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Tarsus W vs Ferhatoglu W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 66-69
22-16 16-18 13-14 15-21
Position#1
Record22-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#5
Record15-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game67.5
TurkeyTKBL WomenRound 25
Women2022-23
Meetings · Tarsus W v Ferhatoglu W
15 Mar 2023
TARS66
FERH69
23 Feb 2022
TARS50
FERH77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarsus W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferhatoglu W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tarsus WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botas 2 W
#4
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A24/12
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A30/12
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H07/01
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A13/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H21/01
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A25/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H29/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A03/02
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H04/03
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A10/03
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
13-11
12-14
14-15
25-11
12-15
23-23
15-10
19-24
23-17
11-4
17-20
16-17
19-11
22-17
15-18
18-12
26-18
28-12
12-21
26-20
15-17
22-21
26-18
23-23
20-14
14-15
17-16
28-14
13-11
20-15
22-13
22-11
18-18
17-12
19-15
19-23
21-21
18-15
30-13
140.0Avg total
76.9Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.963.6143.5+16.392%
Season at home (11)82.563.0145.5+19.5100%
Season away (13)77.764.2141.8+13.585%
Last 10 (10)76.963.1140.0+13.8100%
Last 5 (5)82.065.0147.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.363.5143.8+16.893%
This opponent (Ferhatoglu W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferhatoglu WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirklareli W
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A23/12
TKBL Women
Izmit Bld. W
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H30/12
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A08/01
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#12
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H13/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A20/01
TKBL Women
Botas 2 W
#4
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H26/01
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A29/01
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H04/02
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A05/03
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H11/03
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
17-28
24-18
18-11
20-22
12-9
22-17
16-27
21-26
11-20
26-16
15-24
11-19
8-14
18-5
12-17
22-13
20-24
14-13
24-20
26-14
5-14
26-21
21-8
20-17
23-24
19-10
18-21
33-24
12-10
12-14
14-22
22-16
11-22
29-7
16-14
30-19
23-22
20-16
19-22
146.1Avg total
75.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.167.5138.5+3.662%
Season at home (12)67.662.3129.9+5.267%
Season away (12)74.672.6147.2+2.058%
Last 10 (10)75.470.7146.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)79.867.4147.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.379.0152.3-5.733%
vs Similar (16)70.069.9139.9+0.144%
vs Weaker (11)69.358.4127.6+10.991%
This opponent (Tarsus W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Tarsus WFerhatoglu W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tarsus WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botas 2 W
#4
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A24/12
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A30/12
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/01
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H21/01
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A03/02
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/03
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A10/03
TKBL Women
71.9Avg total
39.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.532.173.6+9.480%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.731.874.5+10.892%-
Last 30 away (17)40.632.272.8+8.471%-
Last 10 (10)39.532.471.9+7.190%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.475.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)41.432.273.6+9.279%-
This opponent (Ferhatoglu W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferhatoglu WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirklareli W
#6
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/12
TKBL Women
Izmit Bld. W
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H30/12
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A08/01
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#12
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H13/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A20/01
TKBL Women
Botas 2 W
#4
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H26/01
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A29/01
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/02
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A05/03
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H11/03
TKBL Women
75.5Avg total
37.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.835.673.4+2.166%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.133.171.1+5.071%-
Last 30 away (15)37.538.075.5-0.560%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.475.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.477.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (16)36.737.073.7-0.362%-
vs Weaker (10)39.632.171.7+7.580%-
This opponent (Tarsus W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tarsus Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tarsus W: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.2
48.3%
44.3%42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.7
44.6%
29.3%29.0
🏀 Free throws15.89.7
61.1%
70.3%9.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferhatoglu Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferhatoglu W: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.517.2
40.6%
44.3%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
29.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws13.810.5
76.4%
70.3%10.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/4 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tarsus W
WWWWWWWWWW
Ferhatoglu W
WWWWWWLLLL
#1
League position
#5
+24.1
Net rating
+12.3
106.6
Offensive rating
88.0
82.5
Defensive rating
75.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
41.9%
40.1%
Opp. effective FG%
37.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
44.6%
3-point %
29.5%
81.6%
Assist %
70.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 88.0Defence82.5 · 75.7Shooting54.5% · 41.9%3-point %44.6% · 29.5%Ball care18.6% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 32.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Tarsus W   ■ Ferhatoglu W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarsus W wins
3
Ferhatoglu W wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Ferhatoglu W v Tarsus W64-80
23/02/22Tarsus W v Ferhatoglu W50-77
17/11/21Ferhatoglu W v Tarsus W72-68
27/09/21Ferhatoglu W v Tarsus W73-43
Tarsus Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23ABogazici W88-72
04/03/23HElazig Il Ozel Idare W76-56
03/02/23ADiba Ankara W83-53
29/01/23HFenerbahce 2 W74-68
25/01/23AKirklareli W89-76
21/01/23HYalova W84-63
13/01/23AAntalya Gunesi W72-63
07/01/23HUrla Bld W70-65
30/12/22AElazig W75-59
24/12/22ABotas 2 W58-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HUrla Bld W92-79
05/03/23ABogazici W78-59
04/02/23HElazig W71-70
29/01/23AElazig Il Ozel Idare W80-72
26/01/23HBotas 2 W78-57
20/01/23ADiba Ankara W80-70
13/01/23HEmlak Konut Gelisim 2 W49-55
08/01/23AFenerbahce 2 W73-86
30/12/22HIzmit Bld. W70-75
23/12/22AKirklareli W83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarsus W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %92%100%85%
Points / game79.982.577.7
Allowed / game63.663.064.2
Point differential+16.3+19.5+13.5
Avg total143.5145.5141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%82%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferhatoglu W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game71.167.674.6
Allowed / game67.562.372.6
Point differential+3.6+5.2+2.0
Avg total138.5129.9147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarsus W2422292%79.963.6+16.3
2 Fenerbahce 2 W2319483%72.762.7+10.0
3 Izmit Bld. W2418675%73.367.6+5.7
4 Botas 2 W2316770%67.461.3+6.1
5 Kirklareli W2315865%78.372.3+6.0
6 Ferhatoglu W2415962%71.167.5+3.6
7 Elazig Il Ozel Idare W24141058%73.769.8+3.8
8 Elazig W23111248%74.772.1+2.5
9 Bogazici W24101442%70.172.0-1.9
10 Antalya Gunesi W2381535%66.370.8-4.4
11 Diba Ankara W2381535%64.369.4-5.1
12 Yalova W2371630%68.071.4-3.3
13 Urla Bld W2371630%63.868.0-4.2
14 Turgutlu W2471729%70.074.0-4.0
15 Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W2361726%63.766.0-2.3
16 Karsiyaka W150150%44.790.1-45.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tarsus W2216131566
Ferhatoglu W1618142169
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