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Szekszard W vs TFSE-MTK W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 81-67
Projected total 148.0
Final 88-53
27-14 20-10 19-16 22-13
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game70.8
Szekszard W 🏆
Hungary
Vs
88%
■ SZEK 88%■ TFSE 12%
Pythia win probability
TFSE-MTK W
Hungary
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game65.2
HungaryNB I A WRound 7· Szekszárdi NKft Sports Center
Women2026-27
Meetings · Szekszard W v TFSE-MTK W
31 Oct 2026
SZEK88
TFSE53
31 Mar 2026
SZEK69
TFSE82
25 Mar 2026
SZEK81
TFSE70
06 Dec 2025
SZEK78
TFSE66
13 Apr 2025
SZEK58
TFSE83
23 Nov 2024
SZEK83
TFSE61
27 Mar 2024
SZEK88
TFSE82
17 Feb 2024
SZEK86
TFSE77
05 Nov 2022
SZEK94
TFSE71
09 Oct 2021
SZEK90
TFSE54
14 Oct 2020
SZEK81
TFSE75
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Szekszard W host TFSE-MTK W in the NB I A W. Pythia makes Szekszard W the favourite at 88% and projects 81-67, about 148 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Szekszard W are 3-2 this season (79.0 scored, 70.8 allowed a game), form WLWLW; TFSE-MTK W are 2-3 this season (72.8 scored, 65.2 allowed a game), form LWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szekszard W winWon
88.4%fair 1.13
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TFSE-MTK W winLost
11.6%fair 8.63
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Szekszard WHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ujbuda BEAC W
#7
W
70-55
70
55
+15
66avg 74
H17/04
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
85avg 74
A22/04
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
53avg 74
H25/04
NB I A W
Vasas Csata W
#9
W
78-56
78
56
+22
75avg 74
H29/04
NB I A W
Vasas Csata W
#9
W
74-68
74
68
+6
71avg 74
A02/05
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#7
W
69-59
69
59
+10
55avg 74
H26/09
NB I A W
DVTK W
#2
L
57-74
57
74
-17
43avg 74
A04/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
93avg 74
H07/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
66-73
66
73
-7
57avg 74
A11/10
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
W
105-85
105
85
+20
89avg 74
A24/10
NB I A W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-17
17-9
17-11
25-21
19-20
21-19
16-24
19-20
17-19
16-20
15-14
28-12
16-16
20-18
14-10
12-17
20-15
18-11
24-25
16-18
15-19
17-6
21-16
14-23
22-15
10-18
11-18
36-18
28-16
18-15
16-14
16-21
16-17
22-20
12-15
30-22
29-26
22-9
24-28
145.5Avg total
76.5Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.070.8149.8+8.260%
Season at home (2)83.561.0144.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)76.077.3153.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)76.569.0145.5+7.560%
Last 5 (5)79.070.8149.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.287.6155.8-19.40%
vs Similar (2)70.071.0141.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.668.3151.9+15.374%
This opponent (TFSE-MTK W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TFSE-MTK WHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Szekszard W
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
75avg 62
A31/03
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 62
A18/04
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
38-75
38
75
-37
24avg 62
H22/04
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 62
A02/05
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
L
52-73
52
73
-21
41avg 62
H06/05
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
52avg 62
H03/10
NB I A W
Szigetszentmiklos W
#11
W
114-51
114
51
+63
112avg 62
H07/10
NB I A W
UNI Gyor W
#5
L
57-75
57
75
-18
46avg 62
H10/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
W
67-59
67
59
+8
58avg 62
A17/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
55avg 62
H24/10
NB I A W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
24-18
27-19
13-20
10-18
16-19
18-19
7-26
15-17
16-27
3-20
4-11
25-21
20-19
14-24
12-19
8-22
18-20
12-19
14-12
14-19
16-24
23-15
14-12
18-9
35-13
30-17
31-12
21-23
14-25
4-21
18-6
21-15
14-17
18-17
14-10
21-13
10-23
13-15
15-20
136.6Avg total
65.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.865.2138.0+7.640%
Season at home (4)74.266.8141.0+7.525%
Season away (1)67.059.0126.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.870.8136.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)72.865.2138.0+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)62.177.3139.4-15.120%
vs Similar (3)68.370.0138.3-1.733%
vs Weaker (12)80.961.8142.8+19.192%
This opponent (Szekszard W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139Actual: Over 139
Over 139
71.2%
Under 139
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 144Actual: Under 144
Over 144
59.6%
Under 144
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149Actual: Under 149
Over 149
47.1%
Under 149
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Szekszard W total 70Actual: Szekszard W over 70
Over 70
87.0%
Under 70
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szekszard W total 74Actual: Szekszard W over 74
Over 74
76.3%
Under 74
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szekszard W total 78Actual: Szekszard W over 78
Over 78
61.8%
Under 78
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TFSE-MTK W total 66Actual: TFSE-MTK W under 66
Over 66
54.1%
Under 66
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TFSE-MTK W total 70Actual: TFSE-MTK W under 70
Over 70
37.9%
Under 70
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TFSE-MTK W total 74Actual: TFSE-MTK W under 74
Over 74
23.8%
Under 74
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Szekszard W -3Actual: Szekszard W -3
SZEK -3
84.2%
TFSE +3
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
SZEK
No market prices yet.
