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Tarleton vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 59-40
29-24 30-16
Position#42
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game68.4
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
CSU Bakersfield
USA
Position#280
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#638
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A20/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-20
0-0
64-25
–
–
–
–
0-0
31-28
0-0
43-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
31-38
0-0
37-33
0-0
27-31
0-0
19-43
0-0
31-37
0-0
44-38
0-0
38-27
0-0
49-32
0-0
44-20
0-0
33-46
0-0
30-40
0-0
37-35
0-0
29-24
128.7Avg total
68.6Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.868.4139.2+2.460%
Season at home (1)93.052.0145.0+41.0100%
Season away (4)65.272.5137.8-7.250%
Last 10 (10)68.660.1128.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)70.868.4139.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.567.2132.8-1.825%
vs Similar (16)66.471.6138.0-5.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.654.3131.9+23.289%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#119
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A03/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A05/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H08/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A09/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H07/11
NCAA
USC
#249
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A10/11
NCAA
California
#283
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A14/11
NCAA
Saint Katherine
#522
W
77-44
77
44
+33
H16/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
27-28
20-38
41-39
18-29
26-23
24-26
27-21
18-36
33-39
34-36
39-36
23-47
36-38
34-49
29-34
36-20
41-24
30-38
45-33
129.6Avg total
62.0Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.471.0140.4-1.660%
Season at home (2)75.058.0133.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)65.779.7145.3-14.033%
Last 10 (10)62.067.6129.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)69.471.0140.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)58.370.2128.5-11.96%
vs Similar (12)64.365.1129.4-0.867%
vs Weaker (1)77.044.0121.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
TarletonCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#638
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H01/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
70.2Avg total
35.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.230.965.1+3.262%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.727.064.7+10.786%-
Last 30 away (15)30.934.665.5-3.740%-
Last 10 (9)35.934.370.2+1.667%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.875.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.233.061.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (16)32.532.064.5+0.556%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.127.567.6+12.688%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#119
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A03/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A05/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H08/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A09/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/11
NCAA
USC
#249
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A10/11
NCAA
California
#283
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A14/11
NCAA
Saint Katherine
#522
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H16/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/11
NCAA
62.1Avg total
27.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.232.159.3-4.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.728.958.7+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)24.735.360.0-10.77%-
Last 10 (10)27.035.162.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.069.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)26.232.658.8-6.524%-
vs Similar (12)27.932.460.3-4.517%-
vs Weaker (1)36.020.056.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
0
CSU Bakersfield wins
No previous meetings.
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23AAustin Peay66-59
15/11/23ABradley63-86
12/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas93-52
10/11/23AFlorida International82-65
07/11/23AVirginia50-80
19/03/23HRadford70-72 OT
10/03/23AUtah Valley State58-72
08/03/23HUTRGV74-70
04/03/23HNew Mexico State20-0
01/03/23HDallas Christian110-45
CSU Bakersfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23ASacramento State75-71
16/11/23HSaint Katherine77-44
14/11/23ACalifornia63-83
10/11/23AUSC59-85
07/11/23HSouthern Utah73-72
09/03/23AUC Irvine51-75
08/03/23HCS Northridge51-47
05/03/23AUC Irvine44-52
03/03/23ALong Beach State61-77
25/02/23HCS Fullerton66-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game70.893.065.2
Allowed / game68.452.072.5
Point differential+2.4+41.0-7.2
Avg total139.2145.0137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game69.475.065.7
Allowed / game71.058.079.7
Point differential-1.6+17.0-14.0
Avg total140.4133.0145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist54180%70.061.8+8.2
2 Tarleton53260%70.868.4+2.4
3 Utah Valley State53260%66.669.4-2.8
4 Utah Tech42250%74.875.0-0.2
5 Abilene Christian63350%67.870.8-3.0
6 UT Arlington42250%76.579.5-3.0
7 Southern Utah52340%78.274.6+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego440100%88.265.5+22.8
2 Hawaii220100%81.067.0+14.0
3 UC Irvine54180%82.463.4+19.0
4 UC Davis32167%70.769.7+1.0
5 CS Northridge53260%79.474.4+5.0
6 CSU Bakersfield53260%69.471.0-1.6
7 Long Beach State73443%76.379.1-2.9
8 CS Fullerton52340%64.671.6-7.0
9 UC Riverside52340%64.074.4-10.4
10 UC Santa Barbara31233%82.781.0+1.7
11 Cal Poly62433%66.373.2-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton293059
CSU Bakersfield241640
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