Szczecin will host Czarni Slupsk on 8 November 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, and the Pythia model names Szczecin the clear favourite, assigning a 79% chance of victory largely because the team has a 4-1 record, averages 85.8 points per game and allows only 77.6, while Czarni Slupsk sits 15th with a 0-5 record, 78.2 points scored and 84.0 allowed. Szczecin's overall season shows a 4-1 record, 85.8 points per game, 77.6 allowed, and a third-place league position; at home they are 1-1, 69.5 points per game, 68.0 allowed, and have won all five of their last games, including a 95-86 win over Gornik Walbrzych on 1 November and a 90-87 home win over Nancy on 28 October. Czarni Slupsk's season totals are 0-5, 78.2 points per game, 84.0 allowed, 0-2 on the road, and five straight losses, with recent defeats to Gdynia, Dziki Warszawa and Ostrow Wielkopolski. Their head-to-head record is 6-4 in favour of Szczecin, the last meeting ending 84-83 for Szczecin on 31 January 2026. Pythia projects a 88-79 score, 166.7 total points, a home line of -8.0 with a 54% chance of covering, an over line of 165.5 with a 52% probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. Szczecin's recent 95-86 victory over Gornik Walbrzych shows the team's ability to win in close games.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Szczecin winWon
78.7%fair 1.27
Best odds1.34
Implied74.2%
Edge+4.5pp
Czarni Slupsk winLost
21.3%fair 4.70
Best odds3.70
Implied25.8%
Edge-4.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Szczecin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5Actual: Over 159.5
Over 159.5
65.5%
@ 1.52+2.7pp
Under 159.5
34.5%
@ 2.55-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.52
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.42
Over/Under 164.75 · main lineActual: Over 164.75
Over 164.75
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 164.75
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 169.5Actual: Over 169.5
Over 169.5
41.7%
@ 2.32+1.3pp
Under 169.5
58.3%
@ 1.57-1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.52
Marathon Be
1.52
📊 3. Team Totals
Szczecin total 82Actual: Szczecin over 82
Over 82
72.1%
Under 82
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szczecin total 86 · main lineActual: Szczecin over 86
Over 86
56.9%
@ 1.83+6.8pp
Under 86
43.1%
@ 1.87-6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.71
Szczecin total 90Actual: Szczecin over 90
Over 90
40.5%
Under 90
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Czarni Slupsk total 74.5Actual: Czarni Slupsk over 74.5
Over 74.5
65.1%
@ 1.42+1.1pp
Under 74.5
34.9%
@ 2.60-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
Under
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.38
Czarni Slupsk total 78.5 · main lineActual: Czarni Slupsk over 78.5
Over 78.5
49.8%
@ 1.85-0.2pp
Under 78.5
50.2%
@ 1.88+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.71
Czarni Slupsk total 82.5Actual: Czarni Slupsk over 82.5
Over 82.5
34.7%
@ 2.55-1.6pp
Under 82.5
65.3%
@ 1.44+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.39
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.38
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Szczecin -10.5Actual: Czarni Slupsk +10.5
SZC -10.5
44.8%
@ 2.47+6.5pp
CSL +10.5
55.2%
@ 1.66-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
SZC
Pinnacle
2.47
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.23
Bet365
2.15
CSL
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.55
Marathon Be
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.47
Spread Szczecin -7.5 · main lineActual: Szczecin -7.5
SZC -7.5
55.8%
@ 1.93+6.4pp
CSL +7.5
44.2%
@ 1.95-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SZC
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.85
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Betfair
1.83
CSL
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
Spread Szczecin -4.5Actual: Szczecin -4.5
SZC -4.5
66.7%
@ 1.55+5.7pp
CSL +4.5
33.3%
@ 2.50-5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
SZC
Marathon Be
1.55
Bet365
1.51
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
CSL
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.26
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
SzczecinCzarni Slupsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SzczecinLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#12
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
17-18
17
18
-1
H10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Vienna Basket
#32
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
29-7
29
7
+22
A17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Keravnos
#18
W
22-18
22
18
+4
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lublin
#14
D
14-14
14
14
+0
H24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Nancy
#4
W
22-21
22
21
+1
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Parnu
#39
L
18-21
18
21
-3
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
42.4Avg total
22.4Scored
20.0Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)
22.1
19.9
42.0
+2.2
60%
50%
Last 30 at home (16)
21.9
19.6
41.4
+2.3
69%
56%
Last 30 away (14)
22.4
20.4
42.7
+2.0
50%
43%
Last 10 (10)
22.4
20.0
42.4
+2.4
40%
50%
Last 5 (5)
21.0
20.6
41.6
+0.4
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)
24.0
19.7
43.7
+4.3
100%
67%
vs Similar (15)
21.1
20.3
41.4
+0.7
60%
40%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)
22.9
19.5
42.4
+3.4
50%
58%
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czarni SlupskLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
18-10
18
10
+8
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A30/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
12-29
12
29
-17
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#9
L
19-23
19
23
-4
H02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
L
15-16
15
16
-1
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
L
16-21
16
21
-5
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
43.7Avg total
20.2Scored
23.5Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)
21.2
20.7
41.9
+0.5
60%
57%
Last 30 at home (16)
21.7
20.4
42.1
+1.2
56%
56%
Last 30 away (14)
20.6
21.1
41.7
-0.4
64%
57%
Last 10 (10)
20.2
23.5
43.7
-3.3
40%
60%
Last 5 (5)
20.0
22.4
42.4
-2.4
20%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)
20.1
21.6
41.7
-1.6
53%
53%
vs Similar (9)
24.6
20.1
44.7
+4.4
67%
89%
vs Weaker (4)
18.5
18.2
36.8
+0.2
75%
0%
This opponent (Szczecin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st quarter winnerActual: Czarni Slupsk win
