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St. Marys (CA) vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-75
27-39 41-36
Position#14
Record10-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Position#28
Record10-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Utah State
22 Dec 2024
ST. 68
UTAH75
29 Nov 2019
ST. 81
UTAH73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#21
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A17/11
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#514
W
78-38
78
38
+40
H21/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H24/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
71-36
71
36
+35
A29/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H30/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A08/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
65-67 OT
65
67
-2
A15/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
49-38
46-43
31-31
44-18
34-20
47-31
33-35
32-21
39-15
34-32
30-36
39-25
28-42
39-22
33-41
26-32
33-27
32-26
41-42
137.1Avg total
74.9Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.963.8139.7+12.283%
Season at home (8)78.265.6143.9+12.688%
Season away (4)71.260.0131.2+11.275%
Last 10 (10)74.962.2137.1+12.780%
Last 5 (5)71.268.0139.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.466.0135.4+3.462%
vs Weaker (22)78.959.2138.1+19.795%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#677
W
117-53
117
53
+64
H14/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
52-39
51-35
65-25
52-28
49-35
46-48
33-37
44-32
25-30
47-37
23-25
38-32
32-29
38-38
42-28
50-34
37-31
51-36
39-32
34-43
152.2Avg total
84.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.365.5151.7+20.891%
Season at home (8)92.465.9158.2+26.588%
Season away (3)70.064.3134.3+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.867.4152.2+17.490%
Last 5 (5)76.865.6142.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.277.2152.3-2.058%
vs Weaker (15)84.967.5152.3+17.4100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +8.8+8.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +8.8+8.8
St. Marys (CA)Utah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#21
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H13/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A17/11
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#514
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H21/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H24/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H30/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A08/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A15/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H20/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
37.7Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.727.064.7+10.787%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.226.763.9+10.589%-
Last 30 away (11)38.527.565.9+11.082%-
Last 10 (10)37.728.065.7+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)34.027.461.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.531.062.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (22)39.925.565.5+14.4100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#323
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#677
W
65-25
65
25
+40
H14/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
39.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.673.1+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.331.472.7+9.983%-
Last 30 away (12)34.539.373.8-4.817%-
Last 10 (10)39.731.170.8+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.063.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.138.373.4-3.233%-
vs Weaker (15)39.931.471.3+8.573%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
03/12/21Utah State v St. Marys (CA)58-60
30/11/19St. Marys (CA) v Utah State81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HMerrimack Warriors73-68
15/12/24ABoise State65-67 OT
08/12/24AUtah Utes72-63
04/12/24HUTSA Roadrunners82-74 OT
30/11/24HArizona State64-68
29/11/24AUSC71-36
24/11/24HCal Poly80-66
21/11/24HCalifornia State-Stanislaus Warriors78-38
17/11/24ANebraska77-74
13/11/24HAkron87-68
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HUC San Diego73-75
14/12/24HSouth Florida88-67
08/12/24HUtah Tech92-62
05/12/24HWyoming70-67
29/11/24ANorth Texas61-57
28/11/24ASt. Bonaventure72-67
23/11/24AIowa77-69
19/11/24HMontana95-83
14/11/24HWestminster UT117-53
09/11/24HCharlotte103-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW83%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %83%88%75%
Points / game75.978.271.2
Allowed / game63.865.660.0
Point differential+12.2+12.6+11.2
Avg total139.7143.9131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%12%25%
Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %91%88%100%
Points / game86.392.470.0
Allowed / game65.565.964.3
Point differential+20.8+26.5+5.7
Avg total151.7158.2134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)1210283%75.963.8+12.2
2 Oregon State119282%76.557.6+18.8
3 San Francisco1310377%75.762.7+13.0
4 Washington State1310377%80.974.6+6.3
5 Gonzaga129375%89.269.4+19.8
6 Loyola Marymount128467%73.069.2+3.8
7 Santa Clara138562%79.472.8+6.5
8 Pepperdine136746%74.870.1+4.8
9 Portland135838%72.177.5-5.4
10 Pacific145936%71.672.3-0.6
11 Seattle124833%75.371.6+3.8
12 San Diego Toreros123925%66.973.2-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%86.365.5+20.8
2 San Diego State108280%75.263.2+12.0
3 Boise State129375%79.465.8+13.6
4 New Mexico129375%87.075.4+11.6
5 Nevada128467%76.666.2+10.3
6 Grand Canyon128467%77.970.9+7.0
7 Colorado State127558%73.370.0+3.3
8 Wyoming127558%73.771.4+2.2
9 UNLV116555%71.569.5+1.9
10 San Jose State137654%78.772.6+6.1
11 Fresno State124833%72.179.6-7.5
12 Air Force123925%65.769.4-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)274168
Utah State393675
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