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Stetson vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-88
0-0 26-52 0-0 50-36
Position#304
Record9-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game80.6
Stetson
USA
vs
Central Arkansas 🏆
USA
Position#83
Record17-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stetson v Central Arkansas
19 Feb 2026
STET76
CENT88
02 Mar 2025
STET72
CENT77
09 Jan 2025
STET75
CENT65
04 Feb 2023
STET99
CENT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stetson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StetsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#243
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H16/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H17/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/01
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A30/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-43
0-0
49-43
0-0
33-42
0-0
48-45
0-0
29-34
0-0
39-34
0-0
32-31
0-0
33-42
0-0
39-36
0-0
45-41
0-0
29-34
0-0
37-34
0-0
35-47
0-0
36-45
0-0
48-48
0-0
40-52
0-0
33-26
0-0
34-36
0-0
44-44
0-0
32-34
156.9Avg total
76.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.780.6153.3-7.833%
Season at home (11)81.476.3157.6+5.164%
Season away (16)66.883.5150.3-16.712%
Last 10 (10)76.780.2156.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)73.680.0153.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.782.7150.3-15.015%
vs Similar (8)77.974.0151.9+3.962%
vs Weaker (2)100.576.5177.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H16/01
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
98-69
98
69
+29
H17/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A22/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
100-90
100
90
+10
A29/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H31/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H05/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A07/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H12/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-35
0-0
37-25
0-0
50-23
0-0
48-46
0-0
43-34
0-0
43-31
0-0
40-45
0-0
60-45
0-0
40-27
0-0
50-54
0-0
40-39
0-0
41-21
0-0
45-33
0-0
41-45
0-0
29-37
0-0
43-28
0-0
33-34
0-0
51-42
0-0
44-35
0-0
35-27
154.4Avg total
83.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.073.7153.7+6.463%
Season at home (14)87.166.4153.5+20.693%
Season away (13)72.581.5153.9-9.031%
Last 10 (10)83.870.6154.4+13.2100%
Last 5 (5)80.468.2148.6+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.081.7147.7-15.70%
vs Similar (8)68.184.2152.4-16.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.469.8154.2+14.683%
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +8.5+8.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +8.5+8.5
StetsonCentral Arkansas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StetsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#243
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A23/01
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A30/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A14/02
NCAA
75.3Avg total
36.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.637.972.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.635.473.0+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)32.439.872.2-7.518%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.575.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.877.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.139.271.4-7.120%-
vs Similar (8)36.434.170.5+2.262%-
vs Weaker (2)52.539.592.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H16/01
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H17/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/02
NCAA
73.1Avg total
38.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.473.1+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.430.472.8+11.979%-
Last 30 away (16)33.839.773.4-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.273.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.673.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.042.769.7-15.70%-
vs Similar (8)34.838.873.5-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.333.273.6+7.161%-
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stetson wins
4
Central Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Central Arkansas v Stetson93-73
03/03/25Stetson v Central Arkansas72-77
10/01/25Stetson v Central Arkansas75-65
03/02/24Central Arkansas v Stetson62-73 OT
04/02/23Stetson v Central Arkansas99-80
02/03/22Central Arkansas v Stetson74-73
05/02/22Central Arkansas v Stetson79-75
Stetsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast76-78
12/02/26HJacksonville Dolphins67-62
07/02/26AEastern Kentucky88-100
06/02/26ABellarmine71-92
31/01/26HNorth Alabama66-68
30/01/26ANorth Florida84-77
23/01/26AAustin Peay65-73
22/01/26ALipscomb74-79 OT
17/01/26HQueens Royals81-87
16/01/26HWest Georgia95-86
Central Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HWest Georgia79-62
12/02/26HBellarmine84-76
10/02/26ANorth Alabama72-65
07/02/26ALipscomb86-78
05/02/26HNorth Alabama81-60
31/01/26HEastern Kentucky90-81
29/01/26AQueens Royals100-90
22/01/26AWest Georgia86-65
17/01/26HNorth Florida98-69
16/01/26HJacksonville Dolphins62-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stetson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %33%64%12%
Points / game72.781.466.8
Allowed / game80.676.383.5
Point differential-7.8+5.1-16.7
Avg total153.3157.6150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%93%31%
Points / game80.087.172.5
Allowed / game73.766.481.5
Point differential+6.4+20.6-9.0
Avg total153.7153.5153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%64%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2620677%81.871.3+10.5
2 Central Arkansas27171063%80.073.7+6.4
3 Lipscomb28171161%80.976.2+4.7
4 Queens Royals28161257%84.383.4+1.0
5 Florida Gulf Coast28131546%79.178.2+0.9
6 West Georgia27121544%76.080.0-4.0
7 Bellarmine27111641%79.180.9-1.8
8 Eastern Kentucky28101836%80.080.7-0.6
9 Stetson2791833%72.780.6-7.8
10 North Alabama2681831%70.778.6-7.9
11 North Florida2862221%80.589.2-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stetson02605076
Central Arkansas05203688
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