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Stetson vs Florida Gulf Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-63
0-0 34-27 0-0 44-36
Position#304
Record10-20
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game80.8
Stetson 🏆
USA
vs
Position#224
Record14-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stetson v Florida Gulf Coast
09 Jan 2027
STET v FLOR
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
STET78
FLOR63
20 Feb 2025
STET80
FLOR83
17 Feb 2024
STET61
FLOR60
15 Feb 2023
STET75
FLOR72
18 Jan 2022
STET91
FLOR93
11 Jan 2020
STET62
FLOR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stetson winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Gulf Coast winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StetsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/01
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A30/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H20/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-31
0-0
33-42
0-0
39-36
0-0
45-41
0-0
29-34
0-0
37-34
0-0
35-47
0-0
36-45
0-0
48-48
0-0
40-52
0-0
33-26
0-0
34-36
0-0
44-44
0-0
32-34
0-0
26-52
0-0
50-36
0-0
29-40
0-0
47-31
0-0
34-42
0-0
51-47
155.2Avg total
75.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.480.8154.1-7.433%
Season at home (13)80.576.8157.3+3.862%
Season away (17)67.983.8151.7-15.912%
Last 10 (10)75.479.8155.2-4.430%
Last 5 (5)76.077.6153.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.783.4152.0-14.714%
vs Similar (7)79.774.1153.9+5.671%
vs Weaker (2)100.576.5177.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Florida Gulf Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida Gulf CoastUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#121
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A23/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
68-49
68
49
+19
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A07/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
H21/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-37
0-0
41-49
0-0
37-30
0-0
35-34
0-0
25-24
0-0
43-25
0-0
39-26
0-0
35-50
0-0
31-32
0-0
34-49
0-0
42-33
0-0
48-48
0-0
44-44
0-0
34-32
0-0
46-42
0-0
40-42
0-0
32-29
0-0
31-34
0-0
36-27
0-0
34-49
149.3Avg total
74.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.677.9156.5+0.847%
Season at home (17)83.876.7160.5+7.165%
Season away (13)71.879.4151.2-7.523%
Last 10 (10)74.974.4149.3+0.560%
Last 5 (5)79.877.6157.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.387.3161.6-13.014%
vs Similar (15)78.978.8157.7+0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.967.9149.8+14.088%
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
StetsonFlorida Gulf Coast
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StetsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A23/01
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A30/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H20/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A27/02
NCAA
74.9Avg total
34.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.338.873.0-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.637.574.2-0.954%-
Last 30 away (17)32.539.772.2-7.218%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.074.9-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.874.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.039.871.7-7.819%-
vs Similar (7)36.035.671.6+0.457%-
vs Weaker (2)52.539.592.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Florida Gulf Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida Gulf CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#121
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A23/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A06/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H21/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A27/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.970.8+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.334.671.9+2.759%-
Last 30 away (13)34.135.469.5-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.468.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.075.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.940.173.0-7.329%-
vs Similar (15)35.734.770.5+1.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.930.869.6+8.188%-
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stetson wins
7
Florida Gulf Coast wins
Stetsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins85-89
21/02/26HNorth Florida76-71
20/02/26HCentral Arkansas76-88
14/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast76-78
12/02/26HJacksonville Dolphins67-62
07/02/26AEastern Kentucky88-100
06/02/26ABellarmine71-92
31/01/26HNorth Alabama66-68
30/01/26ANorth Florida84-77
23/01/26AAustin Peay65-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ANorth Florida70-76
21/02/26HCentral Arkansas75-71 OT
19/02/26HJacksonville Dolphins86-84
14/02/26HStetson78-76
12/02/26HNorth Florida90-81
07/02/26ABellarmine65-81
06/02/26AEastern Kentucky74-76
31/01/26AJacksonville Dolphins68-49
30/01/26HNorth Alabama72-64
23/01/26ALipscomb71-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stetson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %33%62%12%
Points / game73.480.567.9
Allowed / game80.876.883.8
Point differential-7.4+3.8-15.9
Avg total154.1157.3151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Florida Gulf Coast
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %47%65%23%
Points / game78.683.871.8
Allowed / game77.976.779.4
Point differential+0.8+7.1-7.5
Avg total156.5160.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2821775%81.571.7+9.8
2 Central Arkansas30191163%80.474.3+6.2
3 Lipscomb30181260%80.575.6+4.9
4 Queens Royals30181260%84.983.2+1.7
5 Florida Gulf Coast30141647%78.677.9+0.8
6 West Georgia29131645%76.580.2-3.7
7 Bellarmine29111838%79.181.1-2.0
8 Eastern Kentucky30111937%80.581.6-1.1
9 Stetson30102033%73.480.8-7.4
10 North Alabama2891932%70.078.0-8.0
11 North Florida3072323%80.088.1-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stetson03404478
Florida Gulf Coast02703663
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