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Sutjeska vs Pelister Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-78
24-16 21-25 20-16 14-21
Position#10
Record3-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#11
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeABA League 2Round 10· Spens mala dvorana
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelister winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SutjeskaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSutjeska
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#15
W
74-60
74
60
+14
76avg 68
H19/12
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 68
A21/12
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Pljevlja
#14
W
107-74
107
74
+33
no box
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
102-73
102
73
+29
no box
H13/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A16/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
W
84-64
84
64
+20
no box
H21/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
A23/01
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 68
H30/01
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 68
A01/02
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-7
17-14
20-22
20-27
13-24
20-15
19-18
19-25
18-16
14-17
22-23
23-18
29-18
32-15
23-23
23-17
14-18
30-14
35-24
30-25
24-24
17-21
19-12
24-12
17-15
13-23
30-14
22-17
25-28
19-14
28-28
21-23
16-20
21-16
18-22
21-25
19-24
23-14
13-17
161.4Avg total
84.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.981.2158.1-4.333%
Season at home (4)73.880.8154.5-7.025%
Season away (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
Last 10 (10)84.876.6161.4+8.260%
Last 5 (5)84.078.8162.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.086.5156.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.280.9165.1+3.367%
vs Weaker (13)90.371.5161.8+18.8100%
This opponent (Pelister) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelister
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
112-85
112
85
+27
119avg 76
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
73avg 76
H09/12
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
86avg 76
H13/12
Prva Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
61avg 76
H18/12
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 76
A20/12
ABA League 2
Rabotnicki
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
75avg 76
A27/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
W
72-66
72
66
+6
67avg 76
A20/01
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
H26/01
Prva Liga
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
85-78 OT
85
78
+7
78avg 76
A31/01
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 76
H02/02
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
26-16
31-24
31-27
15-19
17-13
23-19
17-10
26-29
23-6
20-26
20-27
17-19
20-12
13-22
16-22
18-19
20-27
10-17
26-15
20-26
16-27
20-34
28-11
24-14
15-19
16-20
17-13
19-24
14-11
20-28
19-9
14-18
23-23
16-15
16-13
24-26
20-11
20-26
19-18
161.1Avg total
81.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.879.8156.6-3.044%
Season at home (4)77.581.5159.0-4.050%
Season away (5)76.278.4154.6-2.240%
Last 10 (10)81.879.3161.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)81.081.2162.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.982.0156.9-7.118%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.278.6159.9+2.662%
vs Weaker (11)88.272.4160.5+15.891%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
SutjeskaPelister
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#15
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H19/12
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A21/12
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Pljevlja
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H13/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#4
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A16/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H21/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A23/01
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/01
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/02
ABA League 2
81.5Avg total
41.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.083.0+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.937.578.4+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.587.5-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.081.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.248.683.9-13.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.844.489.2+0.344%-
vs Weaker (13)44.233.878.1+10.492%-
This opponent (Pelister) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/12
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H13/12
Prva Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/12
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A20/12
ABA League 2
Rabotnicki
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A27/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/01
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H26/01
Prva Liga
GKK Sibenka
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/01
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H02/02
ABA League 2
77.2Avg total
39.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.279.7+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.136.780.8+7.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.878.5-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.777.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.877.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.539.577.0-1.945%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.539.882.2+2.862%-
vs Weaker (11)44.535.980.5+8.673%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.8
52.5%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.1
30.2%
31.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.414.9
69.4%
73.7%14.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelistertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelister: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.3
55.9%
53.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.9
31.0%
31.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
73.7%14.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sutjeska
LLWWWWWLLW
Pelister
WWLWLLLWWW
#10
League position
#11
-6.0
Net rating
+8.7
99.7
Offensive rating
106.9
105.7
Defensive rating
98.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.2%
3-point %
31.0%
62.4%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 106.9Defence105.7 · 98.2Shooting49.7% · 52.3%3-point %30.2% · 31.0%Ball care16.8% · 18.9%Off. rebounds21.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Sutjeska   ■ Pelister
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sutjeska wins
2
Pelister wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Pelister v Sutjeska77-75
15/10/21Pelister v Sutjeska93-73
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ACedevita Junior76-80
30/01/24HSiroki Brijeg76-81
23/01/24AJedinstvo94-87
21/01/24HLovcen Cetinje84-64
16/01/24APrimorje90-82
13/01/24HKotor102-73
28/12/23HPljevlja107-74
25/12/23APodgorica73-81
21/12/23AZlatibor72-84
19/12/23HTFT Skopje74-60
Pelisterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HHelios Domzale83-81
31/01/24AGKK Sibenka85-78 OT
26/01/24HTikvesh81-83 OT
20/01/24AMZT Skopje72-66
27/12/23ARabotnicki84-98
20/12/23ACedevita Junior74-78
18/12/23HSiroki Brijeg66-75
13/12/23HGostivar89-88
09/12/23HKozuv72-61
02/12/23AFMP Akademija112-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game76.973.879.4
Allowed / game81.280.881.6
Point differential-4.3-7.0-2.2
Avg total158.1154.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelister
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game76.877.576.2
Allowed / game79.881.578.4
Point differential-3.0-4.0-2.2
Avg total156.6159.0154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %22%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad1311285%81.973.4+8.5
2 Zlatibor108280%90.078.3+11.7
3 Spartak Subotica108280%85.376.6+8.7
4 Siroki Brijeg107370%78.473.0+5.4
5 MZT Skopje96367%82.276.9+5.3
6 Podgorica106460%78.077.5+0.5
7 Borac Banja Luka105550%71.170.5+0.6
8 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
9 Pelister94544%76.879.8-3.0
10 Cedevita Junior104640%75.081.0-6.0
11 Helios Domzale93633%76.479.2-2.8
12 Sutjeska93633%76.981.2-4.3
13 Sencur103730%73.279.3-6.1
14 TFT Skopje102820%71.779.7-8.0
15 GKK Sibenka91811%74.484.7-10.2
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutjeska2421201479
Pelister1625162178
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