Tallinna Kalev vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 76-72

18-18 22-15 17-21 19-18

Position#7

Record8-17

FormLWLLL

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game79.4

Tallinna Kalev 🏆

Rapla

Position#3

Record16-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game72.7

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Other2016-17

Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v Rapla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rapla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna Kalev Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

#12

75-92

-17

H07/02

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

63-110

110

-47

H18/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Liepaja

#12

73-86

-13

A21/02

Baltic League

Rapla

74-98

-24

H25/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

88-69

+19

A28/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

85-92

-7

H04/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

84-75

A10/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

86-87

-1

H17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

59-84

-25

H21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

67-97

-30

H25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

23-21

21-26

15-24

16-21

15-28

22-24

13-33

13-25

16-15

15-25

22-25

20-21

12-27

21-25

20-22

21-24

24-26

24-13

18-15

22-15

26-32

17-24

21-9

21-27

18-13

15-19

23-15

28-28

23-20

20-30

25-16

18-21

17-28

13-17

15-17

14-22

19-28

22-24

10-20

16-25

164.4Avg total

75.4Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	74.7	79.4	154.0	-4.7	32%
Season at home (14)	72.1	84.4	156.4	-12.3	7%
Season away (11)	78.0	73.0	151.0	+5.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	89.0	164.4	-13.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	87.0	163.2	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	67.9	85.7	153.7	-17.8	11%
vs Similar (6)	78.7	80.2	158.8	-1.5	33%
vs Weaker (6)	82.7	70.0	152.7	+12.7	67%

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rapla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Audentese

83-57

+26

H18/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

81-87

-6

A21/02

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

98-74

+24

A25/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

49-64

-15

A28/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

77-80

-3

H03/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

72-70

A07/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

65-68

-3

H10/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

92-57

+35

H14/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

93-91 OT

H18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

80-78

H25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

21-16

26-11

8-13

28-17

20-20

17-28

24-14

20-25

27-12

25-21

22-20

24-21

18-19

13-12

9-18

9-15

20-15

10-19

13-19

34-27

19-18

20-17

15-20

18-15

17-13

19-15

10-27

19-13

22-14

26-16

16-10

28-17

15-25

20-17

26-14

22-27

19-14

27-30

18-20

16-14

151.6Avg total

79.0Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.2	72.7	151.8	+6.5	64%
Season at home (14)	81.4	71.5	152.9	+9.9	71%
Season away (11)	76.3	74.2	150.5	+2.1	55%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	72.6	151.6	+6.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	72.8	153.2	+7.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.6	82.1	152.8	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	70.4	66.7	137.1	+3.7	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	83.3	69.3	152.5	+14.0	80%

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tallinna KalevRapla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.7	42.0	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.0	24.4	42.4	-6.4	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	20.5	41.6	+0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.8	43.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.2	44.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.4	22.8	40.3	-5.4	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	25.5	46.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.5	19.3	42.8	+4.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	16.9	37.7	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.7	15.5	38.1	+7.2	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.3	38.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.5	21.2	38.7	-3.8	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.7	41.7	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.8	40.2	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.9	22.1	39.1	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	18.3	36.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	19.2	35.9	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.5	22.0	37.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.3	16.3	31.6	-1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.1	17.9	40.0	+4.3	73%	-

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

#12

44-47

-3

H07/02

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

37-52

-15

H18/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Liepaja

#12

31-40

-9

A21/02

Baltic League

Rapla

33-52

-19

H25/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

48-39

A28/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

43-56

-13

H04/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

33-32

A10/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

43-50

-7

H17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

30-45

-15

H21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

41-52

-11

H25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

84.8Avg total

38.3Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	43.0	80.3	-5.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.5	45.6	81.1	-10.1	6%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.7	39.6	79.3	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	46.5	84.8	-8.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	47.0	85.0	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	34.4	44.9	79.3	-10.6	6%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.3	43.8	83.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.0	36.3	80.3	+7.7	67%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Audentese

