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Rigas Zelli vs Tal Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 84-73
Projected total 156.9
Final 92-66
21-15 21-16 32-12 18-23
Position#1
Record7-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game75.6
Rigas Zelli 🏆
Vs
84%
16%
■ RZE 84%■ TAL 16%
Pythia win probability
Tal Tech
Position#6
Record6-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Daugavas Sporta nams
Other2026
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Tal Tech
07 Nov 2026
RZE92
TAL 66
06 Dec 2025
RZE96
TAL 65
14 Dec 2024
RZE82
TAL 62
04 Nov 2023
RZE81
TAL 51
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Rigas Zelli will host Tal Tech in the Latvia-Estonian League on 7 November 2026, with the model designating Rigas Zelli as the clear favourite at 83% to win, reflecting their perfect 7-0 record, 94.0 points per game and 75.6 allowed per game, the best in the competition and first in the standings. Rigas Zelli have gone 3-0 at home, scoring 99.3 and conceding 74.7, and have won four of their last five games, including a 103-70 home victory over Keila KK on 24 October. Tal Tech, meanwhile, sit 6th with a 6-3 record, 74.6 points per game and 71.8 allowed, and have a 4-1 road record, scoring 73.6 and allowing 68.0; their last five games include a 79-58 win over Keila KK away on 31 October and a 78-59 home win over Latvijas Universitate on 28 October, but they suffered a 41-65 loss to Tartu Ulikool away on 24 October. Historically, Rigas Zelli have dominated the seven meetings, winning all, most recently 79-73 on 26 September. The model projects an 85-74 score, 158.8 total points, and a 3% chance of overtime, with Rigas Zelli covering the spread by 5 or more.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
83.5%fair 1.20
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tal Tech winLost
16.5%fair 6.06
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#9
W
110-85
110
85
+25
120avg 83
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rostock
#28
L
86-87
86
87
-1
75avg 83
A06/10
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 83
A09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
77avg 83
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
53avg 83
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
107avg 83
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 83
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
88avg 83
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-15
28-21
29-23
19-26
26-20
15-22
25-22
20-23
29-19
17-18
24-26
24-11
27-18
29-22
16-19
17-20
21-20
20-14
24-19
20-16
20-29
16-21
19-27
9-23
25-18
27-21
26-14
25-17
17-21
22-14
23-19
17-17
21-18
24-20
22-35
26-14
27-18
13-10
9-19
16-24
166.1Avg total
86.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.075.6169.6+18.4100%
Season at home (3)99.374.7174.0+24.7100%
Season away (4)90.076.2166.2+13.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.879.3166.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)80.879.8160.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.790.4172.1-8.714%
vs Similar (8)84.984.6169.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.577.7169.1+13.893%
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tal TechLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTech
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
85-64
85
64
+21
68avg 75
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
69avg 75
A07/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#2
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 75
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 75
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
80avg 75
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
75avg 75
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
41-65
41
65
-24
28avg 75
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
76avg 75
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
79-58
79
58
+21
79avg 75
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEL
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-14
19-19
21-16
14-22
20-20
19-18
21-20
15-18
18-21
19-28
18-23
16-20
17-16
24-15
21-20
17-17
16-22
28-17
24-26
26-21
25-18
18-18
13-21
9-15
15-21
9-12
8-17
28-11
13-11
21-18
16-19
20-17
21-19
16-12
22-10
16-23
16-16
21-19
14-16
146.0Avg total
73.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.671.8146.3+2.867%
Season at home (4)75.876.5152.2-0.850%
Season away (5)73.668.0141.6+5.680%
Last 10 (10)73.972.1146.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)69.466.8136.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.385.2159.5-10.920%
vs Similar (7)80.978.4159.3+2.471%
vs Weaker (8)87.972.5160.4+15.4100%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158Push
Over 158
46.7%
Under 158
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163
Over 163
34.6%
Under 163
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168
Over 168
24.1%
Under 168
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rigas Zelli total 79Actual: Rigas Zelli over 79
Over 79
69.9%
Under 79
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rigas Zelli total 83Actual: Rigas Zelli over 83
Over 83
54.2%
Under 83
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rigas Zelli total 87Actual: Rigas Zelli over 87
Over 87
37.7%
Under 87
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 76Actual: Tal Tech under 76
Over 76
37.0%
Under 76
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 80Actual: Tal Tech under 80
Over 80
23.3%
Under 80
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 84Actual: Tal Tech under 84
Over 84
13.3%
Under 84
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rigas Zelli -3Actual: Rigas Zelli -3
RZE -3
78.0%
TAL +3
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
RZE
No market prices yet.
