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Tal Tech vs Spartak Pleven Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 81-77
Projected total 158.3
Final 72-76
17-14 11-20 16-16 28-26
Position#11
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.5
Tal Tech
Vs
63%
37%
■ TAL 63%■ SPAR 37%
Pythia win probability
Spartak Pleven 🏆
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeENBL· Tallinna Tehnikaulikooli spordihoone
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Tal Tech hosts Spartak Pleven in the ENBL on 11 November 2026, and the model names Tal Tech as the favourite with a 63% chance of victory versus 37% for Spartak Pleven; the projected score is 81-77 and the total is 158.2 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. Tal Tech is 2-2 this season, averaging 79.8 points and allowing 79.5, while Spartak Pleven is 3-1, averaging 77.5 and conceding 72.2, and they sit fourth in the league. At home Tal Tech is undefeated 2-0, scoring 89.0 and giving up 82.0, whereas Spartak Pleven has a single away win, 1-0, 79.0 to 54.0. In the last five games Tal Tech has 3 wins and 2 losses, including a 67-74 loss to AEL and a 79-58 win over Keila KK, while Spartak Pleven is unbeaten 5-0 with victories over Cherno More, Rilski Sportist and Zrinjski Mostar. The spread is not listed, so no cover probability is provided, and the model gives no over/under line. The game promises a close contest, with Tal Tech's home dominance and Spartak Pleven's recent flawless road form setting the stage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tal Tech winLost
63.2%fair 1.58
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spartak Pleven winWon
36.8%fair 2.71
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tal TechLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTech
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
69avg 75
A07/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#2
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 75
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 75
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
80avg 75
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
75avg 75
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
41-65
41
65
-24
28avg 75
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
76avg 75
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
79-58
79
58
+21
79avg 75
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEL
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
20-20
19-18
21-20
15-18
18-21
19-28
18-23
16-20
17-16
24-15
21-20
17-17
16-22
28-17
24-26
26-21
25-18
18-18
13-21
9-15
15-21
9-12
8-17
28-11
13-11
21-18
16-19
20-17
21-19
16-12
22-10
16-23
16-16
21-19
14-16
15-21
16-21
12-32
23-18
146.9Avg total
72.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.879.5159.2+0.250%
Season at home (2)89.082.0171.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)70.577.0147.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)72.074.9146.9-2.950%
Last 5 (5)66.269.6135.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.885.6159.4-11.919%
vs Similar (7)80.978.4159.3+2.471%
vs Weaker (7)88.971.6160.4+17.3100%
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPleven
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 74
A04/05
NBL
Fyllingen
#16
W
79-54
79
54
+25
76avg 74
A30/09
ENBL
AEL
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
44avg 74
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
70avg 74
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#13
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 74
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
102-71
102
71
+31
104avg 74
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 74
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
86-70
86
70
+16
58avg 74
H25/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
68avg 74
A31/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
25-29
18-20
16-23
18-13
27-16
23-13
11-12
9-22
15-19
21-18
16-20
15-21
19-23
18-29
21-19
22-20
32-26
16-16
23-20
28-21
25-16
25-21
24-13
25-19
15-16
21-20
16-19
26-22
16-20
22-15
22-13
16-20
24-20
16-17
24-17
19-22
25-12
12-22
15-21
158.0Avg total
81.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.572.2149.8+5.275%
Season at home (3)77.078.3155.3-1.367%
Season away (1)79.054.0133.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.376.7158.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)83.273.2156.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.883.2162.0-4.441%
vs Similar (2)74.085.0159.0-11.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.973.4160.3+13.582%
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Under 163.5
Over 163.5
36.9%
Under 163.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Under 168.5
Over 168.5
26.4%
Under 168.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173.5Actual: Under 173.5
Over 173.5
17.8%
Under 173.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Tal Tech total 81.5Actual: Tal Tech under 81.5
Over 81.5
48.1%
Under 81.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 85.5Actual: Tal Tech under 85.5
Over 85.5
33.0%
Under 85.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 89.5Actual: Tal Tech under 89.5
Over 89.5
20.3%
Under 89.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven total 79.5Actual: Spartak Pleven under 79.5
Over 79.5
41.0%
Under 79.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven total 83.5Actual: Spartak Pleven under 83.5
Over 83.5
27.1%
Under 83.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven total 87.5Actual: Spartak Pleven under 87.5
Over 87.5
16.2%
Under 87.5
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Tal Tech -3Actual: Spartak Pleven +3
TAL -3
54.5%
SPAR +3
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
TAL
No market prices yet.
SPAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Tal Tech 0Actual: Spartak Pleven 0
TAL 0
63.2%
SPAR 0
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
TAL
No market prices yet.
SPAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Tal Tech +3Actual: Spartak Pleven -3
TAL +3
71.6%
SPAR -3
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
TAL
No market prices yet.
SPAR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
Tal TechSpartak Pleven
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tal TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEL
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A03/11
ENBL
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
72.3Avg total
35.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.679.1-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.684.8+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)34.939.874.7-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.072.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.068.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.442.878.2-7.312%-
vs Similar (7)40.440.480.9+0.043%-
vs Weaker (7)43.635.779.3+7.971%-
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A04/05
NBL
Fyllingen
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A30/09
ENBL
AEL
#4
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A31/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
NBL
83.2Avg total
43.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.780.9+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.181.1-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.983.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.681.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.242.082.2-1.829%-
vs Similar (2)37.540.077.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.136.679.7+6.582%-
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tal Techtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tal Tech: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.7
51.4%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.8
31.1%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.613.0
63.1%
70.7%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spartak Pleventheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spartak Pleven: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.6
57.3%
53.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.5
32.1%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
70.7%14.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tal Tech
LLWWLWWWLL
Spartak Pleven
LWWWWWLLWL
#11
League position
#3
+2.5
Net rating
+5.2
86.9
Offensive rating
96.7
84.5
Defensive rating
91.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.1%
3-point %
32.1%
72.5%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 96.7Defence84.5 · 91.6Shooting49.4% · 53.8%3-point %31.1% · 32.1%Ball care16.9% · 13.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tal Tech   ■ Spartak Pleven
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tal Tech wins
0
Spartak Pleven wins
No previous meetings.
Tal Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ARigas Zelli66-92
03/11/26AAEL67-74
31/10/26AKeila KK79-58
28/10/26HLatvijas Universitate78-59
24/10/26ATartu Ulikool41-65
21/10/26HBK Ogre82-78
16/10/26AVentspils85-82
14/10/26ABK Liepaja78-71
10/10/26HVEF Riga70-90
07/10/26AVoluntari74-80
Spartak Plevenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBalkan71-77
31/10/26ACherno More80-74
25/10/26HRilski Sportist86-70
21/10/26HZrinjski Mostar77-74
17/10/26APolytechnica102-71
14/10/26HAlkar93-82
11/10/26HLok. Plovdiv73-92
06/10/26HAEL61-79
30/09/26AFyllingen79-54
04/05/26ACherno More91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tal Tech
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.889.070.5
Allowed / game79.582.077.0
Point differential+0.2+7.0-6.5
Avg total159.2171.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spartak Pleven
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game77.577.079.0
Allowed / game72.278.354.0
Point differential+5.2-1.3+25.0
Avg total149.8155.3133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Syntainics MBC440100%100.579.2+21.2
2 Tindastoll330100%84.769.3+15.3
3 AEL330100%76.362.0+14.3
4 Spartak Pleven43175%77.572.2+5.2
5 Voluntari43175%86.085.8+0.2
6 Kapfenberg Bulls32167%96.387.0+9.3
7 Anwil Wloclawek32167%89.082.0+7.0
8 Jonava21150%75.572.0+3.5
9 Donar Groningen42250%83.282.8+0.5
10 Tal Tech42250%79.879.5+0.2
11 Dubrava21150%83.091.5-8.5
12 CIU31233%82.085.0-3.0
13 Alkar31233%84.790.7-6.0
14 Bristol Flyers31233%79.087.7-8.7
15 BK Liepaja41325%76.289.8-13.5
16 Fyllingen51420%74.885.4-10.6
17 Zrinjski Mostar4040%77.582.0-4.5
18 Lausanne Basket4040%75.090.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tal Tech1711162872
Spartak Pleven1420162676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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