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Sweden U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jul 2017
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 76-66
16-26 18-14 29-16 13-10
Position#11
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game56.2
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#13
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Quarter-finals
Other2017
Meetings · Sweden U20 v Italy U20
20 Jul 2017
SWED76
ITAL66
14 Jul 2012
SWED62
ITAL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sweden U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic U20
#9
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#10
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Hungary U20
#16
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A22/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A23/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A24/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#8
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
L
44-79
44
79
-35
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#15
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#12
L
39-73
39
73
-34
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-7
11-16
8-21
20-23
12-18
16-17
20-17
21-13
9-17
10-18
15-16
19-15
22-12
17-9
17-12
6-10
19-12
26-12
23-18
15-27
14-16
19-22
20-16
24-28
17-13
14-17
18-18
23-18
9-16
14-18
13-24
8-21
21-19
13-17
18-12
18-8
16-18
5-22
12-21
6-12
129.6Avg total
63.0Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)56.268.5124.8-12.250%
Season at home (2)55.569.5125.0-14.050%
Season away (2)57.067.5124.5-10.550%
Last 10 (10)63.066.6129.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)60.471.2131.6-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)58.070.5128.5-12.527%
vs Similar ◀ (7)62.673.7136.3-11.114%
vs Weaker (12)76.256.8133.1+19.492%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium U20
#15
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#7
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A22/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#9
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H23/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H24/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#14
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
22-16
22-18
26-18
18-12
17-16
17-20
13-21
14-17
16-19
13-17
27-12
9-26
18-18
13-24
32-15
20-17
13-11
25-16
23-22
25-22
18-20
29-13
14-24
12-19
19-26
21-21
17-11
26-27
15-18
15-17
16-21
13-17
16-26
19-16
15-23
15-23
18-15
14-17
24-24
148.5Avg total
73.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.880.2149.0-11.50%
Season at home (2)66.079.5145.5-13.50%
Season away (2)71.581.0152.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)73.874.7148.5-0.940%
Last 5 (5)72.280.0152.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.177.3142.4-12.211%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.369.2137.6-0.950%
vs Weaker (9)77.265.9143.1+11.378%
This opponent (Sweden U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
Sweden U20Italy U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sweden U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic U20
#9
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#10
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Hungary U20
#16
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A22/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#12
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A23/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
62.2Avg total
30.6Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.766.7-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.633.665.3-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)34.133.867.9+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)30.631.662.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)28.435.664.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.336.463.6-9.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.736.667.3-5.914%-
vs Weaker (12)39.529.669.1+9.975%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium U20
#15
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H23/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H15/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#14
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
72.0Avg total
34.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.467.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.534.367.8-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)33.434.467.9-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.772.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.678.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.439.970.3-9.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.233.564.8-2.242%-
vs Weaker (9)39.430.069.4+9.478%-
This opponent (Sweden U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sweden U20 wins
1
Italy U20 wins
DateGameScore
19/07/16Italy U20 v Sweden U2065-69
14/07/12Sweden U20 v Italy U2062-87
Sweden U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/17HIceland U2039-73
17/07/17ACzech Republic U2070-56
16/07/17AGreece U2044-79
15/07/17HGermany U2072-66
24/07/16ASlovenia U2077-82
23/07/16AIsrael U2083-69
22/07/16AHungary U2062-43
20/07/16HLatvia U2053-66
19/07/16AItaly U2069-65
17/07/16ACzech Republic U2061-67
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/17AIsrael U2071-79
17/07/17HSlovenia U2063-82
16/07/17ASpain U2072-83
15/07/17HSerbia U2069-77
24/07/16HLatvia U2086-79
23/07/16HCzech Republic U2081-66
22/07/16ATurkey U2072-83
20/07/16ASerbia U2070-65
19/07/16HSweden U2065-69
17/07/16ABelgium U2089-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden U20
EuroBasket U20 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game56.255.557.0
Allowed / game68.569.567.5
Point differential-12.2-14.0-10.5
Avg total124.8125.0124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.866.071.5
Allowed / game80.279.581.0
Point differential-11.5-13.5-9.5
Avg total149.0145.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Greece U20440100%77.254.2+23.0
2 Spain U20440100%89.567.5+22.0
3 Israel U20440100%88.574.0+14.5
4 France U20440100%73.259.5+13.8
5 Serbia U2043175%86.069.2+16.8
6 Lithuania U2043175%86.273.8+12.5
7 Germany U2042250%78.271.5+6.8
8 Iceland U2042250%62.257.2+5.0
9 Sweden U2042250%56.268.5-12.2
10 Turkey U2041325%70.572.5-2.0
11 Montenegro U2041325%61.265.2-4.0
12 Ukraine U2041325%75.085.8-10.8
13 Slovenia U2041325%64.878.0-13.2
14 Italy U204040%68.880.2-11.5
15 Czech Republic U204040%53.884.0-30.2
16 Latvia U204040%57.287.5-30.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden U201618291376
Italy U202614161066
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