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Stephen F. Austin vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 69-60
31-24 38-36
Position#102
Record11-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#333
Record7-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v New Mexico State
19 Dec 2023
STEP75
NEW 72
04 Jan 2023
STEP69
NEW 60
22 Jan 2022
STEP58
NEW 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A27/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H02/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#597
W
103-40
103
40
+63
H11/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
A15/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A17/12
NCAA
North American Stallions
#571
W
83-51
83
51
+32
H20/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H22/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
37-42
41-32
34-26
33-31
63-71
61-18
42-22
32-34
36-34
22-44
48-28
47-16
36-35
36-29
44-40
39-27
36-41
30-27
36-35
146.7Avg total
79.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.765.5144.2+13.373%
Season at home (9)81.661.6143.1+20.078%
Season away (6)74.571.3145.8+3.267%
Last 10 (10)79.167.6146.7+11.570%
Last 5 (5)74.864.4139.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)71.867.5139.3+4.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.563.5144.0+17.081%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#250
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Simon Fraser
#576
W
77-35
77
35
+42
H06/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A15/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#555
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H18/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H22/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A23/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
51-39
36-13
41-22
36-33
29-33
35-27
38-33
26-35
42-46
48-20
47-33
29-37
34-36
46-36
39-40
32-37
43-42
25-38
37-37
142.6Avg total
75.8Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.267.8145.0+9.450%
Season at home (9)80.766.6147.2+14.156%
Season away (5)71.070.0141.0+1.040%
Last 10 (10)75.866.8142.6+9.050%
Last 5 (5)76.071.2147.2+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.774.1141.9-6.414%
vs Similar (16)72.963.9136.8+8.975%
vs Weaker (5)74.860.8135.6+14.080%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.0+4.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.0+4.0
Stephen F. AustinNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#597
W
61-18
61
18
+43
H11/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A17/12
NCAA
North American Stallions
#571
W
47-16
47
16
+31
H20/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A31/12
NCAA
65.8Avg total
36.7Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.365.8+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.928.566.5+9.482%-
Last 30 away (13)32.332.664.9-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.729.165.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)34.828.663.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)33.533.867.2-0.354%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.627.264.9+10.481%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#250
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Simon Fraser
#576
W
36-13
36
13
+23
H06/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A15/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#555
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H18/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
35.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.129.763.8+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.429.164.5+6.271%-
Last 30 away (13)32.430.562.8+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.766.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.669.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.436.466.9-6.029%-
vs Similar (16)34.428.462.9+6.081%-
vs Weaker (5)35.028.463.4+6.660%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22AUT Arlington66-62
30/12/22HAbilene Christian75-68
22/12/22HJackson State80-69
20/12/22HNorth American Stallions83-51
17/12/22AFurman70-72
15/12/22ALouisiana Tech80-79 OT
11/12/22HPaul Quinn103-40
02/12/22HNorthwestern St.96-102
27/11/22ANC Greensboro75-58
26/11/22AMiddle Tenn. St.63-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HSam Houston St.62-75
29/12/22HSouthern Utah75-79
23/12/22AN. Carolina A&T85-76
22/12/22HKent State63-73
18/12/22HNorthern New Mexico95-53
15/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)68-81
11/12/22ADuquesne73-60
08/12/22ASanta Clara65-66
06/12/22HSimon Fraser77-35
01/12/22HUTEP95-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %73%78%67%
Points / game78.781.674.5
Allowed / game65.561.671.3
Point differential+13.3+20.0+3.2
Avg total144.2143.1145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%17%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game77.280.771.0
Allowed / game67.866.670.0
Point differential+9.4+14.1+1.0
Avg total145.0147.2141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1511473%78.765.5+13.3
2 Texas A&M-CC148657%78.172.3+5.8
3 UTRGV148657%83.280.0+3.2
4 Northwestern St.148657%70.172.9-2.8
5 Nicholls State136746%77.873.3+4.5
6 SE Louisiana146843%76.176.9-0.7
7 Incarnate Word146843%69.571.2-1.7
8 TX A&M Commerce1551033%69.772.6-2.9
9 Houston Christian1441029%80.785.8-5.1
10 Lamar1441029%68.175.9-7.7
11 McNeese State1441029%64.374.1-9.9
12 New Orleans123925%68.782.6-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.1411379%78.955.3+23.6
2 Liberty1511473%76.259.7+16.5
3 Kennesaw State1510567%72.966.7+6.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.149564%71.165.7+5.4
5 Western Kentucky138562%74.767.5+7.2
6 Delaware159660%70.770.7-0.1
7 Louisiana Tech148657%77.768.2+9.5
8 UTEP148657%70.367.2+3.1
9 New Mexico State147750%77.267.8+9.4
10 Missouri State147750%65.461.2+4.1
11 Jacksonville State157847%71.871.0+0.8
12 Florida International136746%73.475.5-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin313869
New Mexico State243660
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