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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Portland State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 76-70
41-34 35-36
Position#118
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#184
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portland State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#169
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
100-54
100
54
+46
H12/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
46-40
31-28
33-45
38-40
36-42
30-34
37-26
33-32
32-38
34-35
32-36
27-26
27-27
54-22
46-32
22-31
38-30
31-36
31-30
135.3Avg total
69.4Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.461.0129.4+7.440%
Season at home (3)71.356.0127.3+15.367%
Season away (2)64.068.5132.5-4.50%
Last 10 (10)69.465.9135.3+3.540%
Last 5 (5)68.461.0129.4+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
vs Similar (8)67.067.1134.1-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.267.8143.0+7.361%
This opponent (Portland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A10/11
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H12/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
45-34
27-27
30-38
42-43
36-48
36-38
38-38
33-40
47-44
31-27
31-28
40-40
42-36
32-23
38-30
29-34
37-29
35-22
38-35
141.1Avg total
72.1Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.660.8131.4+9.8100%
Season at home (2)71.555.0126.5+16.5100%
Season away (3)70.064.7134.7+5.3100%
Last 10 (10)72.169.0141.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)70.660.8131.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.088.2165.2-11.20%
vs Similar (16)71.971.6143.5+0.462%
vs Weaker (8)70.468.6139.0+1.850%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.2+2.2
St. Thomas (Minn.)Portland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#169
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A24/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A07/03
NCAA
California
#283
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H11/11
NCAA
North Central Rams
#613
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H12/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A19/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
33.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.767.1+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.028.966.9+9.173%-
Last 30 away (15)32.734.567.3-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.364.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.063.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (8)31.030.861.8+0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.431.668.0+4.850%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H12/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A18/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
33.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.069.6+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.831.867.6+4.044%-
Last 30 away (14)35.436.471.8-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.066.9+0.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.429.262.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.641.679.2-4.00%-
vs Similar (16)33.534.367.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker (8)35.131.666.8+3.562%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
0
Portland State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ACalifornia Baptist62-66
18/11/23HCal Poly60-61
12/11/23HNorth Central Rams100-54
11/11/23HIdaho State54-53
07/11/23ACalifornia66-71
07/03/23AOral Roberts65-70
06/03/23AWestern Illinois67-60
25/02/23ANorth Dakota74-82
24/02/23ANorth Dakota St64-73
19/02/23HWestern Illinois82-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HCal Poly73-57
18/11/23ACalifornia Baptist66-63
12/11/23HLinfield70-53
10/11/23AUC Santa Barbara82-76
07/11/23AAir Force62-55
05/03/23HNorthern Colorado80-84
28/02/23HSacramento State74-76
25/02/23AMontana State78-91
19/02/23HWeber State57-65
17/02/23HIdaho State79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game68.471.364.0
Allowed / game61.056.068.5
Point differential+7.4+15.3-4.5
Avg total129.4127.3132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portland State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.671.570.0
Allowed / game60.855.064.7
Point differential+9.8+16.5+5.3
Avg total131.4126.5134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota32167%82.080.3+1.7
2 South Dakota Coyotes53260%82.275.6+6.6
3 North Dakota St53260%72.873.6-0.8
4 UMKC42250%74.068.2+5.8
5 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%68.461.0+7.4
6 Denver52340%84.883.0+1.8
7 Nebraska O.62433%70.770.5+0.2
8 South Dakota St.31233%75.375.7-0.3
9 Oral Roberts41325%70.075.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State550100%70.660.8+9.8
2 Montana State32167%78.064.7+13.3
3 Weber State53260%69.660.6+9.0
4 Idaho42250%79.063.5+15.5
5 Idaho State42250%71.256.8+14.5
6 Montana42250%78.869.2+9.5
7 Northern Colorado42250%75.869.2+6.5
8 Northern Arizona52340%62.878.0-15.2
9 Sacramento State41325%80.281.5-1.2
10 East. Washington4040%68.289.0-20.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)413576
Portland State343670
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