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Stjarnan W vs Fjolnir W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 94-71
Projected total 165.2
Final 110-69
28-20 27-20 26-11 29-18
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game75.6
Stjarnan W 🏆
Iceland
Vs
97%
■ STJA 97%■ FJOL 3%
Pythia win probability
Fjolnir W
Iceland
Position#10
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game100.4
IcelandPremier League WRound 6· Umhyggjuhollin
Women2026-27
Meetings · Stjarnan W v Fjolnir W
02 Nov 2026
STJA110
FJOL69
07 Oct 2023
STJA88
FJOL70
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Stjarnan W will host Fjolnir W in the Premier League W on 2 November 2026, with the Pythia model declaring Stjarnan W the favourite at 97% to 3% as the only team with a winning record, 4-1, and a points per game advantage of 85.6 over 75.6, while Fjolnir W sits at 0-5 with 63.6 points per game and 100.4 allowed. Stjarnan W has gone 2-0 at home, averaging 86.5 points and conceding 71.0, and has won four of its last five games, including a 92-72 victory over Keflavik W on 27 October and a 93-80 win at home on 20 October. Fjolnir W has lost all three road games, scoring 60.3 points and allowing 100.7, and has five straight defeats, the most recent being a 70-99 loss to Grindavik W on 28 October. Their head-to-head record is 2-0 in favour of Stjarnan W, the last meeting ending 72-66 for Stjarnan W on 5 December 2023. The model projects a 94-71 score for a total of 165.2 points, with a 1% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan W winWon
96.9%fair 1.03
Best odds1.01
Implied92.2%
Edge+4.6pp
Fjolnir W winLost
3.1%fair 32.07
Best odds12.00
Implied7.8%
Edge-4.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stjarnan WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Armann W
#11
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 75
A04/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
57-90
57
90
-33
46avg 75
A25/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
100-106
100
106
-6
91avg 75
A30/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 75
H03/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 75
A08/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 75
A29/09
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
80avg 75
H06/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 75
A12/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
93-80
93
80
+13
102avg 75
H20/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
83avg 75
A27/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
14-21
21-23
25-27
21-15
8-22
18-39
10-14
21-24
14-33
40-29
25-20
25-24
19-22
7-24
19-17
7-29
22-20
22-21
33-18
20-17
15-24
24-23
28-30
23-10
18-24
16-17
23-11
17-24
15-18
24-11
20-17
19-25
27-16
22-16
25-23
25-21
23-13
23-16
21-22
165.9Avg total
82.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.675.6161.2+10.080%
Season at home (2)86.571.0157.5+15.5100%
Season away (3)85.078.7163.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)82.783.2165.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)85.675.6161.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.485.6161.9-9.221%
vs Similar (8)80.684.1164.8-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.178.0167.1+11.188%
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
90avg 66
H01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 66
A06/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
83-107
83
107
-24
73avg 66
A10/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 66
H14/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
89-98
89
98
-9
90avg 66
A18/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
65-96
65
96
-31
56avg 66
A30/09
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
L
67-101
67
101
-34
54avg 66
H07/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
L
61-98
61
98
-37
49avg 66
A12/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
55-108
55
108
-53
38avg 66
A20/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
63avg 66
H28/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
17-17
21-17
28-25
21-16
25-25
20-16
24-22
25-33
19-27
22-25
17-22
16-22
28-17
13-18
20-22
17-22
28-21
26-23
18-32
10-38
13-17
19-21
23-20
15-35
10-30
14-17
28-19
16-24
14-24
13-25
18-25
13-30
9-28
17-25
16-25
26-29
19-23
4-18
21-29
170.7Avg total
75.2Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.6100.4164.0-36.80%
Season at home (2)68.5100.0168.5-31.50%
Season away (3)60.3100.7161.0-40.30%
Last 10 (10)75.295.5170.7-20.320%
Last 5 (5)63.6100.4164.0-36.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)67.387.2154.5-19.811%
vs Similar (4)78.889.0167.8-10.20%
vs Weaker (7)86.977.9164.7+9.086%
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164Actual: Over 164
Over 164
52.9%
Under 164
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.25 · main lineActual: Over 169.25
Over 169.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 169.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 174Actual: Over 174
Over 174
28.7%
Under 174
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Stjarnan W total 97.5Actual: Stjarnan W over 97.5
Over 97.5
35.0%
@ 1.30-33.3pp
Under 97.5
65.0%
@ 2.80+33.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
2.80
Stjarnan W total 101.5 · main lineActual: Stjarnan W over 101.5
Over 101.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 101.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.56
Under
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.82
Stjarnan W total 105.5Actual: Stjarnan W over 105.5
Over 105.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under 105.5
no forecast
@ 1.49
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.49
Fjolnir W total 62.5Actual: Fjolnir W over 62.5
Over 62.5
no forecast
@ 1.41
Under 62.5
no forecast
@ 2.29
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.29
Fjolnir W total 66.5 · main lineActual: Fjolnir W over 66.5
Over 66.5
69.0%
@ 1.85+19.4pp
Under 66.5
31.0%
@ 1.85-19.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.64
Fjolnir W total 70.5Actual: Fjolnir W under 70.5
Over 70.5
53.7%
@ 2.61+19.9pp
Under 70.5
46.3%
@ 1.33-19.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.61
Under
1xBet
1.33

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Stjarnan W -39.5Actual: Stjarnan W -39.5
STJA -39.5
no forecast
@ 2.33
FJOL +39.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
STJA
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.12
FJOL
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Spread Stjarnan W -36.5 · main lineActual: Stjarnan W -36.5
STJA -36.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
FJOL +36.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
STJA
Pinnacle
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Marathon Be
1.74
1xBet
1.69
FJOL
