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Portland vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 64-81
38-39 26-42
Position#263
Record13-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#32
Record20-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game58.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Portland v St. Marys (CA)
24 Jan 2026
PORT69
ST. 75
04 Jan 2025
PORT58
ST. 81
10 Feb 2024
PORT51
ST. 76
11 Feb 2023
PORT64
ST. 81
03 Feb 2022
PORT54
ST. 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortlandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
43-85
43
85
-42
A08/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
75-115
75
115
-40
A15/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H20/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H21/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A27/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A03/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Pacific
#242
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
14-41
29-44
48-38
44-49
28-61
47-54
46-44
42-39
50-34
41-42
30-33
30-46
29-35
38-47
37-35
43-26
35-36
35-34
32-33
49-40
160.5Avg total
77.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.477.1154.4+0.348%
Season at home (15)84.776.3161.0+8.367%
Season away (12)68.278.0146.2-9.825%
Last 10 (10)77.083.5160.5-6.550%
Last 5 (5)76.277.8154.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.884.1147.9-20.40%
vs Similar (16)80.578.4158.9+2.156%
vs Weaker (4)84.859.8144.5+25.0100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#53
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A01/01
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
85-43
85
43
+42
H08/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H13/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
73-44
73
44
+29
A20/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A29/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
78-70 OT
78
70
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
39-35
41-14
44-29
35-21
41-41
39-25
39-36
33-24
40-20
36-29
41-29
25-25
32-31
–
–
24-32
37-29
30-23
33-40
132.8Avg total
73.3Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.258.3129.4+12.980%
Season at home (17)73.057.8130.8+15.282%
Season away (8)67.259.4126.6+7.975%
Last 10 (10)73.359.5132.8+13.890%
Last 5 (5)70.864.2135.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.364.0125.3-2.733%
vs Similar (8)69.961.9131.8+8.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)72.958.2131.1+14.784%
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +6.2+6.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +6.2+6.2
PortlandSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PortlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
14-41
14
41
-27
A08/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H13/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
28-61
28
61
-33
A15/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A03/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H10/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
34.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.271.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.333.974.2+6.462%-
Last 30 away (14)31.936.668.5-4.643%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.073.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.467.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.539.166.6-11.612%-
vs Similar (16)38.235.473.6+2.956%-
vs Weaker (4)43.230.073.2+13.2100%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#53
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A01/01
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
41-14
41
14
+27
H08/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A15/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A29/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H05/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A10/02
NCAA
57.0Avg total
32.3Scored
24.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.826.359.1+6.466%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.225.459.5+8.874%-
Last 30 away (10)30.128.258.3+1.950%-
Last 10 (9)32.324.757.0+7.767%-
Last 5 (5)29.626.656.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.030.058.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (8)33.127.961.0+5.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)33.425.158.4+8.378%-
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portland wins
3
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23St. Marys (CA) v Portland85-43
04/02/22Portland v St. Marys (CA)54-75
31/01/20St. Marys (CA) v Portland86-64
Portlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23HPacific81-73
05/02/23APepperdine93-94 OT
03/02/23ASan Diego Toreros80-61
29/01/23HGonzaga67-82
27/01/23ALoyola Marymount60-79
21/01/23HPepperdine91-76
20/01/23HSan Diego Toreros88-83
15/01/23AGonzaga75-115
13/01/23HSan Francisco92-87
08/01/23ASt. Marys (CA)43-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23ALoyola Marymount74-78 OT
05/02/23HGonzaga78-70 OT
03/02/23HSan Francisco68-59
29/01/23ABrigham Young57-56
22/01/23HSanta Clara77-58
20/01/23APepperdine73-44
15/01/23ASan Francisco78-61
13/01/23HLoyola Marymount76-62
08/01/23HPortland85-43
01/01/23ASanta Clara67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %48%67%25%
Points / game77.484.768.2
Allowed / game77.176.378.0
Point differential+0.3+8.3-9.8
Avg total154.4161.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %80%82%75%
Points / game71.273.067.2
Allowed / game58.357.859.4
Point differential+12.9+15.2+7.9
Avg total129.4130.8126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%59%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)2520580%71.258.3+12.9
2 Gonzaga2520580%86.273.7+12.6
3 Santa Clara2618869%75.772.7+3.0
4 Seattle2416867%72.269.1+3.1
5 Loyola Marymount2617965%75.971.5+4.4
6 San Francisco27151256%75.171.7+3.3
7 Portland27131448%77.477.1+0.3
8 Pacific26121446%75.776.7-1.0
9 San Diego Toreros26111542%78.079.4-1.3
10 Washington State25101540%67.465.8+1.6
11 Oregon State2591636%61.466.6-5.1
12 Pepperdine2691735%78.080.2-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland382664
St. Marys (CA)394281
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