PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

St. Peters vs Stony Brook Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 70-67
Projected total 136.5
Scheduled
Position#370
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game47.5
Allowed / game63.8
Vs
59%
41%
■ ST. 59%■ STON 41%
Pythia win probability
Position#274
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · St. Peters v Stony Brook
21 Nov 2026
ST. v STON
upcoming
01 Dec 2020
ST. 82
STON68
Sections
Game preview & prediction
St. Peters host Stony Brook in the NCAA. Pythia makes St. Peters the favourite at 59% and projects 70-67, about 136 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. St. Peters are 0-4 this season (47.5 scored, 63.8 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Stony Brook are 1-2 this season (73.7 scored, 64.7 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Peters win
59.1%fair 1.69
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stony Brook win
40.9%fair 2.44
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. PetersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#105
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
64-72 OT
64
72
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H07/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A03/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H06/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A08/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#40
L
41-77
41
77
-36
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-23
40-51
31-29
30-32
23-37
40-35
40-25
35-40
30-31
33-25
30-30
25-44
18-36
24-30
27-27
28-31
18-25
34-29
17-37
24-40
126.1Avg total
59.3Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)47.563.8111.2-16.20%
Season at home (1)55.058.0113.0-3.00%
Season away (3)45.065.7110.7-20.70%
Last 10 (10)59.366.8126.1-7.530%
Last 5 (5)49.065.8114.8-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)46.067.0113.0-21.00%
vs Similar (16)68.269.2137.4-1.156%
vs Weaker (10)69.564.2133.7+5.360%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Old Westbury
#504
W
97-47
97
47
+50
H02/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-39
34-30
36-35
36-34
33-29
46-43
35-49
34-33
32-32
26-35
36-27
21-42
40-48
49-48
42-18
55-29
30-44
35-34
21-39
38-30
142.0Avg total
70.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.764.7138.3+9.033%
Season at home (1)97.047.0144.0+50.0100%
Season away (2)62.073.5135.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)70.271.8142.0-1.630%
Last 5 (5)73.471.8145.2+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.072.0137.0-7.033%
vs Similar (20)69.274.2143.4-5.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.859.2144.0+25.5100%
This opponent (St. Peters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
27.4%
Under 146
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
18.3%
Under 151
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
11.5%
Under 156
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

St. Peters total 80.5
Over 80.5
14.1%
Under 80.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Peters total 84.5
Over 84.5
7.2%
Under 84.5
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Peters total 88.5
Over 88.5
3.2%
Under 88.5
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stony Brook total 62
Over 62
68.9%
Under 62
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stony Brook total 66
Over 66
53.6%
Under 66
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stony Brook total 70
Over 70
37.7%
Under 70
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread St. Peters -3
ST. -3
50.1%
STON +3
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
ST.
No market prices yet.
STON
No market prices yet.
Spread St. Peters 0
ST. 0
59.1%
STON 0
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
ST.
No market prices yet.
STON
No market prices yet.
Spread St. Peters +3
ST. +3
67.9%
STON -3
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
ST.
No market prices yet.
STON
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
St. PetersStony Brook
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. PetersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#105
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H15/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A03/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H06/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
L
18-25
18
25
-7
A08/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#40
L
17-37
17
37
-20
A12/11
NCAA
57.7Avg total
27.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.063.8-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.429.364.7+6.153%-
Last 30 away (15)28.134.762.8-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)27.730.057.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)22.031.053.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)20.733.354.0-12.70%-
vs Similar (16)31.432.163.4-0.738%-
vs Weaker (10)33.031.764.7+1.360%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Old Westbury
#504
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H02/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A12/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
32.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.567.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.130.267.3+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)30.936.467.3-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.068.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.269.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.827.359.2+4.550%-
vs Similar (20)33.037.170.2-4.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.524.865.2+15.8100%-
This opponent (St. Peters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
St. Peters wins
1
Stony Brook wins
DateGameScore
18/12/21Stony Brook v St. Peters64-63
01/12/20St. Peters v Stony Brook82-68
St. Peterslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASouth Carolina41-77
08/11/26ANJIT52-54
06/11/26HBinghamton55-58
03/11/26ASeton Hall42-66
07/03/26HFairfield55-74
01/03/26AMarist63-56
28/02/26HManhattan75-65
22/02/26ASiena63-72
21/02/26AIona64-72 OT
15/02/26HFairfield83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26APrinceton59-69
07/11/26ANorthwestern65-78
02/11/26HOld Westbury97-47
07/03/26HCampbell89-96
03/03/26HTowson57-69
01/03/26AHofstra58-67
27/02/26AMonmouth69-82
21/02/26HHampton79-72
17/02/26HDrexel72-69
13/02/26ATowson57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Peters
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game47.555.045.0
Allowed / game63.858.065.7
Point differential-16.2-3.0-20.7
Avg total111.2113.0110.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stony Brook
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.797.062.0
Allowed / game64.747.073.5
Point differential+9.0+50.0-11.5
Avg total138.3144.0135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.