Szczecin vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 84-76

19-14 22-25 24-22 19-15

Position#10

Record14-11

FormLWWWL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game80.6

Szczecin 🏆

Lublin

Position#8

Record13-10

FormWLLLW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game80.7

Energa Basket LigaRound 24

Other2017-18

Meetings · Szczecin v Lublin

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szczecin winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lublin winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Szczecin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trefl Sopot

95-82

+13

H08/01

Energa Basket Liga

Polpharma Starogard

#12

69-80

-11

A14/01

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

88-82

H24/01

Energa Basket Liga

Koszalin

#13

92-98 OT

-6

A27/01

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#15

101-96

101

H05/02

Energa Basket Liga

Rosa Radom

77-90

-13

A10/02

Energa Basket Liga

Turow Zgorzelec

#11

75-66

H05/03

Energa Basket Liga

Czarni Slupsk

#17

20-0

+20

A10/03

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

#16

84-74

+10

A12/03

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

82-85

-3

A18/03

Energa Basket Liga

23-24

27-10

17-24

28-24

14-18

16-23

16-18

23-21

19-20

24-26

23-23

22-13

16-16

21-23

20-15

27-30

31-29

23-16

19-25

28-26

19-15

24-26

23-18

11-31

19-17

25-17

16-18

15-14

–

31-16

19-16

16-11

18-31

19-23

23-23

21-17

19-22

153.6Avg total

78.3Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	83.2	80.6	163.8	+2.5	56%
Season at home (13)	86.3	80.1	166.4	+6.2	77%
Season away (12)	79.8	81.2	161.0	-1.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	75.3	153.6	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	67.6	63.0	130.6	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	86.5	86.8	173.2	-0.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	82.0	84.5	166.5	-2.5	40%
vs Weaker (11)	86.3	73.9	160.2	+12.4	82%

This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lublin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koszalin

#13

89-85

A03/01

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#15

71-69

A07/01

Energa Basket Liga

Turow Zgorzelec

#11

111-123 OT

111

123

-12

A14/01

Energa Basket Liga

Czarni Slupsk

#17

107-50

107

+57

H19/01

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

#16

83-71

+12

A27/01

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

78-76

H04/02

Energa Basket Liga

Torun

71-83

-12

A16/02

Polish Cup

Ostrow Wielkopolski

57-70

-13

H04/03

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#14

73-90

-17

A11/03

Energa Basket Liga

Torun

77-63

+14

H17/03

Energa Basket Liga

24-22

22-28

23-16

20-19

27-11

10-16

16-20

18-22

22-18

19-19

20-24

22-12

24-12

32-10

29-16

18-22

13-12

21-21

31-16

14-21

21-18

16-16

27-21

11-19

19-17

21-23

20-24

15-16

19-15

8-18

15-21

23-16

18-24

18-28

14-22

14-19

19-12

27-11

17-21

159.7Avg total

81.7Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	81.5	80.7	162.2	+0.8	57%
Season at home (11)	83.2	76.4	159.5	+6.8	73%
Season away (12)	80.0	84.7	164.7	-4.7	42%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	78.0	159.7	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	76.4	147.6	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	67.7	79.6	147.4	-11.9	18%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	84.3	86.6	170.9	-2.2	56%
vs Weaker (9)	86.1	76.9	163.0	+9.2	67%

This opponent (Szczecin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SzczecinLublin

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	19.5	38.5	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	20.2	38.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.3	18.1	43.4	+7.2	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.2	38.2	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.2	33.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	18.5	36.1	-0.8	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.6	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	20.0	40.3	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	19.9	39.5	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.1	38.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.9	37.6	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.3	35.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.9	20.8	36.7	-4.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	44%	-

SzczecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trefl Sopot

50-34

+16

H08/01

Energa Basket Liga

Polpharma Starogard

#12

30-41

-11

A14/01

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

43-46

-3

H24/01

Energa Basket Liga

Koszalin

#13

37-39

-2

A27/01

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#15

54-45

H05/02

Energa Basket Liga

Rosa Radom

43-41

A10/02

Energa Basket Liga

Turow Zgorzelec

#11

44-34

+10

H05/03

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

#16

50-32

+18

A12/03

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

42-46

-4

A18/03

Energa Basket Liga

83.4Avg total

43.7Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	39.9	82.8	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.5	39.5	77.9	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.7	39.8	83.4	+3.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	39.6	86.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	41.2	78.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.9	40.8	78.7	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.0	37.5	84.5	+9.5	90%	-

