Tarija Basquet vs Atletico Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Aug 2024

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 90-77

16-20 16-26 33-14 25-17

Position#2

Record19-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game78.9

Tarija Basquet 🏆

Atletico Nacional

Position#1

Record24-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game75.9

LibobasquetLibobasquet - Final

Other2024

Meetings · Tarija Basquet v Atletico Nacional

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarija Basquet winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Atletico Nacional winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tarija Basquet Bolivia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Carl A-Z

90-72

+18

H17/07

Libobasquet

Carl A-Z

84-87

-3

A20/07

Libobasquet

Carl A-Z

91-66

+25

H23/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

82-76 OT

H27/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

65-64

H27/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

66-86

-20

A31/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

77-78

-1

A01/08

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

73-58

+15

H04/08

Libobasquet

Atletico Nacional

71-89

-18

A06/08

Libobasquet

Atletico Nacional

78-94

-16

A07/08

Libobasquet

20-17

25-16

19-18

26-21

18-21

24-20

11-25

31-21

26-11

23-16

24-22

18-17

10-8

18-19

16-18

15-14

17-3

16-21

19-17

13-23

19-17

16-26

12-19

19-24

19-14

16-18

12-24

30-22

19-16

20-13

17-12

17-17

16-27

18-11

14-35

23-16

27-21

19-23

17-30

15-20

154.7Avg total

77.7Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	83.6	78.9	162.5	+4.6	68%
Season at home (14)	86.1	73.4	159.6	+12.7	93%
Season away (14)	81.0	84.4	165.4	-3.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	77.0	154.7	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	81.0	154.0	-8.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	77.8	88.8	166.7	-11.0	33%
vs Similar (10)	73.8	75.4	149.2	-1.6	60%
vs Weaker (14)	92.5	76.4	168.9	+16.1	86%

This opponent (Atletico Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atletico Nacional Bolivia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Univ. Sucre

80-67

+13

H03/07

Libobasquet

Kinwa

95-60

+35

H16/07

Libobasquet

Kinwa

83-71

+12

A19/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

69-71

-2

H26/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

65-81

-16

H28/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

85-81

A30/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

85-78

A02/08

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

63-62

H03/08

Libobasquet

Tarija Basquet

89-71

+18

H06/08

Libobasquet

Tarija Basquet

94-78

+16

H07/08

Libobasquet

–

25-19

19-10

24-21

15-21

18-21

18-13

24-15

9-22

19-19

10-29

18-16

18-17

30-25

20-27

25-15

10-14

16-24

19-15

21-14

29-25

12-17

13-18

18-18

20-9

27-16

11-18

35-14

16-23

21-27

23-19

30-17

20-15

152.8Avg total

80.8Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	87.1	75.9	163.0	+11.2	89%
Season at home (15)	83.5	72.3	155.7	+11.2	80%
Season away (12)	91.6	80.4	172.0	+11.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	72.0	152.8	+8.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	74.0	157.2	+9.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	74.9	73.1	148.0	+1.8	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	91.0	76.6	167.6	+14.5	95%

This opponent (Tarija Basquet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tarija BasquetAtletico Nacional

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	15.7	36.1	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.5	34.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	15.6	32.5	+1.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.7	17.9	39.6	+3.9	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.4	19.9	43.3	+3.5	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	17.4	39.5	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (14)	25.0	18.9	43.9	+6.1	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.7	19.0	38.6	+0.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	15.8	19.8	35.6	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.1	61%	-

Tarija BasquetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Carl A-Z

45-33

+12

H17/07

Libobasquet

Carl A-Z

42-41

A20/07

Libobasquet

Carl A-Z

49-27

+22

H23/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

28-27

H27/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

33-24

H27/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

35-43

-8

A31/07

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

35-32

A01/08

Libobasquet

Pichincha Potosi

39-29

+10

H04/08

Libobasquet

Atletico Nacional

34-38

-4

A06/08

Libobasquet

Atletico Nacional

46-44

A07/08

Libobasquet

72.4Avg total

38.6Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	36.6	77.5	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	33.1	75.6	+9.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.2	79.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	33.8	72.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.8	38.8	76.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	34.4	35.1	69.5	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	46.7	36.8	83.5	+9.9	86%	-

This opponent (Atletico Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atletico NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kinwa

44-29

+15

A19/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

36-34

H26/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

29-48

-19

H28/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

50-52

-2

A30/07

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

35-39

-4

A02/08

Libobasquet

Leones de Potosi

25-35

-10

H03/08

Libobasquet

Tarija Basquet

38-34

H06/08

Libobasquet

Tarija Basquet

44-46

-2

H07/08

Libobasquet

77.2Avg total

37.6Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.3	39.0	81.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.5	38.7	77.2	-0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.8	39.3	85.1	+6.5	71%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.2	79.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	36.8	40.1	76.9	-3.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.0	38.4	83.4	+6.6	78%	-

