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St. Marys (CA) vs VCU Rams Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-51
29-28 34-23
Position#32
Record25-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game60.0
vs
Position#26
Record27-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game62.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VCU Rams winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#126
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
78-70 OT
78
70
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
83-52
83
52
+31
H24/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
–
–
24-32
37-29
30-23
33-40
39-38
42-26
39-20
23-39
33-27
38-38
48-31
35-21
26-39
42-38
37-20
39-49
19-37
32-40
138.2Avg total
71.2Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.060.0131.0+11.078%
Season at home (21)72.559.3131.8+13.281%
Season away (11)68.161.4129.5+6.773%
Last 10 (10)71.267.0138.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)69.868.0137.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.053.0101.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.062.1129.1+4.957%
vs Weaker (22)72.659.5132.1+13.186%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#85
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H18/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A22/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H25/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H01/03
NCAA
George Washington
#209
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H09/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#85
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
26-26
24-30
31-24
37-24
43-37
40-30
48-33
37-23
36-35
31-35
48-32
35-32
39-36
37-28
34-25
44-39
46-39
30-36
38-20
135.6Avg total
73.6Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)71.462.9134.4+8.579%
Season at home (23)72.761.7134.4+11.183%
Season away (11)68.765.5134.3+3.273%
Last 10 (10)73.662.0135.6+11.690%
Last 5 (5)76.464.4140.8+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.662.5132.2+7.182%
vs Weaker (19)73.263.7136.9+9.579%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +8.2+8.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +8.2+8.2
St. Marys (CA)VCU Rams
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#13
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H05/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H24/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H08/03
NCAA
62.4Avg total
32.8Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.326.458.7+5.966%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.725.658.3+7.167%-
Last 30 away (11)31.627.759.4+3.964%-
Last 10 (9)32.829.762.4+3.167%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.863.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.031.051.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)27.928.656.4-0.729%-
vs Weaker (21)34.425.559.9+8.981%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#85
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H18/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A22/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H25/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H01/03
NCAA
George Washington
#209
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H12/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.430.764.1+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.629.965.6+5.768%-
Last 30 away (11)29.632.061.6-2.445%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.366.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.069.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.432.462.7-2.036%-
vs Weaker (19)35.229.764.9+5.574%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
VCU Rams wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HGonzaga51-77
07/03/23HBrigham Young76-69
26/02/23AGonzaga68-77
24/02/23HPacific83-52
19/02/23HBrigham Young71-65
17/02/23ASan Diego Toreros62-59
11/02/23APortland81-64
10/02/23ALoyola Marymount74-78 OT
05/02/23HGonzaga78-70 OT
03/02/23HSan Francisco68-59
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HDayton68-56
11/03/23HSt. Louis Billikens90-78
09/03/23HDavidson71-53
04/03/23AGeorge Washington74-68
01/03/23HSt. Louis Billikens79-67
25/02/23HRichmond Spiders73-58
22/02/23ASaint Josephs Hawks88-63
18/02/23HFordham80-61
16/02/23ARhode Island55-54
08/02/23HDayton58-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayWLWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %78%81%73%
Points / game71.072.568.1
Allowed / game60.059.361.4
Point differential+11.0+13.2+6.7
Avg total131.0131.8129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%52%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %9%10%9%
VCU Rams
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342311
Win %79%83%73%
Points / game71.472.768.7
Allowed / game62.961.765.5
Point differential+8.5+11.1+3.2
Avg total134.4134.4134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%65%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga3328585%87.572.9+14.6
2 St. Marys (CA)3225778%71.060.0+11.0
3 Santa Clara3223972%77.573.6+3.9
4 Loyola Marymount31191261%75.373.1+2.3
5 Seattle31191261%70.969.5+1.4
6 San Francisco34201459%76.273.4+2.8
7 Washington State33171652%68.265.3+2.9
8 Pacific33151845%75.877.7-1.9
9 Portland33141942%77.878.6-0.8
10 San Diego Toreros31112035%77.180.5-3.4
11 Oregon State32112134%61.267.0-5.8
12 Pepperdine3192229%77.981.3-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VCU Rams3427779%71.462.9+8.5
2 Fordham3325876%72.067.6+4.4
3 Dayton34221265%68.661.0+7.6
4 St. Louis Billikens33211264%75.571.2+4.4
5 Duquesne32201262%74.870.9+3.9
6 George Mason33201361%68.767.3+1.5
7 Davidson32161650%69.968.7+1.2
8 George Washington32161650%76.376.7-0.4
9 Saint Josephs Hawks34161847%72.073.3-1.3
10 Richmond Spiders33151845%68.967.8+1.1
11 La Salle34151944%69.872.6-2.8
12 St. Bonaventure32141844%66.867.7-0.9
13 Loyola Chicago31102132%67.472.5-5.1
14 Rhode Island3192229%66.070.6-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)293463
VCU Rams282351
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