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Stephen F. Austin vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 75-72
34-22 41-50
Position#175
Record5-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#285
Record5-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v New Mexico State
19 Dec 2023
STEP75
NEW 72
04 Jan 2023
STEP69
NEW 60
22 Jan 2022
STEP58
NEW 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North American Stallions
#462
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
62-67 OT
62
67
-5
A10/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A14/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H22/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H06/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-22
42-46
31-22
23-32
48-36
48-34
33-39
53-37
38-32
54-36
26-32
23-47
34-34
32-34
27-32
39-34
21-29
28-27
40-36
30-42
144.9Avg total
74.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.570.4144.9+4.150%
Season at home (6)73.069.2142.2+3.850%
Season away (4)76.872.2149.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)74.570.4144.9+4.150%
Last 5 (5)62.671.0133.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.068.6132.6-4.620%
vs Similar (10)74.675.3149.9-0.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.370.1147.4+7.367%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#37
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A12/11
NCAA
Western N. M.
#504
W
78-43
78
43
+35
H15/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
54-81
54
81
-27
H22/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
62-106
62
106
-44
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-49
37-42
35-22
43-21
28-40
48-31
32-28
37-41
19-41
35-40
30-28
43-45
46-21
38-28
32-55
30-51
30-31
46-40
30-32
42-41
149.2Avg total
73.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.274.2146.4-2.142%
Season at home (8)75.064.8139.8+10.262%
Season away (4)66.593.2159.8-26.80%
Last 10 (10)73.675.6149.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)75.677.8153.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)50.366.2116.5-15.910%
vs Similar (6)60.566.8127.3-6.317%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +1.9+1.9
Stephen F. AustinNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North American Stallions
#462
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H06/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A10/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H19/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A02/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H06/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A09/12
NCAA
66.6Avg total
35.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.131.866.8+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.629.663.3+4.059%-
Last 30 away (13)36.934.571.5+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.466.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.662.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.431.260.6-1.840%-
vs Similar (10)35.234.870.0+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.929.966.8+6.980%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#37
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Western N. M.
#504
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H22/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H16/12
NCAA
66.6Avg total
31.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)31.935.767.6-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.532.164.6+0.450%-
Last 30 away (10)31.140.871.9-9.710%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.766.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.467.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.140.670.7-10.57%-
vs Similar (5)32.227.860.0+4.480%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Stephen F. Austin wins
2
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AWyoming70-78
06/12/23HLouisiana Tech49-56
02/12/23AAbilene Christian79-74 OT
30/11/23HTarleton66-68
22/11/23HUtah State49-79
20/11/23HDrake92-68
19/11/23HLoyola Marymount86-76
14/11/23ANorthwestern St.96-70
10/11/23AMiddle Tenn. St.62-67 OT
06/11/23HNorth American Stallions96-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HNew Mexico72-73
13/12/23HNorthern New Mexico76-71
03/12/23ANew Mexico62-106
29/11/23HSouthwest Mustangs84-49
26/11/23ALouisville84-90 OT
22/11/23HSouthern Illinois54-81
22/11/23HFresno State76-81 OT
19/11/23HNorthern Colorado76-71
15/11/23HWestern N. M.78-43
12/11/23AUC Irvine74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.573.076.8
Allowed / game70.469.272.2
Point differential+4.1+3.8+4.5
Avg total144.9142.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%62%0%
Points / game72.275.066.5
Allowed / game74.264.893.2
Point differential-2.1+10.2-26.8
Avg total146.4139.8159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %17%12%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1210283%80.257.8+22.5
2 Texas A&M-CC116555%78.367.3+11.0
3 Stephen F. Austin105550%74.570.4+4.1
4 TX A&M Commerce126650%76.973.5+3.4
5 Lamar115645%83.278.5+4.7
6 New Orleans115645%80.076.2+3.8
7 Nicholls State104640%74.378.1-3.8
8 Incarnate Word103730%75.779.2-3.5
9 SE Louisiana113827%68.075.2-7.2
10 UTRGV123925%73.479.6-6.2
11 Houston Christian92722%73.483.0-9.6
12 Northwestern St.111109%67.781.2-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty129375%79.259.2+20.1
2 Louisiana Tech129375%76.162.2+13.8
3 Kennesaw State129375%86.776.1+10.6
4 Western Kentucky129375%80.573.1+7.4
5 Delaware118373%76.168.7+7.4
6 Missouri State117464%73.568.5+5.0
7 UTEP116555%78.970.2+8.7
8 Sam Houston St.126650%71.771.5+0.2
9 Middle Tenn. St.115645%66.166.9-0.8
10 Jacksonville State125742%66.662.7+3.9
11 New Mexico State125742%72.274.2-2.1
12 Florida International134931%76.575.8+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin344175
New Mexico State225072
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