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Stonehill vs Curry Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-56
0-0 47-23 0-0 37-33
Position#102
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Stonehill 🏆
USA
Vs
96%
■ STON 96%■ CURR 4%
Pythia win probability
Projected 80-60
Projected total 140.8
Curry
USA
Position#322
Record-
FormLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Stonehill host Curry in the NCAA. Pythia makes Stonehill the favourite at 96% and projects 80-60, about 141 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stonehill winWon
95.5%fair 1.05
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Curry winLost
4.5%fair 22.24
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A06/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A13/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H14/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-31
0-0
34-43
0-0
29-26
0-0
25-35
0-0
19-38
0-0
36-30
0-0
24-26
0-0
33-42
0-0
30-32
0-0
21-32
0-0
32-24
0-0
45-44
0-0
54-33
0-0
49-44
0-0
30-30
0-0
32-32
0-0
39-32
0-0
42-39
0-0
19-23
0-0
32-33
134.1Avg total
65.9Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.968.2134.1-2.330%
Last 5 (5)76.869.4146.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.076.0140.0-12.020%
vs Similar (19)62.765.5128.2-2.842%
vs Weaker (6)78.371.2149.5+7.250%
CurryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire
#100
L
38-115
38
115
-77
A09/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
31-113
31
113
-82
A06/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
19-59
0-0
19-56
0-0
24-46
0-0
7-67
148.5Avg total
34.5Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)34.5114.0148.5-79.50%
Last 5 (2)34.5114.0148.5-79.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Under 142
Over 142
46.7%
Under 142
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Under 147
Over 147
34.4%
Under 147
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
23.7%
Under 152
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Stonehill total 73Actual: Stonehill over 73
Over 73
78.1%
Under 73
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stonehill total 77Actual: Stonehill over 77
Over 77
63.9%
Under 77
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stonehill total 81Actual: Stonehill over 81
Over 81
47.3%
Under 81
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Curry total 66Actual: Curry under 66
Over 66
27.8%
Under 66
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Curry total 70Actual: Curry under 70
Over 70
16.0%
Under 70
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Curry total 74Actual: Curry under 74
Over 74
8.2%
Under 74
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Stonehill -3Actual: Stonehill -3
STON -3
93.6%
CURR +3
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
STON
No market prices yet.
CURR
No market prices yet.
Spread Stonehill 0Actual: Stonehill 0
STON 0
95.5%
CURR 0
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
STON
No market prices yet.
CURR
No market prices yet.
Spread Stonehill +3Actual: Stonehill +3
STON +3
97.1%
CURR -3
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
STON
No market prices yet.
CURR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-61-30+0+30+61Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -31.0-31.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -48.5-48.5
-61-30+0+30+61Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -31.0-31.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -48.5-48.5
StonehillCurry
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A06/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H14/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A07/03
NCAA
59.5Avg total
30.0Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.130.760.8-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.428.862.2+4.758%-
Last 30 away (18)27.832.059.8-4.222%-
Last 10 (10)30.029.559.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.828.463.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.633.660.2-7.00%-
vs Similar (19)29.330.259.4-0.937%-
vs Weaker (6)35.530.065.5+5.567%-
CurryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire
#100
L
19-59
19
59
-40
A09/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A06/11
NCAA
74.0Avg total
21.5Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)21.552.574.0-31.00%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (2)21.552.574.0-31.00%-
Last 10 (2)21.552.574.0-31.00%-
Last 5 (2)21.552.574.0-31.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stonehill wins
0
Curry wins
No previous meetings.
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AMercyhurst Lakers51-56
05/03/26ALe Moyne81-71
28/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-75 OT
27/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)103-77
21/02/26HLe Moyne77-68
20/02/26ANew Haven Chargers51-64
14/02/26HWagner57-68
13/02/26AChicago State55-68
07/02/26ALIU Sharks54-61
06/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson58-74
Currylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25ANew Hampshire Wildcats31-113
09/11/23ANew Hampshire38-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stonehill
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Curry
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stonehill04703784
Curry02303356
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