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Tarleton vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-45
21-14 46-31
Position#235
Record4-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game61.9
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#276
Record7-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game61.3
Allowed / game59.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#179
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
69-42
69
42
+27
H20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A23/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-29
29-36
42-21
27-21
26-23
27-31
22-31
32-34
25-26
30-38
28-30
29-29
46-36
38-29
46-28
35-47
32-28
30-41
27-25
38-27
124.1Avg total
63.1Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.963.3125.2-1.433%
Season at home (5)71.258.6129.8+12.680%
Season away (7)55.366.7122.0-11.40%
Last 10 (10)63.161.0124.1+2.140%
Last 5 (5)69.864.0133.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)60.469.3129.8-8.911%
vs Similar (9)60.665.1125.7-4.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.959.8135.7+16.267%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A21/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H04/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
31-27
30-25
29-33
28-33
33-24
26-24
46-29
39-41
34-24
47-25
19-40
21-24
38-24
45-13
31-45
24-35
24-31
24-34
22-34
121.0Avg total
61.3Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)61.359.7121.0+1.670%
Season at home (5)66.856.2123.0+10.6100%
Season away (5)55.863.2119.0-7.440%
Last 10 (10)61.359.7121.0+1.670%
Last 5 (5)59.061.0120.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)58.471.8130.1-13.423%
vs Similar (8)64.661.6126.2+3.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.4-0.4
TarletonAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#179
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A17/11
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/12
NCAA
59.3Avg total
31.6Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.362.5+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.527.866.2+10.867%-
Last 30 away (18)29.730.360.0-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)31.627.759.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.465.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.030.160.1-0.144%-
vs Similar (9)28.831.360.1-2.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.027.166.1+11.975%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H20/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H04/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A19/12
NCAA
59.2Avg total
30.6Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.133.061.1-4.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.032.760.7-4.727%-
Last 30 away (15)28.133.361.4-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)30.628.659.2+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.226.258.4+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.134.061.1-6.918%-
vs Similar (8)30.630.260.9+0.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
0
Air Force wins
No previous meetings.
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HSouth Alabama65-52
15/12/21ASouth Alabama62-69
09/12/21HSAGU81-75
08/12/21HDallas Christian84-65
06/12/21HCharleston Southern57-59
30/11/21AGonzaga55-64
25/11/21AMichigan54-65
23/11/21ANorth Dakota St53-54
20/11/21HPaul Quinn69-42
17/11/21AWichita State51-65
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21AArkansas State46-68
09/12/21AMontana48-66
04/12/21HArmy76-58
27/11/21HIdaho State59-48
24/11/21HDenver66-65
21/11/21ABethune-Cookman73-65
20/11/21HHoly Cross72-53
18/11/21HTexas Southern61-57
13/11/21ATulsa59-58
11/11/21ASouth Dakota Coyotes53-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%80%0%
Points / game61.971.255.3
Allowed / game63.358.666.7
Point differential-1.4+12.6-11.4
Avg total125.2129.8122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game61.366.855.8
Allowed / game59.756.263.2
Point differential+1.6+10.6-7.4
Avg total121.0123.0119.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian108280%85.360.9+24.4
2 Utah Valley State118373%76.365.1+11.2
3 California Baptist118373%72.465.2+7.2
4 Southern Utah117464%78.774.1+4.6
5 Utah Tech127558%82.874.6+8.2
6 Tarleton124833%61.963.3-1.4
7 UT Arlington103730%61.770.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State10100100%83.467.0+16.4
2 Wyoming109190%79.762.8+16.9
3 Grand Canyon1210283%72.257.8+14.4
4 Fresno State129375%66.355.9+10.4
5 San Diego State107370%63.458.6+4.8
6 Air Force107370%61.359.7+1.6
7 Boise State128467%70.359.0+11.3
8 Utah State128467%79.470.2+9.2
9 Nevada106460%79.274.4+4.8
10 San Jose State106460%70.070.1-0.1
11 UNLV127558%70.867.4+3.4
12 New Mexico126650%80.578.8+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton214667
Air Force143145
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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