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Sweden W vs Denmark W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 76-69
21-20 16-18 23-15 16-16
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game62.0
Sweden W 🏆
vs
Denmark W
Position#28
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game53.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Stadium Arena B
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Spain W
#13
L
55-76
55
76
-21
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
54-78
54
78
-24
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
W
64-46
64
46
+18
no box
A21/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
no box
A23/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
70-89
70
89
-19
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
59avg 59
A09/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
8-26
18-11
20-18
18-25
11-15
13-17
12-21
19-11
11-9
15-17
19-9
10-15
4-11
17-19
15-13
10-25
21-30
19-11
13-16
21-22
18-25
21-23
10-19
14-14
16-13
15-28
23-20
10-19
22-12
8-23
17-17
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
131.4Avg total
60.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.062.0126.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)64.062.0126.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)60.670.8131.4-10.220%
Last 5 (5)64.873.6138.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.272.5131.8-13.212%
vs Similar (5)57.868.8126.6-11.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)75.254.4129.6+20.880%
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A13/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
H15/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
L
55-101
55
101
-46
no box
A04/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
82-48
82
48
+34
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Russia W
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
L
63-66
63
66
-3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
81-53
81
53
+28
80avg 80
H09/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
18-20
11-18
12-20
19-27
18-17
31-14
23-16
13-26
11-23
19-23
12-29
19-15
13-28
17-19
14-22
16-15
24-12
21-13
21-8
16-25
13-17
12-22
16-13
14-18
15-16
7-16
24-17
18-18
20-18
19-14
6-16
20-19
13-16
21-20
17-16
18-14
21-13
28-12
14-14
143.5Avg total
70.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.053.0134.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)81.053.0134.0+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.073.5143.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)69.068.8137.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)62.285.6147.8-23.40%
vs Similar (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (10)89.854.2144.0+35.680%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Sweden WDenmark W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain W
#13
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A18/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H20/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A21/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
14-26
14
26
-12
A23/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
64.3Avg total
29.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)31.330.862.2+0.556%-
Last 30 at home (9)34.330.965.2+3.467%-
Last 30 away (9)28.330.859.1-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)29.434.964.3-5.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.266.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.534.663.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (5)28.031.059.0-3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.224.663.8+14.680%-
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H15/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A04/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H11/11
European Championship Women
Russia W
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
72.5Avg total
34.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)39.934.274.1+5.647%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.332.173.4+9.256%-
Last 30 away (8)38.236.674.9+1.638%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.372.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.868.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.845.478.2-12.60%-
vs Similar (2)33.041.574.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (10)44.827.272.0+17.680%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
45.4%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.0
24.1%
30.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
72.4%15.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark W: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.0
47.8%
45.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
30.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
72.4%13.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden W
WLLLLLLWLL
Denmark W
WWLLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#28
+0.0
Net rating
+38.1
88.9
Offensive rating
102.8
88.9
Defensive rating
64.8
36.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
38.4%
23.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
47.7%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
24.1%
3-point %
34.8%
100.0%
Assist %
76.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 102.8Defence88.9 · 64.8Shooting36.2% · 49.3%3-point %24.1% · 34.8%Ball care23.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds47.7% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Sweden W   ■ Denmark W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden W wins
0
Denmark W wins
No previous meetings.
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
09/02/23AIsrael W57-71
24/11/22HIsrael W68-75
14/11/21ALatvia W70-89
26/06/21HBosnia & Herzegovina W63-82
23/06/21ABelarus W46-58
21/06/21AItaly W64-46
20/06/21HBelarus W54-78
18/06/21ASpain W55-76
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HEstonia W81-53
12/02/23AMontenegro W84-81 OT
27/11/22AAustria W63-66
24/11/22HMontenegro W60-67
14/11/21ARussia W57-77
11/11/21HAustria W82-48
06/02/21HCzech Republic W63-84
04/02/21AItaly W55-101
15/11/20HRomania W91-74
13/11/20ACzech Republic W64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game64.0-64.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total126.0-126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Denmark W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game53.053.0-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total134.0134.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany W110100%85.041.0+44.0
2 Serbia W110100%82.040.0+42.0
3 Lithuania W110100%99.062.0+37.0
4 Turkey W110100%75.040.0+35.0
5 Denmark W110100%81.053.0+28.0
6 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
7 France W110100%71.049.0+22.0
8 Montenegro W110100%91.070.0+21.0
9 Hungary W110100%70.051.0+19.0
10 Netherlands W110100%64.045.0+19.0
11 Portugal W110100%65.052.0+13.0
12 Romania W110100%82.070.0+12.0
13 Finland W110100%75.065.0+10.0
14 Italy W110100%76.067.0+9.0
15 Luxembourg W110100%56.048.0+8.0
16 Poland W110100%67.062.0+5.0
17 Sweden W110100%64.062.0+2.0
18 Belgium W21150%99.047.5+51.5
19 Great Britain W1010%62.064.0-2.0
20 Croatia W1010%65.070.0-5.0
21 Switzerland W1010%48.056.0-8.0
22 Greece W1010%67.076.0-9.0
23 Bulgaria W1010%65.075.0-10.0
24 Iceland W1010%70.082.0-12.0
25 North Macedonia W1010%52.065.0-13.0
26 Slovenia W1010%51.070.0-19.0
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W1010%70.091.0-21.0
28 Latvia W1010%49.071.0-22.0
29 Estonia W1010%53.081.0-28.0
30 Austria W2020%39.569.5-30.0
31 Slovakia W1010%40.075.0-35.0
32 Ukraine W1010%40.082.0-42.0
33 Czech Republic W1010%41.085.0-44.0
34 Azerbaijan W2020%45.0117.5-72.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden W2116231676
Denmark W2018151669
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