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Tarleton vs Florida A&M Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-54
49-35 29-19
Position#255
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#245
Record2-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game83.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tarleton v Florida A&M
19 Dec 2025
TARL78
FLOR54
29 Dec 2024
TARL70
FLOR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida A&M winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#430
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
119-54
119
54
+65
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-28
38-49
34-31
42-31
42-55
39-39
44-25
33-29
37-38
53-36
25-36
42-21
29-31
29-45
59-29
60-25
53-23
40-40
43-40
45-24
150.9Avg total
83.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.872.2153.1+8.667%
Season at home (6)86.261.2147.3+25.0100%
Season away (6)75.583.3158.8-7.833%
Last 10 (10)83.467.5150.9+15.980%
Last 5 (5)85.062.8147.8+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)62.872.8135.6-10.025%
vs Similar (9)71.767.2138.9+4.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)103.559.0162.5+44.5100%
This opponent (Florida A&M) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida A&MUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H12/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
67-102
67
102
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H08/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
60-97
60
97
-37
A12/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A17/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Florida Mem.
#376
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
38-50
23-32
52-34
31-46
45-45
33-47
34-55
34-48
38-44
20-48
40-49
22-44
35-43
43-39
31-35
32-29
28-29
47-33
25-32
151.5Avg total
69.6Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.183.7150.9-16.629%
Season at home (3)68.071.7139.7-3.767%
Season away (4)66.592.8159.2-26.20%
Last 10 (10)69.681.9151.5-12.330%
Last 5 (5)66.278.4144.6-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.388.4153.7-23.110%
vs Similar (15)70.771.1141.8-0.347%
vs Weaker (4)80.565.5146.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
TarletonFlorida A&M
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H09/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#430
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
41.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.068.1+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.728.265.9+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)32.437.870.2-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)41.333.674.9+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.831.873.6+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.135.667.7-3.631%-
vs Similar (9)35.029.764.7+5.378%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)51.034.585.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Florida A&M) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida A&MLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A08/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A04/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H08/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
20-48
20
48
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A17/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Florida Mem.
#376
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H18/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
32.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.435.666.9-4.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.531.866.4+2.762%-
Last 30 away (17)28.938.467.4-9.529%-
Last 10 (10)32.239.271.4-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.671.4-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.344.875.1-14.520%-
vs Similar (15)31.132.663.7-1.547%-
vs Weaker (4)35.025.260.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
0
Florida A&M wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24Tarleton v Florida A&M70-60
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25AMiss. Valley St.88-64
07/12/25HCameron93-63
04/12/25HHoward Payne119-54
02/12/25ACincinnati58-76
28/11/25HState Mustangs67-57
21/11/25ARice90-74
18/11/25HAngelo State77-54
15/11/25ABaylor81-94
12/11/25HMerrimack Warriors76-62
09/11/25HTexas A&M-CC85-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HJacksonville Dolphins72-65
06/12/25HFlorida Mem.60-58
03/12/25AJacksonville Dolphins82-85 OT
17/11/25AGeorgia57-87
12/11/25AUCF Knights60-97
08/11/25HKennesaw State72-92
04/11/25ASouth Florida67-102
13/03/25AJackson State76-91
12/03/25HPrairie View A&M75-66
08/03/25ABethune-Cookman75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game80.886.275.5
Allowed / game72.261.283.3
Point differential+8.6+25.0-7.8
Avg total153.1147.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida A&M
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game67.168.066.5
Allowed / game83.771.792.8
Point differential-16.6-3.7-26.2
Avg total150.9139.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State129375%81.765.3+16.3
2 California Baptist129375%75.570.9+4.6
3 Tarleton128467%80.872.2+8.6
4 UT Arlington117464%73.064.9+8.1
5 Abilene Christian117464%72.768.5+4.3
6 Utah Tech126650%78.971.9+7.0
7 Southern Utah134931%77.781.0-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs116555%66.271.8-5.6
2 Grambling St.115645%71.572.3-0.8
3 Prairie View A&M104640%82.277.3+4.9
4 Southern Univ.114736%87.080.0+7.0
5 Florida A&M72529%67.183.7-16.6
6 Alabama State113827%76.682.4-5.7
7 Bethune-Cookman113827%70.682.1-11.5
8 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1331023%78.890.5-11.7
9 Texas Southern91811%71.289.3-18.1
10 Alcorn State101910%66.590.3-23.8
11 Miss. Valley St.121118%65.390.7-25.3
12 Jackson State121118%60.888.8-28.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton492978
Florida A&M351954
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