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Stjarnan W vs Valur W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 71-76
18-16 23-19 16-17 14-24
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game72.2
Stjarnan W
Iceland
vs
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game72.2
IcelandPremier League WRound 5· Umhyggjuhollin
Women2023-24
Meetings · Stjarnan W v Valur W
08 Dec 2026
STJA v VALU
upcoming
26 Nov 2025
STJA68
VALU88
28 Jan 2025
STJA84
VALU85
17 Oct 2023
STJA71
VALU76
23 Mar 2019
STJA68
VALU90
19 Dec 2018
STJA73
VALU84
24 Mar 2018
STJA66
VALU85
16 Dec 2017
STJA51
VALU65
08 Mar 2017
STJA72
VALU68
19 Oct 2016
STJA71
VALU62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stjarnan WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Breidablik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A26/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A02/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
H07/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
no box
A10/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
H14/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A17/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
no box
A26/09
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
58-84
58
84
-26
33avg 55
A03/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
W
88-70
88
70
+18
76avg 55
H07/10
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
A10/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
18-26
24-17
19-30
18-11
25-13
17-23
18-23
11-14
20-13
15-20
18-15
21-18
15-34
11-15
20-24
21-17
13-25
12-22
27-19
21-25
14-16
20-18
14-26
6-14
13-19
26-17
13-17
14-15
20-20
15-27
9-22
18-18
26-25
20-17
24-10
18-16
19-11
13-18
24-23
147.7Avg total
71.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.572.2141.8-2.850%
Season at home (1)88.070.0158.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)63.373.0136.3-9.733%
Last 10 (10)71.576.2147.7-4.750%
Last 5 (5)69.474.8144.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.885.2150.0-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.672.7146.4+0.958%
vs Weaker (7)78.368.9147.1+9.486%
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#3
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
W
56-46
56
46
+10
no box
A16/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A19/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
no box
H22/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A25/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H28/04
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
59avg 56
A26/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 56
H04/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
58avg 56
A08/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
no box
H11/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
12-25
19-17
19-16
8-7
14-10
14-12
20-17
12-13
17-23
22-18
18-12
16-12
22-15
15-15
9-20
13-28
11-19
18-12
24-19
13-17
18-17
23-20
18-14
19-17
21-15
19-3
16-23
14-16
22-16
14-18
11-17
24-24
17-16
19-28
23-23
24-18
19-19
19-11
13-25
140.1Avg total
70.4Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.572.2145.8+1.250%
Season at home (2)68.070.0138.0-2.050%
Season away (2)79.074.5153.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)70.469.7140.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)73.271.4144.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.091.0174.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.269.6138.8-0.460%
vs Weaker (14)90.665.2155.8+25.493%
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
Stjarnan WValur W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stjarnan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breidablik W
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A26/03
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A02/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A26/09
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/10
Premier League W
Snaefell W
#12
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A10/10
Premier League W
71.5Avg total
35.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.372.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.836.974.6+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)35.833.969.7+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)35.635.971.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.869.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.435.171.5+1.358%-
vs Weaker (7)41.433.074.4+8.486%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A16/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A19/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H22/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A25/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/04
Premier League W
Breidablik W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A26/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/10
Premier League W
68.5Avg total
33.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.333.072.3+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.332.372.7+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)38.233.771.9+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.968.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.073.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.040.081.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.034.566.5-2.547%-
vs Weaker (14)46.930.977.9+16.086%-
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan W: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.314.0
33.1%
45.2%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.06.7
22.2%
29.5%20.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.7
75.7%
72.9%18.7
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 58.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.8
50.0%
45.2%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.24.8
24.7%
29.5%14.2
🏀 Free throws16.813.0
77.6%
72.9%13.0
They take 50.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan W
WWLLLLLWWW
Valur W
WLLWWLWWWL
#8
League position
#5
-7.6
Net rating
+3.4
79.6
Offensive rating
99.0
87.2
Defensive rating
95.7
33.2%
Effective FG%
45.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.5%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
22.2%
3-point %
24.7%
45.2%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence79.6 · 99.0Defence87.2 · 95.7Shooting33.2% · 45.1%3-point %22.2% · 24.7%Ball care18.3% · 19.5%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Stjarnan W   ■ Valur W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Stjarnan W wins
8
Valur W wins
DateGameScore
23/03/19Stjarnan W v Valur W68-90
09/02/19Valur W v Stjarnan W83-60
19/12/18Stjarnan W v Valur W73-84
31/10/18Valur W v Stjarnan W67-68
24/03/18Stjarnan W v Valur W66-85
24/02/18Valur W v Stjarnan W82-57
16/12/17Stjarnan W v Valur W51-65
01/11/17Valur W v Stjarnan W85-83
08/03/17Stjarnan W v Valur W72-68
29/01/17Valur W v Stjarnan W72-63
Stjarnan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/23ASnaefell W74-68
07/10/23HFjolnir W88-70
03/10/23AKeflavik W58-84
26/09/23AThor AK Akureyri W58-67
17/04/19AKeflavik W69-85
14/04/19HKeflavik W73-83
10/04/19AKeflavik W67-91
07/04/19HKeflavik W64-62
02/04/19AKeflavik W78-70
26/03/19ABreidablik W86-82
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HThor AK Akureyri W75-73
08/10/23AGrindavik W83-91
04/10/23HHaukar W61-67
26/09/23ABreidablik W75-58
28/04/23HKeflavik W72-68
25/04/23AKeflavik W66-78
22/04/23HKeflavik W77-70 OT
19/04/23AKeflavik W69-66
16/04/23AHaukar W56-46
13/04/23HHaukar W70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game69.588.063.3
Allowed / game72.270.073.0
Point differential-2.8+18.0-9.7
Avg total141.8158.0136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur W
Premier League W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game73.568.079.0
Allowed / game72.270.074.5
Point differential+1.2-2.0+4.5
Avg total145.8138.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keflavik W440100%93.071.8+21.2
2 Haukar W43175%80.858.2+22.5
3 Grindavik W43175%80.265.2+15.0
4 Njardvik W43175%73.563.2+10.2
5 Thor AK Akureyri W42250%72.062.5+9.5
6 Valur W42250%73.572.2+1.2
7 Stjarnan W42250%69.572.2-2.8
8 Fjolnir W41325%72.083.5-11.5
9 Breidablik W4040%64.589.2-24.8
10 Snaefell W4040%49.890.5-40.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan W1823161471
Valur W1619172476
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