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Parnu vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-88
21-22 19-29 14-14 24-23
Position#8
Record6-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game71.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v VEF Riga
13 Mar 2027
PAR v VRI
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
PAR62
VRI72
01 Mar 2025
PAR83
VRI96
13 Jan 2024
PAR78
VRI88
05 Nov 2022
PAR63
VRI71
20 Nov 2021
PAR77
VRI80
08 Nov 2018
PAR72
VRI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 68
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 68
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
35avg 68
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 68
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 68
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 68
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 68
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 68
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
72-93
72
93
-21
56avg 68
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
116avg 68
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
16-17
8-20
8-20
17-23
29-19
16-20
15-25
21-21
19-29
19-16
26-18
13-17
17-20
15-16
7-17
26-22
15-29
20-24
33-18
10-17
18-21
22-15
22-29
22-26
13-30
21-22
15-18
23-23
31-12
22-17
30-21
21-13
160.5Avg total
76.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.177.9153.9-1.838%
Season at home (7)75.774.6150.3+1.143%
Season away (9)76.380.4156.8-4.133%
Last 10 (10)76.983.6160.5-6.720%
Last 5 (5)80.682.0162.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.684.1154.8-13.50%
vs Similar (17)75.977.9153.8-2.047%
vs Weaker (5)82.263.6145.8+18.680%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 77
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
55avg 77
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 77
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 77
H05/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
94-64
94
64
+30
99avg 77
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
95-59
95
59
+36
97avg 77
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Darussafaka
#31
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 77
A19/12
Champions League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 77
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
80avg 77
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
75avg 77
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
28-10
17-22
18-15
13-16
7-21
19-19
27-17
39-16
27-26
16-26
23-17
19-28
20-10
21-16
17-18
25-18
16-12
29-13
24-21
33-14
21-12
17-21
24-12
17-22
24-19
23-21
17-25
27-24
18-29
26-11
15-29
24-11
21-20
19-22
22-23
16-28
29-16
21-17
22-12
160.1Avg total
85.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.171.1157.2+14.972%
Season at home (7)88.663.1151.7+25.4100%
Season away (11)84.576.2160.6+8.355%
Last 10 (10)85.974.2160.1+11.770%
Last 5 (5)87.277.6164.8+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.072.7138.7-6.733%
vs Similar (5)73.076.2149.2-3.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.670.9158.5+16.782%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
ParnuVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
79.4Avg total
37.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.075.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.839.476.2-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.136.974.1+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.779.4-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.139.274.4-4.150%-
vs Similar (17)36.838.875.6-2.035%-
vs Weaker (5)40.633.273.8+7.480%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
66-42
66
42
+24
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tenerife
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Darussafaka
#31
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/12
Champions League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
80.7Avg total
44.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.277.7+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.334.176.4+8.179%-
Last 30 away (16)40.937.978.8+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.580.7+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.037.771.7-3.767%-
vs Similar (5)33.841.675.4-7.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.334.779.0+9.682%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.1
49.8%
50.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
32.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.012.9
64.5%
70.5%12.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.4
56.5%
50.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.7
33.1%
32.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.713.4
68.0%
70.5%13.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WLLLLLLLWL
VEF Riga
WWLLWWWWLW
#8
League position
#3
-8.9
Net rating
+16.9
98.1
Offensive rating
116.9
107.1
Defensive rating
100.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
39.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.9%
3-point %
33.1%
66.1%
Assist %
65.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 116.9Defence107.1 · 100.1Shooting49.1% · 53.5%3-point %31.9% · 33.1%Ball care17.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds24.2% · 39.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Parnu   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Parnu wins
6
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23VEF Riga v Parnu80-64
14/01/23VEF Riga v Parnu85-41
05/11/22Parnu v VEF Riga63-71
20/11/21Parnu v VEF Riga77-80
16/10/21VEF Riga v Parnu92-95
26/12/18VEF Riga v Parnu91-56
08/11/18Parnu v VEF Riga72-76
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HTallinna Kalev104-63
20/12/23ABK Ogre72-93
19/12/23AVentspils84-91
16/12/23ATartu Ulikool78-88
07/12/23ABK Liepaja65-75
02/12/23HVentspils77-80
25/11/23ARigas Zelli81-85
18/11/23HPrometey49-80
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HTartu Ulikool88-73
29/12/23HBK Liepaja86-76
27/12/23ARigas Zelli86-93
19/12/23ADarussafaka81-87
15/12/23HTal Tech95-59
10/12/23HTallinna Kalev94-64
05/12/23HTenerife77-72
01/12/23AValmiera Glass Via105-85
28/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo66-73
25/11/23HKeila KK81-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game76.175.776.3
Allowed / game77.974.680.4
Point differential-1.8+1.1-4.1
Avg total153.9150.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %72%100%55%
Points / game86.188.684.5
Allowed / game71.163.176.2
Point differential+14.9+25.4+8.3
Avg total157.2151.7160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1817194%87.069.3+17.7
2 Prometey1715288%91.668.2+23.5
3 VEF Riga1813572%86.171.1+14.9
4 Ventspils1712571%93.084.8+8.2
5 Rigas Zelli1913668%80.771.2+9.5
6 Tartu Ulikool1711665%77.572.4+5.1
7 Tal Tech1810856%78.977.5+1.4
8 BK Ogre179853%79.977.8+2.1
9 BK Liepaja179853%79.679.5+0.1
10 Rapla1871139%75.177.5-2.4
11 Parnu1661038%76.177.9-1.8
12 Keila KK1971237%79.786.0-6.3
13 Viimsi1951426%69.285.3-16.1
14 Valmiera Glass Via1841422%75.085.8-10.8
15 Latvijas Universitate2031715%67.886.2-18.4
16 Tallinna Kalev1821611%67.189.2-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2119142478
VEF Riga2229142388
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