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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs UC Riverside Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 92-78
41-38 51-40
Position#42
Record9-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#334
Record6-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Riverside winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-26
30-35
41-29
43-43
29-36
44-36
37-33
43-55
36-34
40-32
41-20
46-32
37-40
37-42
47-23
41-42
35-31
45-25
46-25
34-34
147.5Avg total
80.2Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.070.3148.3+7.769%
Season at home (6)81.863.7145.5+18.2100%
Season away (7)74.776.0150.7-1.343%
Last 10 (10)80.267.3147.5+12.980%
Last 5 (5)81.862.8144.6+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)72.771.4144.1+1.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.575.0156.5+6.468%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A12/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H15/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A19/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A22/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A29/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
53-100
53
100
-47
A14/12
NCAA
Stanton
#442
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
36-46
32-41
42-35
31-49
26-31
39-29
46-42
30-36
53-38
35-41
34-36
26-37
34-36
46-36
42-48
32-49
21-51
45-31
50-39
151.9Avg total
73.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.775.5150.2-0.850%
Season at home (4)85.567.2152.8+18.275%
Season away (8)69.279.6148.9-10.438%
Last 10 (10)73.278.7151.9-5.540%
Last 5 (5)73.080.8153.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.678.4151.0-5.943%
vs Similar (11)80.078.2158.2+1.864%
vs Weaker (4)84.061.0145.0+23.0100%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
St. Thomas (Minn.)UC Riverside
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H14/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A13/12
NCAA
69.6Avg total
39.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.433.673.0+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.531.974.4+10.681%-
Last 30 away (14)35.935.571.4+0.464%-
Last 10 (10)39.929.769.6+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.227.869.0+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.933.169.0+2.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.534.374.8+6.273%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A12/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A05/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A07/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A14/12
NCAA
Stanton
#442
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/12
NCAA
73.3Avg total
34.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.472.7+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.934.271.1+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)35.938.274.1-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.573.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.875.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.938.473.4-3.529%-
vs Similar (11)37.836.073.8+1.855%-
vs Weaker (4)38.228.266.5+10.075%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
1
UC Riverside wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24UC Riverside v St. Thomas (Minn.)81-79 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AUNC Asheville80-59
12/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-56
07/12/25HWeber State88-65
04/12/25AMontana State74-82
30/11/25HLawrence University Vikings87-52
23/11/25APortland76-66
22/11/25ACS Fullerton80-88
22/11/25HNorthern Colorado73-72
15/11/25ASoutheast Missouri State84-72
14/11/25HWisc. Green Bay80-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HStanton95-70
14/12/25ABrigham Young53-100
07/12/25ACal Poly88-84
05/12/25AUC Irvine60-73
29/11/25AUtah Tech69-77
24/11/25HGrambling St.83-74
22/11/25ASan Diego Toreros85-71
19/11/25ACalifornia Baptist57-80
15/11/25HNorth Dakota74-76
12/11/25ANew Mexico68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%100%43%
Points / game78.081.874.7
Allowed / game70.363.776.0
Point differential+7.7+18.2-1.3
Avg total148.3145.5150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Riverside
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %50%75%38%
Points / game74.785.569.2
Allowed / game75.567.279.6
Point differential-0.8+18.2-10.4
Avg total150.2152.8148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St1310377%82.669.5+13.2
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)139469%78.070.3+7.7
3 South Dakota St.147750%75.069.0+6.0
4 Nebraska O.147750%78.777.4+1.4
5 South Dakota Coyotes147750%83.483.6-0.1
6 Denver147750%84.184.9-0.9
7 North Dakota145936%75.076.4-1.4
8 Oral Roberts145936%74.977.1-2.2
9 UMKC1321115%70.082.4-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1210283%80.463.1+17.3
2 UC San Diego1210283%82.671.2+11.3
3 UC Santa Barbara128467%79.472.4+7.0
4 UC Irvine127558%77.865.6+12.2
5 CS Northridge127558%79.076.8+2.2
6 UC Davis105550%75.675.7-0.1
7 UC Riverside126650%74.775.5-0.8
8 CS Fullerton125742%89.784.7+5.0
9 Cal Poly135838%82.987.7-4.8
10 CSU Bakersfield135838%73.578.7-5.2
11 Long Beach State123925%73.078.2-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)415192
UC Riverside384078
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