TAL
No market prices yet.
Spread Rigas Zelli 0Actual: Rigas Zelli 0
RZE 0
83.5%
TAL 0
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
RZE
No market prices yet.
TAL
No market prices yet.
Spread Rigas Zelli +3Actual: Rigas Zelli +3
RZE +3
88.6%
TAL -3
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
RZE
No market prices yet.
TAL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Rigas ZelliTal Tech
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#9
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rostock
#28
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/10
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/11
Eurocup
83.7Avg total
45.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.585.0+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.139.485.5+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.584.6+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.837.983.7+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.080.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.442.685.0-0.157%-
vs Similar (8)43.142.986.0+0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.138.384.5+7.887%-
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tal TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEL
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A03/11
ENBL
72.4Avg total
36.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.279.3-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.684.8+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)35.939.275.1-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.772.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.472.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.742.878.5-7.113%-
vs Similar (7)40.440.480.9+0.043%-
vs Weaker (8)44.035.279.2+8.875%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
52.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
31.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.219.0
72.5%
68.3%19.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tal Techtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tal Tech: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.7
51.4%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.8
31.1%
31.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.613.0
63.1%
68.3%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
LWWWLWWWLW
Tal Tech
LWWLWWWLLW
#1
League position
#6
+9.4
Net rating
+2.5
98.8
Offensive rating
86.9
89.4
Defensive rating
84.5
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.0%
3-point %
31.1%
62.9%
Assist %
72.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 86.9Defence89.4 · 84.5Shooting54.9% · 49.4%3-point %36.0% · 31.1%Ball care15.2% · 16.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ Tal Tech
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rigas Zelli wins
0
Tal Tech wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Tal Tech v Rigas Zelli73-79
02/03/26Tal Tech v Rigas Zelli86-95
06/12/25Rigas Zelli v Tal Tech96-65
14/12/24Rigas Zelli v Tal Tech82-62
30/10/24Tal Tech v Rigas Zelli76-113
17/01/24Tal Tech v Rigas Zelli72-89
04/11/23Rigas Zelli v Tal Tech81-51
Rigas Zellilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HLe Mans65-71
31/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo93-87
28/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-71
24/10/26HKeila KK103-70
21/10/26AHapoel Jerusalem64-100
17/10/26HBK Liepaja85-69
14/10/26HCedevita Olimpija89-79
09/10/26ATartu Ulikool94-74
06/10/26ARostock86-87
03/10/26HBK Ogre110-85
Tal Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AAEL67-74
31/10/26AKeila KK79-58
28/10/26HLatvijas Universitate78-59
24/10/26ATartu Ulikool41-65
21/10/26HBK Ogre82-78
16/10/26AVentspils85-82
14/10/26ABK Liepaja78-71
10/10/26HVEF Riga70-90
07/10/26AVoluntari74-80
04/10/26AViimsi85-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.099.390.0
Allowed / game75.674.776.2
Point differential+18.4+24.7+13.8
Avg total169.6174.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tal Tech
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game74.675.873.6
Allowed / game71.876.568.0
Point differential+2.8-0.8+5.6
Avg total146.3152.2141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli770100%94.075.6+18.4
2 VEF Riga87188%89.871.4+18.4
3 Valmiera Glass Via97278%89.976.9+13.0
4 Ventspils96367%86.282.0+4.2
5 Tal Tech96367%74.671.8+2.8
6 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo84450%84.682.6+2.0
9 BK Ogre84450%87.486.4+1.0
10 BK Liepaja94544%83.676.0+7.6
11 Keila KK94544%72.781.7-9.0
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi91811%71.286.0-14.8
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli2121321892
Tal Tech1516122366
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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