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Spread Stjarnan W -33.5Actual: Stjarnan W -33.5
STJA -33.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
FJOL +33.5
no forecast
@ 2.38
Best 5 market prices
STJA
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.41
FJOL
1xBet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -9.2-9.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -9.2-9.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Stjarnan WFjolnir W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stjarnan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A04/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A25/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A30/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H03/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/09
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H06/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A27/10
Premier League W
79.5Avg total
38.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)41.141.782.8-0.647%43%
Last 30 at home (14)42.341.183.4+1.150%50%
Last 30 away (16)40.042.282.2-2.244%38%
Last 10 (10)38.141.479.5-3.340%30%
Last 5 (5)40.438.478.8+2.060%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.443.181.4-4.736%43%
vs Similar (8)43.144.087.1-0.938%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.837.080.8+6.875%38%
This opponent (Fjolnir W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fjolnir WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thor AK Akureyri W
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A06/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A10/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/04
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A18/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A30/09
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
L
25-65
25
65
-40
H07/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A12/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
22-58
22
58
-36
A20/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H28/10
Premier League W
87.9Avg total
37.0Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (29)37.044.281.2-7.238%38%
Last 30 at home (12)39.845.685.4-5.842%58%
Last 30 away (17)35.043.378.3-8.335%24%
Last 10 (10)37.050.987.9-13.930%60%
Last 5 (5)29.055.684.6-26.60%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.345.779.1-12.417%28%
vs Similar (4)42.844.887.5-2.075%50%
vs Weaker (7)43.140.183.3+3.071%57%
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Stjarnan W win
STJA win
no forecast
@ 1.03
FJOL win
no forecast
@ 9.50
1st half Spread Stjarnan W -18.5 · main lineActual: Fjolnir W +18.5
STJA -18.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
FJOL +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Over 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Stjarnan W 1st half total 51.5 · main lineActual: Stjarnan W over 51.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Fjolnir W 1st half total 33 · main lineActual: Fjolnir W over 33
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Stjarnan W -17.5Actual: Fjolnir W +17.5
STJA -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
FJOL +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Stjarnan W -20.5Actual: Fjolnir W +20.5
STJA -20.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
FJOL +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Stjarnan W (regulation)
STJA
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 30.00
FJOL
no forecast
@ 10.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
STJA win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
FJOL win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: STJA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Fjolnir W over 65.572.5%1.75
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.68		---+21.9ppWon
Fjolnir W over 6671.5%1.79
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.74		---+21.8ppWon
Stjarnan W win96.9%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan W: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.423.2
47.9%
47.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
30.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.516.8
68.6%
74.1%16.8
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fjolnir Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fjolnir W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.3
45.3%
47.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.213.0
64.4%
74.1%13.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan W
WWWWLLLLLW
Fjolnir W
LLLLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#10
+0.5
Net rating
-20.9
81.9
Offensive rating
76.5
81.4
Defensive rating
97.4
46.4%
Effective FG%
46.8%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
22.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.8%
3-point %
32.9%
64.3%
Assist %
64.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence81.9 · 76.5Defence81.4 · 97.4Shooting46.4% · 46.8%3-point %28.8% · 32.9%Ball care20.0% · 22.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Stjarnan W   ■ Fjolnir W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Stjarnan W wins
0
Fjolnir W wins
DateGameScore
05/12/23Fjolnir W v Stjarnan W66-72
07/10/23Stjarnan W v Fjolnir W88-70
Stjarnan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26AKeflavik W92-72
20/10/26HTindastoll W93-80
12/10/26AHaukar W76-70
06/10/26HArmann W80-62
29/09/26AKR Reykjavik W87-94
08/04/26AHaukar W84-88
03/04/26HHaukar W70-87
30/03/26AHaukar W100-106
25/03/26AKeflavik W57-90
04/03/26AArmann W88-83
Fjolnir Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HGrindavik W70-99
20/10/26ANjardvik W55-108
12/10/26AKeflavik W61-98
07/10/26HTindastoll W67-101
30/09/26AHaukar W65-96
18/04/26AHamar W89-98
14/04/26HHamar W77-79
10/04/26AHamar W83-107
06/04/26AThor AK Akureyri W90-79
01/04/26HThor AK Akureyri W95-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game85.686.585.0
Allowed / game75.671.078.7
Point differential+10.0+15.5+6.3
Avg total161.2157.5163.7
Over 169.2540%50%33%
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fjolnir W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.668.560.3
Allowed / game100.4100.0100.7
Point differential-36.8-31.5-40.3
Avg total164.0168.5161.0
Over 169.250%0%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik W550100%91.468.6+22.8
2 Njardvik W54180%91.477.8+13.6
3 Stjarnan W54180%85.675.6+10.0
4 Haukar W53260%84.674.8+9.8
5 Valur W53260%78.272.2+6.0
6 KR Reykjavik W53260%88.891.0-2.2
7 Tindastoll W52340%72.274.8-2.6
8 Keflavik W51420%76.479.6-3.2
9 Armann W5050%75.092.4-17.4
10 Fjolnir W5050%63.6100.4-36.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan W28272629110
Fjolnir W2020111869
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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