St. Peters hosts Binghamton on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names St. Peters the clear favourite with an 86% chance of victory, driven by their higher projected score of 77 to Binghamton's 65 and a strong 7.5 point line that the model predicts St. Peters will cover 66% of the time. St. Peters are 0-1 this season, averaging 42.0 points and allowing 66.0, while Binghamton is also 0-1, averaging 60.0 points and conceding 86.0; both teams have played only one game so far. In the last five outings St. Peters went 2-3, losing to Seton Hall 42-66 away, losing to Fairfield 55-74 at home, and beating Marist 63-56 away, whereas Binghamton went 3-2, losing to Northwestern 60-86 away, and winning at home against Maine Black Bears 74-67 and New Hampshire Wildcats 65-63. The two sides have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. The Pythia model projects a total of 141.9 points, with a 56% chance of the over on the 139.5 line, and a 3% probability of overtime. The game will likely see St. Peters maintain their early-season edge and push the score toward the projected 77-65 finish.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
St. Peters winLost
85.8%fair 1.17
Best odds1.31
Implied73.9%
Edge+11.9pp
Binghamton winWon
14.2%fair 7.02
Best odds3.70
Implied26.1%
Edge-11.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (St. Peters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
75.2%
Under 131
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136 · main lineActual: Under 136
Over 136
64.2%
@ 1.91+14.2pp
Under 136
35.8%
@ 2.30-14.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.81
Bet365
1.55
Under
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Over/Under 141Actual: Under 141
Over 141
51.9%
@ 2.05+6.9pp
Under 141
48.1%
@ 1.71-6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Under
Marathon Be
1.71
Bet365
1.68
📊 3. Team Totals
St. Peters total 67.5Actual: St. Peters under 67.5
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.60
St. Peters total 72 · main lineActual: St. Peters under 72
Over 72
70.2%
@ 1.85+20.2pp
Under 72
29.8%
@ 1.85-20.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
St. Peters total 76Actual: St. Peters under 76
Over 76
54.5%
Under 76
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Binghamton total 61Actual: Binghamton under 61
Over 61
65.0%
Under 61
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Binghamton total 65 · main lineActual: Binghamton under 65
Over 65
48.9%
@ 1.85-1.1pp
Under 65
51.1%
@ 1.85+1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Binghamton total 69Actual: Binghamton under 69
Over 69
33.1%
Under 69
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread St. Peters -10.5Actual: Binghamton +10.5
ST. -10.5
56.0%
@ 2.40+15.9pp
BING +10.5
44.0%
@ 1.57-15.9pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.22
BING
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
Spread St. Peters -7.5 · main lineActual: Binghamton +7.5
ST. -7.5
66.5%
@ 1.94+16.9pp
BING +7.5
33.5%
@ 1.93-16.9pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
BING
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
Spread St. Peters -4.5Actual: Binghamton +4.5
ST. -4.5
76.1%
@ 1.53+15.3pp
BING +4.5
23.9%
@ 2.40-15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
ST.
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
BING
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.32
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
St. PetersBinghamton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
St. Peters over 70.5
74.6%
1.66
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.50
-
-
+23.3pp
Lost
St. Peters over 71.5
71.3%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
-
-
+22.6pp
Lost
St. Peters over 72
70.2%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Lost
St. Peters over 69.5
77.7%
1.55
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
-
+19.3pp
Lost
St. Peters +1.5
87.1%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+16.9pp
Lost
St. Peters -6
72.1%
1.68
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.66
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
St. Peters (regulation)
84.0%
1.32
Betano
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.31
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
St. Peters -5
75.3%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Lost
St. Peters -4.5
76.1%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Lost
St. Peters -3.5
79.0%
1.44
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Lost
St. Peters -4
78.3%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+14.9pp
Lost
St. Peters -5.5
73.0%
1.62
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
-
-
+14.9pp
Lost
St. Peters -2.5
81.3%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+14.0pp
Lost
St. Peters -3
80.8%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Lost
St. Peters -1.5
84.1%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
St. Peters -2
83.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Lost
Over 130.5
75.7%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Lost
St. Peters -1
85.5%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Lost
St. Peters win
85.8%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.29
WilliamHill
1.29
+11.9pp
Lost
Over 128.5
79.4%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Lost
St. Peters +2.5
89.1%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Over 132.5
71.6%
1.47
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Lost
Over 131.5
73.7%
1.41
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Lost
Over 129.5
77.6%
1.32
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
St. Peters +7.5
94.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
St. Peters +12.5
97.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.1%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.0pp
-
Binghamton under 71.5
74.6%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Binghamton under 70.5
71.4%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Over 133
71.0%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Lost
Binghamton over 58.5
73.2%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Lost
Binghamton under 81.5
94.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Over 132
73.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Lost
Binghamton under 79.5
92.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Binghamton under 77.5
89.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Binghamton under 73.5
80.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Binghamton under 75.5
85.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Binghamton under 76.5
87.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
St. Peters under 92.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Over 124.5
85.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Lost
St. Peters under 90.5
91.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Under 164.5
91.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Binghamton over 53.5
86.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
St. Peters under 88.5
87.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Under 159.5
86.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Binghamton over 55.5
82.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
Binghamton over 56.5
79.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.0pp
Won
Binghamton over 57.5
76.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-5.0pp
Won
St. Peters under 86.5
83.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Binghamton +22.5
81.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
Under 154.5
78.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Won
St. Peters under 84.5
77.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Won
St. Peters under 83.5
74.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-8.9pp
Won
St. Peters under 82.5
70.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-9.7pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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