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Tallinna Kalev vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 66-92
12-33 17-19 17-19 20-21
Position#16
Record2-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game89.2
Tallinna Kalev
vs
VEF Riga 🏆
Position#3
Record15-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game70.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v VEF Riga
21 Jan 2024
TALL66
VRI92
21 Jan 2023
TALL61
VRI67
23 Oct 2021
TALL66
VRI93
23 Jan 2019
TALL83
VRI93
08 Oct 2010
TALL71
VRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
66-93
66
93
-27
48avg 55
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
75-83
75
83
-8
61avg 55
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-101
73
101
-28
61avg 55
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 55
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
91-101
91
101
-10
89avg 55
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-94
64
94
-30
43avg 55
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
62-107
62
107
-45
47avg 55
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
63-104
63
104
-41
43avg 55
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 55
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
61avg 55
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
10-21
23-30
15-17
20-22
20-17
16-14
19-30
21-25
15-22
20-29
17-25
15-20
18-24
23-13
20-25
18-17
18-32
33-30
22-22
18-25
12-16
13-29
21-24
19-30
12-26
14-23
17-28
12-31
17-22
21-30
13-21
8-25
12-31
21-24
11-30
18-22
20-24
14-19
12-24
165.0Avg total
68.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.189.2156.3-22.211%
Season at home (9)70.885.8156.6-15.011%
Season away (9)63.392.7156.0-29.311%
Last 10 (10)68.696.4165.0-27.80%
Last 5 (5)61.0100.8161.8-39.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.090.5158.6-22.513%
vs Similar (5)78.480.8159.2-2.420%
vs Weaker (2)91.085.0176.0+6.050%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 77
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 77
H05/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
94-64
94
64
+30
99avg 77
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
95-59
95
59
+36
97avg 77
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Darussafaka
#31
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 77
A19/12
Champions League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 77
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
80avg 77
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
75avg 77
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
86avg 77
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
83-57
83
57
+26
80avg 77
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-16
27-26
16-26
23-17
19-28
20-10
21-16
17-18
25-18
16-12
29-13
24-21
33-14
21-12
17-21
24-12
17-22
24-19
23-21
17-25
27-24
18-29
26-11
15-29
24-11
21-20
19-22
22-23
16-28
29-16
21-17
22-12
22-21
29-19
14-14
23-24
27-8
19-17
20-18
17-14
162.7Avg total
88.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.070.8156.8+15.275%
Season at home (7)88.663.1151.7+25.4100%
Season away (13)84.674.8159.5+9.862%
Last 10 (10)88.374.4162.7+13.980%
Last 5 (5)86.275.4161.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.072.7138.7-6.733%
vs Similar (5)73.076.2149.2-3.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.870.5158.2+17.386%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
Tallinna KalevVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
79.8Avg total
32.1Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.543.077.5-8.523%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.242.278.3-6.031%-
Last 30 away (17)33.243.676.9-10.418%-
Last 10 (10)32.147.779.8-15.610%-
Last 5 (5)29.650.480.0-20.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.344.276.6-11.913%-
vs Similar (5)40.436.476.8+4.060%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
66-42
66
42
+24
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Darussafaka
#31
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/12
Champions League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
84.3Avg total
47.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.735.877.5+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.833.575.2+8.275%-
Last 30 away (18)41.737.379.1+4.461%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.084.3+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.685.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.037.771.7-3.767%-
vs Similar (5)33.841.675.4-7.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.634.278.8+10.482%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.217.5
42.5%
50.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.2
28.1%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
70.5%14.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
50.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.3
36.5%
32.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
70.5%13.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLLLLLL
VEF Riga
WWWWLLWWWW
#16
League position
#3
-36.0
Net rating
+19.2
86.2
Offensive rating
118.9
122.2
Defensive rating
99.8
42.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
40.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.1%
3-point %
36.5%
51.5%
Assist %
64.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.2 · 118.9Defence122.2 · 99.8Shooting42.3% · 54.3%3-point %28.1% · 36.5%Ball care21.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds25.7% · 40.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
9
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23VEF Riga v Tallinna Kalev94-64
21/01/23Tallinna Kalev v VEF Riga61-67
13/12/22VEF Riga v Tallinna Kalev93-60
10/11/21VEF Riga v Tallinna Kalev97-51
23/10/21Tallinna Kalev v VEF Riga66-93
23/01/19Tallinna Kalev v VEF Riga83-93
30/09/18VEF Riga v Tallinna Kalev95-56
22/01/11VEF Riga v Tallinna Kalev94-60
08/10/10Tallinna Kalev v VEF Riga71-77 OT
Tallinna Kalevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HRigas Zelli64-89
05/01/24HPrometey52-110
23/12/23AParnu63-104
16/12/23APrometey62-107
10/12/23AVEF Riga64-94
03/12/23HKeila KK91-101
28/11/23HRapla76-82
25/11/23ABK Ogre73-101
19/11/23HLatvijas Universitate75-83
10/11/23AVentspils66-93
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AViimsi83-57
13/01/24AParnu88-78
06/01/24HTartu Ulikool88-73
29/12/23HBK Liepaja86-76
27/12/23ARigas Zelli86-93
19/12/23ADarussafaka81-87
15/12/23HTal Tech95-59
10/12/23HTallinna Kalev94-64
05/12/23HTenerife77-72
01/12/23AValmiera Glass Via105-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %11%11%11%
Points / game67.170.863.3
Allowed / game89.285.892.7
Point differential-22.2-15.0-29.3
Avg total156.3156.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %75%100%62%
Points / game86.088.684.6
Allowed / game70.863.174.8
Point differential+15.2+25.4+9.8
Avg total156.8151.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%100%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2019195%87.770.1+17.6
2 Prometey1917289%92.168.2+23.9
3 VEF Riga2015575%86.070.8+15.2
4 Tartu Ulikool1913668%77.770.1+7.6
5 Rigas Zelli2114767%80.472.2+8.2
6 Ventspils1812667%92.786.2+6.6
7 BK Ogre1910953%79.277.2+2.0
8 BK Liepaja189950%79.679.8-0.2
9 Tal Tech20101050%78.279.2-1.1
10 Keila KK2081240%80.486.0-5.6
11 Parnu1871139%75.677.5-1.9
12 Rapla2071335%75.077.8-2.8
13 Viimsi2151624%66.584.8-18.3
14 Valmiera Glass Via1841422%75.085.8-10.8
15 Latvijas Universitate2131814%67.785.8-18.1
16 Tallinna Kalev1821611%67.189.2-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev1217172066
VEF Riga3319192192
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