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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Nebraska O. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-53
0-0 31-28 0-0 37-25
Position#42
Record22-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#219
Record15-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v Nebraska O.
16 Jan 2027
ST. v NEBR
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
ST. 68
NEBR53
15 Feb 2025
ST. 95
NEBR84
29 Feb 2024
ST. 88
NEBR61
07 Jan 2023
ST. 80
NEBR68
26 Feb 2022
ST. 95
NEBR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nebraska O. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H23/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
104-64
104
64
+40
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
37-39
0-0
53-39
0-0
43-35
0-0
37-46
0-0
52-25
0-0
47-39
0-0
31-28
0-0
46-34
0-0
39-36
0-0
53-39
0-0
42-47
0-0
52-51
0-0
43-29
0-0
61-35
0-0
39-37
0-0
41-45
0-0
50-27
0-0
34-35
160.9Avg total
87.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.872.6156.4+11.273%
Season at home (15)87.269.6156.8+17.693%
Season away (15)80.475.7156.1+4.753%
Last 10 (10)87.473.5160.9+13.970%
Last 5 (5)90.876.2167.0+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)71.867.5139.2+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.874.9159.7+9.975%
This opponent (Nebraska O.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nebraska O.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H22/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A25/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A31/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A06/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A07/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H15/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H19/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-28
0-0
35-40
0-0
44-34
0-0
33-26
0-0
32-34
0-0
48-37
0-0
27-35
0-0
57-47
0-0
42-29
0-0
31-47
0-0
33-46
0-0
51-46
0-0
47-42
0-0
51-52
0-0
49-38
0-0
34-38
0-0
43-30
0-0
37-41
0-0
35-45
0-0
37-44
157.4Avg total
79.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.677.3154.9+0.350%
Season at home (14)82.974.3157.2+8.671%
Season away (16)72.979.9152.8-6.931%
Last 10 (10)79.577.9157.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.081.8158.8-4.833%
vs Similar (18)75.579.1154.6-3.644%
vs Weaker (2)71.566.5138.0+5.050%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
St. Thomas (Minn.)Nebraska O.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H27/02
NCAA
74.4Avg total
40.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.533.373.7+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.730.874.5+12.993%-
Last 30 away (15)37.335.773.0+1.567%-
Last 10 (10)40.933.574.4+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.277.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.231.868.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.534.074.5+6.679%-
This opponent (Nebraska O.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nebraska O.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H22/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A25/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H29/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A31/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H19/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
38.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.274.4+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.934.376.1+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)35.137.972.9-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.174.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.281.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.538.275.7-0.750%-
vs Similar (18)36.636.673.2-0.144%-
vs Weaker (2)36.033.069.0+3.050%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HNorth Dakota St84-62
21/02/26ADenver80-82
15/02/26AUMKC104-64
13/02/26ANebraska O.94-98
08/02/26HOral Roberts92-75
05/02/26ASouth Dakota St.77-62
01/02/26HUMKC99-64
30/01/26HNorth Dakota80-81
24/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes90-78
23/01/26HSouth Dakota St.74-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes72-89
19/02/26HOral Roberts80-71
15/02/26HDenver83-76
13/02/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)98-94
07/02/26ANorth Dakota St84-92
06/02/26ANorth Dakota73-76
31/01/26ADenver84-82
29/01/26HSouth Dakota St.80-71
25/01/26AUMKC77-60
22/01/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes64-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%93%53%
Points / game83.887.280.4
Allowed / game72.669.675.7
Point differential+11.2+17.6+4.7
Avg total156.4156.8156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nebraska O.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %50%71%31%
Points / game77.682.972.9
Allowed / game77.374.379.9
Point differential+0.3+8.6-6.9
Avg total154.9157.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St3124777%81.570.6+10.8
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)3022873%83.872.6+11.2
3 South Dakota Coyotes31161552%80.280.3-0.2
4 Nebraska O.30151550%77.677.3+0.3
5 North Dakota32161650%77.178.2-1.1
6 Denver31151648%83.382.8+0.5
7 South Dakota St.31141745%75.772.6+3.1
8 Oral Roberts3082227%72.678.3-5.8
9 UMKC2942514%69.683.5-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
St. Thomas (Minn.)03103768
Nebraska O.02802553
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