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Utah Valley State vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 72-58
34-27 38-31
Position#35
Record24-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game67.6
Utah Valley State 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#183
Record18-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah Valley State v Tarleton
26 Feb 2026
UTAH79
TARL72
08 Feb 2025
UTAH81
TARL56
08 Feb 2024
UTAH61
TARL72
09 Mar 2023
UTAH72
TARL58
01 Jan 2022
UTAH77
TARL55
30 Jan 2021
UTAH62
TARL70
29 Jan 2021
UTAH73
TARL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H09/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A26/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
113-69
113
69
+44
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
28-45
39-36
38-36
29-33
47-36
34-23
37-32
48-33
42-50
21-24
46-34
20-35
38-42
28-31
38-31
32-31
46-28
55-36
58-33
144.6Avg total
76.3Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.767.6144.4+9.177%
Season at home (15)83.765.1148.7+18.693%
Season away (16)70.270.1140.3+0.262%
Last 10 (10)76.368.3144.6+8.080%
Last 5 (5)76.465.0141.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (6)81.775.3157.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.066.0142.0+10.082%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#300
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
45-35
31-25
31-47
45-32
30-39
32-32
28-33
27-34
32-30
35-20
42-38
40-38
43-45
46-20
64-25
–
–
31-28
43-42
130.9Avg total
70.1Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)70.865.6136.4+5.355%
Season at home (17)75.858.2134.0+17.682%
Season away (16)65.673.4139.0-7.925%
Last 10 (10)70.160.8130.9+9.360%
Last 5 (5)75.254.4129.6+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.067.0134.0+0.025%
vs Similar (16)66.372.4138.7-6.138%
vs Weaker (9)74.254.6128.8+19.789%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.7+2.7
Utah Valley StateTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#93
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A27/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H04/03
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.568.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.430.571.9+10.993%-
Last 30 away (15)31.532.564.1-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)34.531.666.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.231.462.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.025.063.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (6)40.236.877.0+3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)35.430.966.2+4.564%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#300
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H24/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H01/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/03
NCAA
63.2Avg total
34.6Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.729.463.2+4.359%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.726.663.3+10.180%-
Last 30 away (14)30.532.563.0-2.036%-
Last 10 (9)34.628.763.2+5.967%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.063.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)27.833.261.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (16)32.531.363.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (8)37.224.661.9+12.688%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Utah Valley State wins
2
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Tarleton v Utah Valley State77-58
17/02/22Tarleton v Utah Valley State56-69
01/01/22Utah Valley State v Tarleton77-55
31/01/21Utah Valley State v Tarleton62-70
30/01/21Utah Valley State v Tarleton73-60
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HStephen F. Austin113-69
02/03/23HUT Arlington78-59
26/02/23AAbilene Christian66-62
24/02/23ATarleton58-77
19/02/23ASeattle67-58
12/02/23HSouthern Utah90-83
09/02/23HCalifornia Baptist71-55
03/02/23AUtah Tech76-69
28/01/23HNew Mexico State77-72
27/01/23ASouthern Utah67-79
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HUTRGV74-70
04/03/23HNew Mexico State20-0
01/03/23HDallas Christian110-45
26/02/23AUTRGV95-99 OT
24/02/23HUtah Valley State77-58
19/02/23HSam Houston St.59-64
16/02/23AStephen F. Austin60-65
12/02/23AUtah Tech75-71
10/02/23ASouthern Utah62-72
06/02/23AUT Arlington69-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %77%93%62%
Points / game76.783.770.2
Allowed / game67.665.170.1
Point differential+9.1+18.6+0.2
Avg total144.4148.7140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%73%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %10%0%19%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%82%25%
Points / game70.875.865.6
Allowed / game65.658.273.4
Point differential+5.3+17.6-7.9
Avg total136.4134.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%53%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State3124777%76.767.6+9.1
2 Southern Utah30191163%81.874.4+7.4
3 Tarleton33181555%70.865.6+5.3
4 California Baptist34181653%68.063.4+4.6
5 Abilene Christian32151747%71.666.7+4.9
6 Utah Tech32141844%75.673.2+2.4
7 UT Arlington32112134%66.468.4-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah Valley State343872
Tarleton273158
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