TFSE
No market prices yet.
Spread Szekszard W 0Actual: Szekszard W 0
SZEK 0
88.4%
TFSE 0
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
SZEK
No market prices yet.
TFSE
No market prices yet.
Spread Szekszard W +3Actual: Szekszard W +3
SZEK +3
92.2%
TFSE -3
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
SZEK
No market prices yet.
TFSE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
Szekszard WTFSE-MTK W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Szekszard WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ujbuda BEAC W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/04
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/04
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H25/04
NB I A W
Vasas Csata W
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H29/04
NB I A W
Vasas Csata W
#9
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A02/05
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H26/09
NB I A W
DVTK W
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
W
64-34
64
34
+30
H07/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A11/10
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A24/10
NB I A W
78.4Avg total
41.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.878.8+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.435.477.9+7.056%-
Last 30 away (14)39.340.679.9-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.078.4+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.083.4+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.447.484.8-10.00%-
vs Similar (2)33.032.065.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.436.378.7+6.261%-
This opponent (TFSE-MTK W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TFSE-MTK WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szekszard W
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A31/03
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/04
NB I A W
NKA Pecs W
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H22/04
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A02/05
NB I A W
Sopron W
#3
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H06/05
NB I A W
Cegledi W
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/10
NB I A W
Szigetszentmiklos W
#11
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H07/10
NB I A W
UNI Gyor W
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/10
NB I A W
Ujbuda BEAC W
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/10
NB I A W
Csata TKK W
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NB I A W
72.8Avg total
35.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.673.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.234.271.5+3.047%-
Last 30 away (13)38.037.475.4+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)35.437.472.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.338.572.7-4.240%-
vs Similar (3)37.743.781.3-6.033%-
vs Weaker (12)41.730.071.7+11.775%-
This opponent (Szekszard W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Szekszard Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Szekszard W: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.6
45.8%
46.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.5
29.3%
29.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.315.8
70.9%
68.0%15.8
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
TFSE-MTK Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TFSE-MTK W: 65.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.615.6
43.8%
46.9%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
29.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.39.4
61.4%
68.0%9.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Szekszard W
WLWLWWWLLW
TFSE-MTK W
LWLWLLLLLW
#4
League position
#8
+11.0
Net rating
-6.6
84.2
Offensive rating
76.4
73.2
Defensive rating
82.9
45.0%
Effective FG%
46.1%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.3%
3-point %
32.9%
70.5%
Assist %
70.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence84.2 · 76.4Defence73.2 · 82.9Shooting45.0% · 46.1%3-point %29.3% · 32.9%Ball care17.8% · 18.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Szekszard W   ■ TFSE-MTK W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Szekszard W wins
6
TFSE-MTK W wins
DateGameScore
31/03/26Szekszard W v TFSE-MTK W69-82
28/03/26TFSE-MTK W v Szekszard W65-59
25/03/26Szekszard W v TFSE-MTK W81-70
25/02/26TFSE-MTK W v Szekszard W82-64
06/12/25Szekszard W v TFSE-MTK W78-66
16/04/25TFSE-MTK W v Szekszard W91-77
13/04/25Szekszard W v TFSE-MTK W58-83
22/02/25TFSE-MTK W v Szekszard W70-58
23/11/24Szekszard W v TFSE-MTK W83-61
30/03/24TFSE-MTK W v Szekszard W75-83
Szekszard Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ACegledi W105-85
11/10/26ACsata TKK W66-73
07/10/26HUjbuda BEAC W98-63
04/10/26ADVTK W57-74
26/09/26HNKA Pecs W69-59
02/05/26AVasas Csata W74-68
29/04/26HVasas Csata W78-56
25/04/26HUjbuda BEAC W67-73
22/04/26AUjbuda BEAC W81-84
17/04/26HUjbuda BEAC W70-55
TFSE-MTK Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HCsata TKK W59-71
17/10/26AUjbuda BEAC W67-59
10/10/26HUNI Gyor W57-75
07/10/26HSzigetszentmiklos W114-51
03/10/26HCegledi W67-70
06/05/26HSopron W52-73
02/05/26ASopron W71-83
22/04/26HNKA Pecs W38-75
18/04/26ANKA Pecs W51-82
31/03/26ASzekszard W82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Szekszard W
NB I A W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game79.083.576.0
Allowed / game70.861.077.3
Point differential+8.2+22.5-1.3
Avg total149.8144.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
TFSE-MTK W
NB I A W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%25%100%
Points / game72.874.267.0
Allowed / game65.266.859.0
Point differential+7.6+7.5+8.0
Avg total138.0141.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sopron W550100%93.662.2+31.4
2 DVTK W660100%77.552.2+25.3
3 Csata TKK W75271%74.763.7+11.0
4 UNI Gyor W64267%67.865.8+2.0
5 Szekszard W53260%79.070.8+8.2
6 Cegledi W63350%67.772.5-4.8
7 TFSE-MTK W52340%72.865.2+7.6
8 NKA Pecs W62433%68.365.5+2.8
9 Ujbuda BEAC W72529%72.980.0-7.1
10 Vasas Csata W5050%53.485.0-31.6
11 Szigetszentmiklos W6060%56.098.8-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Szekszard W2720192288
TFSE-MTK W1410161353
← all games of the day
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