47-27

+20

H18/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

37-48

-11

A21/02

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

52-33

+19

A25/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

31-31

A28/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

30-34

-4

H03/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

39-35

A07/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

36-28

H10/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

48-30

+18

H14/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

35-42

-7

H18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

46-44

H25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

75.3Avg total

40.1Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	35.9	75.3	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.1	35.1	76.2	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.3	36.9	74.2	+0.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.2	75.3	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	35.8	76.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.1	41.4	74.5	-8.2	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.3	35.0	70.3	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.8	33.3	78.1	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	19.4	38.7	+0.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	17.8	34.7	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.4	34.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.5	20.6	37.1	-4.1	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	15.5	36.7	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	16.2	36.8	+4.5	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	17.0	34.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.1	17.9	33.9	-1.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	15.8	34.4	+2.7	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	17.5	33.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.4	18.1	34.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.7	13.7	31.4	+4.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	17.3	17.9	35.2	-0.7	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.6	20.8	37.5	-4.2	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.9	41.8	-4.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.6	44.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.1	20.2	37.2	-3.1	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	17.6	38.3	+3.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	22.6	43.8	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.0	16.9	32.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	38.5	74.2	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.0	40.2	76.2	-4.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.4	36.2	71.6	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	42.5	79.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.0	78.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	33.6	40.8	74.3	-7.2	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.3	36.3	75.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.7	33.7	72.3	+5.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	35.5	72.3	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.7	35.5	72.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.8	35.5	72.3	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	36.6	74.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	35.4	73.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.5	40.8	78.2	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	33.7	30.6	64.3	+3.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	37.7	35.1	72.8	+2.7	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tallinna Kalev wins

Rapla wins

Date	Game	Score
25/02/17	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	74-98
04/02/17	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	63-70
12/11/16	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	79-76
20/05/16	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	79-76
17/05/16	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	66-74
15/05/16	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	81-91
12/05/16	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	82-83
09/03/16	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	90-88 OT
06/02/16	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	78-71
19/01/16	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	83-57

Tallinna Kalevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/17	H	Tartu Ulikool	67-97
21/03/17	H	Valga	59-84
17/03/17	H	Rakvere Tarvas	86-87
10/03/17	A	Parnu	84-75
04/03/17	H	Tal Tech	85-92
28/02/17	A	Rakvere Tarvas	88-69
25/02/17	H	Rapla	74-98
21/02/17	A	BK Liepaja	73-86
18/02/17	H	Tartu Ulikool	63-110
07/02/17	H	BK Liepaja	75-92

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/17	H	Valga	80-78
18/03/17	H	Parnu	93-91 OT
14/03/17	H	Rakvere Tarvas	92-57
10/03/17	H	Tartu Ulikool	65-68
07/03/17	A	Valga	72-70
03/03/17	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	77-80
28/02/17	A	Parnu	49-64
25/02/17	A	Tallinna Kalev	98-74
21/02/17	A	Valmiera/ORDO	81-87
18/02/17	H	Audentese	83-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	32%
Home	LLLLL	7%
Away	WWWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	14	11
Win %	32%	7%	64%
Points / game	74.7	72.1	78.0
Allowed / game	79.4	84.4	73.0
Point differential	-4.7	-12.3	+5.0
Avg total	154.0	156.4	151.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	7%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rapla

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	64%
Home	LLWWW	71%
Away	LWWLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	14	11
Win %	64%	71%	55%
Points / game	79.2	81.4	76.3
Allowed / game	72.7	71.5	74.2
Point differential	+6.5	+9.9	+2.1
Avg total	151.8	152.9	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	50%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	60% (5)	100% (1)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tartu Ulikool	23	21	2	91%	86.7	67.4	+19.2
2	BC Kalev/Cramo	17	15	2	88%	88.6	72.4	+16.2
3	Rapla	25	16	9	64%	79.2	72.7	+6.5
4	Tal Tech	24	14	10	58%	81.2	80.3	+1.0
5	Parnu	25	14	11	56%	78.0	75.2	+2.7
6	Valga	25	8	17	32%	79.6	83.3	-3.7
7	Tallinna Kalev	25	8	17	32%	74.7	79.4	-4.7
8	Rakvere Tarvas	26	7	19	27%	75.3	87.7	-12.4
9	Audentese	16	0	16	0%	64.1	91.6	-27.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tallinna Kalev	18	22	17	19	76
Rapla	18	15	21	18	72

← all games of the day

Tallinna Kalev vs Rapla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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A Pro feature