PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

TCU vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-65
31-37 38-28
Position#77
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game67.0
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#287
Record5-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#278
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H11/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H04/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H07/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H15/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
H06/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-26
40-43
28-44
46-34
53-29
51-34
39-38
39-27
35-33
28-34
51-28
30-17
39-44
45-36
41-37
33-26
45-36
31-40
31-37
34-18
144.7Avg total
77.5Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.767.0145.7+11.767%
Season at home (7)79.966.9146.7+13.057%
Season away (2)74.567.5142.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.567.2144.7+10.360%
Last 5 (5)77.866.0143.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.371.7135.9-7.433%
vs Similar (10)68.768.7137.4+0.070%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.467.6152.0+16.860%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A04/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
109-70
109
70
+39
H11/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
37-57
48-28
56-32
47-40
62-30
19-35
42-34
41-38
46-43
40-46
40-45
65-23
52-32
34-32
37-35
33-34
34-40
26-38
57-46
159.2Avg total
84.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.374.9159.2+9.450%
Season at home (5)97.666.6164.2+31.0100%
Season away (5)71.083.2154.2-12.20%
Last 10 (10)84.374.9159.2+9.450%
Last 5 (5)83.674.2157.8+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.675.7141.3-10.114%
vs Similar (12)69.574.6144.1-5.125%
vs Weaker (11)82.664.7147.4+17.991%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +6.9+6.9
TCUIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#278
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H11/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A07/12
NCAA
74.1Avg total
38.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.967.8+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.731.968.7+4.872%-
Last 30 away (12)29.836.866.6-7.18%-
Last 10 (10)38.935.274.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.935.065.9-4.120%-
vs Similar (10)33.931.765.6+2.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.235.078.2+8.280%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A04/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
65-23
65
23
+42
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/12
NCAA
73.5Avg total
38.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.266.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.632.571.1+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)29.833.863.6-4.124%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.573.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.674.2+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)28.335.764.0-7.429%-
vs Similar (12)30.933.764.6-2.725%-
vs Weaker (11)39.931.271.1+8.773%-
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TCU wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ANorth Texas65-55
06/12/25HNotre Dame85-87 OT
28/11/25HWisconsin74-63
27/11/25AFlorida84-80
20/11/25HUMKC81-45
15/11/25HMichigan63-67
11/11/25HLamar78-65
07/11/25HSt. Francis (PA)104-63
04/11/25HNew Orleans74-78
11/03/25HColorado67-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25ANew Orleans83-84
06/12/25ANicholls State67-74
02/12/25HMcNeese State71-67
26/11/25HTexas Lutheran117-55
23/11/25AHigh Point80-91
20/11/25HSouthern Indiana87-81
16/11/25AIndiana61-69
11/11/25HSouthwestern Christian109-70
07/11/25HJarvis Christian104-60
04/11/25AColorado State64-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%57%100%
Points / game78.779.974.5
Allowed / game67.066.967.5
Point differential+11.7+13.0+7.0
Avg total145.7146.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%14%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.397.671.0
Allowed / game74.966.683.2
Point differential+9.4+31.0-12.2
Avg total159.2164.2154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona990100%89.368.0+21.3
2 Iowa State1110191%89.064.7+24.3
3 Houston1110191%78.257.7+20.5
4 Brigham Young109190%84.966.1+18.8
5 Oklahoma State109190%89.877.3+12.5
6 Colorado109190%88.477.0+11.4
7 UCF Knights98189%88.075.1+12.9
8 Arizona State119282%80.773.6+7.1
9 Baylor97278%88.879.4+9.3
10 Kansas118373%74.864.8+10.0
11 Texas Tech107370%81.972.3+9.6
12 West Virginia128467%75.360.9+14.4
13 TCU96367%78.767.0+11.7
14 Kansas State117464%86.477.1+9.3
15 Utah Utes117464%80.779.0+1.7
16 Cincinnati106460%74.367.0+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State119282%88.965.4+23.5
2 Stephen F. Austin97278%80.168.7+11.4
3 Lamar95456%72.065.6+6.4
4 Incarnate Word105550%84.374.9+9.4
5 Houston Christian105550%72.572.2+0.3
6 Texas A&M-CC94544%76.371.0+5.3
7 SE Louisiana114736%65.668.7-3.1
8 New Orleans124833%75.582.8-7.3
9 UTRGV72529%71.771.7+0.0
10 Nicholls State92722%74.477.6-3.1
11 Northwestern St.102820%70.882.3-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU313869
Incarnate Word372865
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.