167.7-1.933%
vs Similar (13)83.682.1165.7+1.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.975.9161.7+10.0100%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Sporting CPPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valcea
#38
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H01/11
LPB
Sassari
#23
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A09/11
LPB
Vechta
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/11
LPB
Valcea
#38
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A06/12
LPB
Bilbao
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
91.6Avg total
48.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.183.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.939.783.6+4.267%-
Last 30 away (18)43.740.384.0+3.361%-
Last 10 (10)48.842.891.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.891.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.943.480.3-6.622%-
vs Similar (7)42.039.481.4+2.657%-
vs Weaker (14)49.138.287.3+10.993%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/11
Basket League
Trepca
#41
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/11
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A14/12
Basket League
84.7Avg total
44.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.581.2+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.982.4+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.280.1-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.284.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.289.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.943.279.1-7.322%-
vs Similar (13)41.840.181.8+1.769%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.339.383.6+5.071%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.6
55.1%
52.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.3
35.1%
34.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.915.1
72.2%
73.4%15.1
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.1
55.8%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.4
35.2%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.815.1
80.3%
73.4%15.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
LLWWWWLWWL
PAOK
WWWLWWWWWL
#24
League position
#5
+13.9
Net rating
+6.9
119.4
Offensive rating
115.1
105.5
Defensive rating
108.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
35.2%
63.9%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 115.1Defence105.5 · 108.2Shooting54.0% · 54.6%3-point %35.1% · 35.2%Ball care14.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds38.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Sporting CP   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sporting CP wins
0
PAOK wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25ABilbao79-94
06/12/25AEsgueira87-95
19/11/25HValcea121-67
15/11/25HBraga88-74
12/11/25HVechta78-75
09/11/25AGalitos Barreiro127-86
04/11/25ASassari72-89
01/11/25HOvarense78-64
29/10/25AValcea102-61
22/10/25AVechta82-98
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25AMaroussi97-87
10/12/25HBC Prievidza101-70
06/12/25HKolossos Rhodes82-70
23/11/25HOlympiacos81-92
19/11/25HBasketball Braunschweig88-87
12/11/25HAnwil Wloclawek104-96
09/11/25AAEK Athens78-76
05/11/25ATrepca77-75
01/11/25AAris78-73
29/10/25ABasketball Braunschweig79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game87.793.083.8
Allowed / game80.173.085.5
Point differential+7.6+20.0-1.8
Avg total167.9166.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game89.794.583.3
Allowed / game83.381.885.3
Point differential+6.4+12.8-2.0
Avg total173.0176.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao87188%99.267.5+31.8
2 Murcia87188%87.171.0+16.1
3 Peristeri87188%89.474.9+14.5
4 Rostock87188%89.575.8+13.8
5 PAOK76186%89.783.3+6.4
6 Petkim Spor86275%86.273.2+13.0
7 KK Bosna107370%79.873.9+5.9
8 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
9 Basket Zaragoza85362%90.879.9+10.9
10 Reggiana85362%84.874.8+10.0
11 Cedevita Junior85362%87.980.9+7.0
12 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
13 CSM Oradea85362%80.480.0+0.4
14 Sporting CP74357%87.780.1+7.6
15 Sassari84450%86.479.4+7.0
16 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
17 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
18 Trefl Sopot84450%87.684.8+2.9
19 BC Prievidza105550%83.982.0+1.9
20 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
21 Szombathely84450%82.282.2+0.0
22 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
23 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
24 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
25 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
26 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sporting CP2115131362
PAOK1520231270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.