SZC win
no forecast
@ 1.50
CSL win
no forecast
@ 2.55
Q1 Spread Szczecin -2.5 · main lineActual: Czarni Slupsk +2.5
SZC -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
CSL +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Q1 Over/Under 41.5 · main lineActual: Over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Szczecin 1st quarter total 22 · main lineActual: Szczecin under 22
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Czarni Slupsk 1st quarter total 19.5 · main lineActual: Czarni Slupsk over 19.5
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Szczecin (regulation)
76.5%
1.32
1xBet
1.34
Marathon Bet
1.34
Betano
1.29
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Szczecin over 80.5
76.2%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Szczecin over 79.5
79.2%
1.25
Bet365
1.27
1xBet
1.24
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Szczecin over 81.5
73.1%
1.36
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.35
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Szczecin over 76.5
86.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Szczecin over 69.5
96.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Szczecin over 77.5
84.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
Szczecin over 75.5
88.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Szczecin over 71.5
94.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Szczecin +11.5
95.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Szczecin -1.5
76.6%
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Szczecin -3.5
70.2%
1.41
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.42
1xBet
1.38
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Szczecin over 73.5
91.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Szczecin +16.5
98.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Szczecin -2
75.7%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Szczecin -2.5
73.0%
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Szczecin +6.5
90.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Szczecin -3
72.2%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk under 95.5
94.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Szczecin win
78.7%
1.27
1xBet
1.34
Marathon Bet
1.33
WilliamHill
1.29
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
+4.5pp
Won
Szczecin -1
78.3%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Szczecin +1.5
80.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Szczecin under 97.5
83.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk +23.5
89.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Over 140.5
94.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk under 89.5
85.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk +18.5
79.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk under 93.5
92.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk under 88.5
83.1%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Lost
Over 150.5
83.0%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Szczecin under 96.5
81.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk over 68.5
83.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Under 190.5
92.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Lost
Over 145.5
89.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk under 91.5
89.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk over 67.5
86.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk under 87.5
80.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk under 85.5
75.1%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk under 84.5
72.0%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk over 72.5
72.1%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk +16
74.0%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk +16.5
74.7%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk over 69.5
81.2%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Over 155.5
74.1%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
Szczecin under 95.5
78.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Lost
Under 185.5
87.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk over 71.5
75.4%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Czarni Slupsk +15
71.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Under 180.5
80.8%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Lost
Szczecin under 93.5
72.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Lost
Under 175.5
71.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Lost
Czarni Slupsk +15.5
71.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
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They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Szczecintheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Szczecin: 78.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.0
20.2
51.8%
54.3%
40.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
23.8
8.0
33.6%
32.9%
24.0
🏀Free throws
18.7
14.1
75.4%
71.3%
14.1
Their opponents take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Czarni Slupsktheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Czarni Slupsk: 87.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.9
22.2
58.6%
54.3%
44.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.1
8.0
30.7%
32.9%
24.0
🏀Free throws
24.6
18.8
76.4%
71.3%
18.8
Their opponents take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Szczecintheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Szczecin: 81.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.5
22.0
55.8%
54.3%
44.1
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.2
7.6
30.1%
32.9%
22.8
🏀Free throws
20.1
14.8
73.8%
71.3%
14.8
Their opponents take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Czarni Slupsktheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Czarni Slupsk: 87.4 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.7
21.4
56.8%
54.3%
42.8
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.7
8.8
34.1%
32.9%
26.3
🏀Free throws
25.4
18.3
72.0%
71.3%
18.3
Their opponents take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Szczecin
WWWWWWLLWW
Czarni Slupsk
LLLLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#15
+5.2
Net rating
-5.5
98.6
Offensive rating
90.4
93.4
Defensive rating
95.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.7%
3-point %
33.1%
72.1%
Assist %
53.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%
Profile
■ Szczecin■ Czarni Slupsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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