This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koszalin

#13

46-50

-4

A03/01

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#15

37-27

+10

A07/01

Energa Basket Liga

Turow Zgorzelec

#11

41-37

A14/01

Energa Basket Liga

Czarni Slupsk

#17

46-24

+22

H19/01

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

#16

31-34

-3

A27/01

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

35-39

-4

H04/02

Energa Basket Liga

Torun

30-36

-6

A16/02

Polish Cup

Ostrow Wielkopolski

34-31

H04/03

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#14

41-40

A11/03

Energa Basket Liga

Torun

33-31

H17/03

Energa Basket Liga

72.3Avg total

37.4Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.4	76.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	37.6	76.4	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	39.1	75.8	-2.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	34.9	72.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	35.4	70.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	33.5	39.3	72.8	-5.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.9	38.8	77.7	+0.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.4	37.2	79.7	+5.2	67%	-

This opponent (Szczecin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.6	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.0	25.2	49.2	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.9	23.1	46.0	-0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.3	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.8	40.2	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.4	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.5	41.9	85.4	+1.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	40.1	83.0	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.3	44.0	88.3	+0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.2	42.3	82.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.6	79.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.2	42.5	86.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.9	42.1	85.0	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.2	41.2	85.4	+3.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.2	79.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	38.2	78.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.3	41.9	79.2	-4.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	38.8	80.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	41.0	77.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.2	40.4	74.5	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.3	39.7	79.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.7	39.7	83.3	+4.0	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Szczecin wins

Lublin wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/17	Lublin v Szczecin	77-81
29/01/17	Lublin v Szczecin	77-79
10/10/16	Szczecin v Lublin	93-88
06/03/16	Szczecin v Lublin	121-70
21/11/15	Lublin v Szczecin	72-82
19/04/15	Szczecin v Lublin	82-86
03/01/15	Lublin v Szczecin	76-87

Szczecinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/18	A	Gdynia	82-85
12/03/18	A	Legia	84-74
10/03/18	A	Czarni Slupsk	20-0
05/03/18	H	Turow Zgorzelec	75-66
10/02/18	A	Rosa Radom	77-90
05/02/18	H	Krosno	101-96
27/01/18	A	Koszalin	92-98 OT
24/01/18	H	Dabrowa Gornicza	88-82
14/01/18	A	Polpharma Starogard	69-80
08/01/18	H	Trefl Sopot	95-82

Lublinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/18	H	Torun	77-63
11/03/18	A	GTK Gliwice	73-90
04/03/18	H	Ostrow Wielkopolski	57-70
16/02/18	A	Torun	71-83
04/02/18	H	Gdynia	78-76
27/01/18	A	Legia	83-71
19/01/18	H	Czarni Slupsk	107-50
14/01/18	A	Turow Zgorzelec	111-123 OT
07/01/18	A	Krosno	71-69
03/01/18	A	Koszalin	89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Szczecin

Energa Basket Liga 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	56%
Home	LWWWW	77%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	56%	77%	33%
Points / game	83.2	86.3	79.8
Allowed / game	80.6	80.1	81.2
Point differential	+2.5	+6.2	-1.5
Avg total	163.8	166.4	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	46%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	16%	8%	25%

Lublin

Energa Basket Liga 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	57%
Home	LWWLW	73%
Away	WWLWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	57%	73%	42%
Points / game	81.5	83.2	80.0
Allowed / game	80.7	76.4	84.7
Point differential	+0.8	+6.8	-4.7
Avg total	162.2	159.5	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	36%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	75% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	13%	9%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Anwil Wloclawek	25	21	4	84%	85.9	72.2	+13.7
2	Zielona Gora	23	16	7	70%	84.3	75.3	+9.0
3	Torun	25	17	8	68%	83.8	76.2	+7.6
4	Ostrow Wielkopolski	24	15	9	62%	78.4	73.0	+5.4
5	Dabrowa Gornicza	25	15	10	60%	82.8	79.3	+3.5
6	Lublin	23	13	10	57%	81.5	80.7	+0.8
7	Szczecin	25	14	11	56%	83.2	80.6	+2.5
8	Trefl Sopot	24	13	11	54%	83.6	81.2	+2.5
9	Rosa Radom	24	13	11	54%	84.7	82.8	+1.9
10	Gdynia	24	13	11	54%	82.3	82.9	-0.6
11	Polpharma Starogard	24	12	12	50%	81.1	79.4	+1.7
12	Turow Zgorzelec	26	13	13	50%	86.2	88.2	-2.0
13	GTK Gliwice	25	10	15	40%	78.4	82.7	-4.3
14	Koszalin	25	9	16	36%	81.7	88.5	-6.8
15	Krosno	24	7	17	29%	79.8	86.7	-6.9
16	Czarni Slupsk	25	5	20	20%	58.5	70.7	-12.2
17	Legia	25	2	23	8%	72.2	87.1	-14.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Szczecin	19	22	24	19	84
Lublin	14	25	22	15	76

← all games of the day

Szczecin vs Lublin Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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