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St. Marys (CA) vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 04:59
Final 68-63
35-38 33-25
Position#33
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#80
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#32
W
89-45
89
45
+44
H14/03
NIT
Washington
#14
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H20/03
NIT
Utah Utes
#2
L
58-67 OT
58
67
-9
H22/03
NIT
Lehigh
#309
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H24/11
NCAA
Utah State
#45
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#191
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#140
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Dayton
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H08/12
NCAA
California
#284
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A15/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#92
W
96-56
96
56
+40
A19/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
24-11
25-15
21-11
20-13
21-22
26-18
18-28
14-14
14-14
11-6
15-20
0-0
35-32
0-0
42-34
0-0
34-36
0-0
47-37
0-0
35-39
0-0
40-27
0-0
30-22
0-0
31-27
0-0
25-46
0-0
43-32
0-0
45-29
0-0
44-48
0-0
51-19
0-0
45-37
143.7Avg total
77.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.166.4144.6+11.786%
Season at home (5)72.466.4138.8+6.080%
Season away (2)92.566.5159.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.965.8143.7+12.180%
Last 5 (5)77.865.2143.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.069.0125.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.067.0138.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (7)77.366.0143.3+11.386%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A29/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H31/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H02/04
CBI
Fordham
#336
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H22/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#136
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H05/12
NCAA
Air Force
#273
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A07/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#20
L
42-75
42
75
-33
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#137
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H19/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-38
0-0
47-48
0-0
33-27
0-0
44-41
0-0
41-34
0-0
34-41
0-0
38-28
0-0
36-32
0-0
49-31
0-0
35-28
0-0
42-24
0-0
35-38
0-0
53-29
0-0
45-38
0-0
53-42
0-0
47-43
0-0
22-34
0-0
20-41
0-0
41-35
0-0
50-38
152.8Avg total
81.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.968.7149.6+12.186%
Season at home (4)86.864.8151.5+22.0100%
Season away (3)73.074.0147.0-1.067%
Last 10 (10)81.171.7152.8+9.480%
Last 5 (5)81.672.4154.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.775.3133.0-17.733%
vs Similar ◀ (1)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (10)85.471.2156.6+14.290%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
St. Marys (CA)Nevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#32
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H14/03
NIT
Washington
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/03
NIT
Utah Utes
#2
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H22/03
NIT
Lehigh
#309
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Utah State
#45
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#191
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#140
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Dayton
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H08/12
NCAA
California
#284
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#92
W
51-19
51
19
+32
A19/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
36.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)34.229.863.9+4.465%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.931.364.2+1.654%-
Last 30 away (4)38.224.863.0+13.5100%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.567.2+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.068.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.037.565.5-9.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)32.027.059.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)37.929.167.0+8.771%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A29/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H31/03
CBI
Morehead State
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H02/04
CBI
Fordham
#336
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#73
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#136
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H05/12
NCAA
Air Force
#273
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A07/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#20
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A11/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#137
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H19/12
NCAA
73.0Avg total
40.8Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)38.333.872.1+4.662%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.433.073.4+7.480%-
Last 30 away (6)34.835.069.8-0.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.832.273.0+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.875.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.335.065.3-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)37.035.072.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)42.933.376.2+9.680%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Nevada wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/19AArizona State96-56
15/12/19ACalifornia89-77
08/12/19HDayton68-78
06/12/19HNorthern Illinois61-49
02/12/19HNebraska O.75-66
30/11/19HUtah State81-73
24/11/19HLehigh77-66
22/03/18HUtah Utes58-67 OT
20/03/18HWashington85-81
14/03/18HSE Louisiana89-45
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/19HTexas Southern91-73
11/12/19ABrigham Young42-75
07/12/19AAir Force100-85
05/12/19HSanta Clara98-67
26/11/19ABowling Green77-62
24/11/19HValparaiso84-59
22/11/19HFordham74-60
02/04/16HMorehead State85-82 OT
31/03/16HMorehead State77-68
29/03/16AMorehead State83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game78.172.492.5
Allowed / game66.466.466.5
Point differential+11.7+6.0+26.0
Avg total144.6138.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%40%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game80.986.873.0
Allowed / game68.764.874.0
Point differential+12.1+22.0-1.0
Avg total149.6151.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga98189%86.972.0+14.9
2 Santa Clara98189%78.169.1+9.0
3 Pacific87188%72.561.6+10.9
4 St. Marys (CA)76186%78.166.4+11.7
5 Oregon State65183%76.861.7+15.2
6 Washington State96367%74.267.0+7.2
7 San Francisco85362%79.673.9+5.8
8 Portland74357%68.364.3+4.0
9 Seattle74357%67.667.1+0.4
10 Pepperdine84450%78.277.0+1.2
11 San Diego Toreros84450%67.967.1+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State880100%77.456.5+20.9
2 New Mexico87188%73.468.8+4.6
3 Nevada76186%80.968.7+12.1
4 Utah State97278%74.266.7+7.6
5 Boise State64267%78.567.5+11.0
6 Colorado State95456%72.772.2+0.4
7 Air Force84450%80.273.0+7.2
8 UNLV73443%70.172.4-2.3
9 Fresno State62433%73.766.8+6.8
10 Grand Canyon93633%67.872.8-5.0
11 Wyoming82625%61.469.4-8.0
12 San Jose State7070%63.780.6-16.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)353368
Nevada382563
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