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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-64
52-25 47-39
Position#42
Record17-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#368
Record4-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game82.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC
01 Feb 2026
ST. 99
UMKC64
01 Mar 2025
ST. 65
UMKC59
31 Dec 2023
ST. 77
UMKC56
11 Feb 2023
ST. 73
UMKC43
08 Feb 2022
ST. 67
UMKC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#334
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
105-59
105
59
+46
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A11/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A16/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A17/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H23/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
51-40
55-36
50-23
43-37
49-51
53-31
46-55
43-40
39-31
37-36
54-44
35-34
30-34
33-32
41-37
37-39
53-39
43-35
37-46
162.8Avg total
87.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.972.7154.6+9.274%
Season at home (12)86.170.2156.3+15.892%
Season away (11)77.475.4152.7+2.055%
Last 10 (10)87.075.8162.8+11.280%
Last 5 (5)80.075.2155.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)67.066.8133.8+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.774.8156.5+6.971%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A04/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
73-97
73
97
-24
H09/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H11/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A16/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H25/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-48
35-43
49-50
42-28
28-41
46-46
32-28
41-38
34-54
39-43
44-37
35-44
36-56
47-43
32-36
30-54
34-44
26-33
32-32
29-37
157.0Avg total
73.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.282.5153.7-11.318%
Season at home (10)75.678.8154.4-3.230%
Season away (12)67.585.6153.1-18.18%
Last 10 (10)73.583.5157.0-10.020%
Last 5 (5)69.083.2152.2-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.183.6151.6-15.55%
vs Similar (5)64.672.4137.0-7.80%
vs Weaker (3)72.360.3132.7+12.0100%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -3.9-3.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -3.9-3.9
St. Thomas (Minn.)UMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#334
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H30/01
NCAA
77.8Avg total
42.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.233.172.3+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.131.273.2+10.988%-
Last 30 away (14)35.935.471.2+0.564%-
Last 10 (10)42.035.877.8+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.272.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)31.532.063.5-0.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.733.873.5+6.075%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A04/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H09/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A16/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H29/01
NCAA
79.1Avg total
36.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.238.872.0-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.035.471.4+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)30.841.772.5-10.96%-
Last 10 (10)36.542.679.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.076.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.842.174.9-9.316%-
vs Similar (5)28.635.263.8-6.60%-
vs Weaker (3)32.722.054.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
3
UMKC wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HNorth Dakota80-81
24/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes90-78
23/01/26HSouth Dakota St.74-69
17/01/26ANorth Dakota St65-68
16/01/26ANorth Dakota91-80
11/01/26AOral Roberts82-71
08/01/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes99-86
04/01/26HDenver92-88
28/12/25HNorth Central Rams105-59
21/12/25HUC Riverside92-78
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HDenver61-69
25/01/26HNebraska O.60-77
17/01/26ASouth Dakota St.62-90
16/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes83-99
11/01/26HNorth Dakota79-81
09/01/26HNorth Dakota St73-97
04/01/26ANebraska O.73-66
31/12/25ADenver74-87
28/12/25HMcPherson91-78
19/12/25AOklahoma State79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL74%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%92%55%
Points / game81.986.177.4
Allowed / game72.770.275.4
Point differential+9.2+15.8+2.0
Avg total154.6156.3152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%58%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %18%30%8%
Points / game71.275.667.5
Allowed / game82.578.885.6
Point differential-11.3-3.2-18.1
Avg total153.7154.4153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St2419579%81.370.4+11.0
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)2317674%81.972.7+9.2
3 North Dakota25131252%77.876.8+1.0
4 Nebraska O.24121250%76.675.8+0.8
5 South Dakota Coyotes24121250%82.082.4-0.4
6 South Dakota St.23111248%76.972.5+4.4
7 Denver24101442%83.384.2-0.9
8 Oral Roberts2451921%71.878.7-6.9
9 UMKC2241818%71.282.5-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)524799
UMKC253964
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