This opponent (Tarija Basquet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.5	39.4	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.7	38.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.0	38.1	-5.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	24.0	38.4	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.7	26.7	43.3	-10.0	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.7	18.5	35.2	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.1	17.6	39.7	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.3	16.6	39.9	+6.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (8)	24.4	16.2	40.6	+8.1	88%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	15.6	41.4	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.7	15.2	34.9	+4.4	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.3	18.8	42.1	+4.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.9	38.1	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.5	42.7	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.4	19.5	40.0	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	17.8	37.8	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.1	18.2	35.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	17.1	17.8	34.9	-0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.7	79.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	36.7	76.3	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	42.7	83.3	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	41.5	78.3	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	43.8	79.0	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.7	45.8	81.5	-10.2	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.3	37.1	72.4	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	45.6	38.9	84.4	+6.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.5	37.1	79.6	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.4	34.4	77.8	+9.0	85%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	39.6	81.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.5	34.5	76.0	+7.0	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	32.8	77.6	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	36.8	33.0	69.8	+3.8	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.4	39.2	84.6	+6.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tarija Basquettheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Atletico Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atletico Nacional: 77.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.9	50.1%	-	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.0	30.4%	-	21.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	16.4	65.8%	-	16.4

They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	15.8	44.5%	-	31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.9	32.7%	-	23.7
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.1	69.0%	-	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	15.8	44.5%	-	31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.9	32.7%	-	23.7
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.1	69.0%	-	15.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tarija Basquet wins

Atletico Nacional wins

Date	Game	Score
07/08/24	Atletico Nacional v Tarija Basquet	94-78
06/08/24	Atletico Nacional v Tarija Basquet	89-71
27/05/24	Atletico Nacional v Tarija Basquet	99-71
04/04/24	Tarija Basquet v Atletico Nacional	78-85
10/08/19	Tarija Basquet v Atletico Nacional	74-85
04/08/19	Atletico Nacional v Tarija Basquet	80-79
03/08/19	Atletico Nacional v Tarija Basquet	81-72

Tarija Basquetlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/08/24	A	Atletico Nacional	78-94
06/08/24	A	Atletico Nacional	71-89
04/08/24	H	Pichincha Potosi	73-58
01/08/24	A	Pichincha Potosi	77-78
31/07/24	A	Pichincha Potosi	66-86
27/07/24	H	Pichincha Potosi	65-64
27/07/24	H	Pichincha Potosi	82-76 OT
23/07/24	H	Carl A-Z	91-66
20/07/24	A	Carl A-Z	84-87
17/07/24	H	Carl A-Z	90-72

Atletico Nacionallast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/08/24	H	Tarija Basquet	94-78
06/08/24	H	Tarija Basquet	89-71
03/08/24	H	Leones de Potosi	63-62
02/08/24	A	Leones de Potosi	85-78
30/07/24	A	Leones de Potosi	85-81
28/07/24	H	Leones de Potosi	65-81
26/07/24	H	Leones de Potosi	69-71
19/07/24	A	Kinwa	83-71
16/07/24	H	Kinwa	95-60
03/07/24	H	Univ. Sucre	80-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarija Basquet

Libobasquet 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	68%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	LLLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	93%	43%
Points / game	83.6	86.1	81.0
Allowed / game	78.9	73.4	84.4
Point differential	+4.6	+12.7	-3.4
Avg total	162.5	159.6	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	50%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	14%	21%	7%

Atletico Nacional

Libobasquet 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	89%
Home	LLWWW	80%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	15	12
Win %	89%	80%	100%
Points / game	87.1	83.5	91.6
Allowed / game	75.9	72.3	80.4
Point differential	+11.2	+11.2	+11.2
Avg total	163.0	155.7	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	60%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Atletico Nacional	27	24	3	89%	87.1	75.9	+11.2
2	Tarija Basquet	28	19	9	68%	83.6	78.9	+4.6
3	Leones de Potosi	28	18	10	64%	81.6	72.6	+9.0
4	Pichincha Potosi	27	16	11	59%	79.3	74.8	+4.4
5	Can Oruro	21	11	10	52%	85.2	83.0	+2.2
6	Univ. Sucre	20	8	12	40%	79.4	83.0	-3.5
7	Carl A-Z	21	7	14	33%	81.8	85.2	-3.4
8	Saracho	18	5	13	28%	85.6	93.7	-8.1
9	Kinwa	20	5	15	25%	81.2	88.1	-6.9
10	Basquetbol La Paz	18	1	17	6%	74.2	97.7	-23.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tarija Basquet	16	16	33	25	90
Atletico Nacional	20	26	14	17	77

← all games of the day

Tarija Basquet vs Atletico Nacional Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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