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TCU vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 88-43
53-20 35-23
Position#96
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game62.7
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Miss. Valley St.
USA
Position#366
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game52.8
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · TCU v Miss. Valley St.
17 Nov 2023
TCU86
MISS52
18 Dec 2022
TCU88
MISS43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#5
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
A21/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H08/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H26/11
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H07/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
39-36
35-46
38-26
36-27
41-39
31-29
32-35
53-26
42-34
27-21
32-27
36-34
43-32
38-33
37-29
39-27
39-24
37-31
46-44
141.1Avg total
76.2Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.862.7138.4+13.189%
Season at home (8)74.961.1136.0+13.888%
Season away (1)83.075.0158.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.264.9141.1+11.380%
Last 5 (5)74.860.4135.2+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.572.0139.5-4.536%
vs Similar (10)66.059.4125.4+6.670%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)74.363.7138.0+10.778%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#50
L
51-80
51
80
-29
A14/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A21/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A23/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
45-88
45
88
-43
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A02/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A03/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
48-71
48
71
-23
A14/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-35
30-45
28-26
24-34
31-33
45-35
37-40
25-43
19-30
32-34
20-42
25-46
20-30
18-28
22-38
30-44
20-38
28-33
25-29
26-37
124.6Avg total
52.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)52.875.8128.5-23.08%
Season at home (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Season away (11)50.676.5127.1-25.80%
Last 10 (10)52.672.0124.6-19.410%
Last 5 (5)46.873.0119.8-26.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)63.277.5140.7-14.311%
vs Similar (3)66.077.7143.7-11.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -9.8-9.82nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -9.6-9.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -9.8-9.82nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -9.6-9.6
TCUMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H07/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
36.8Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.665.9+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.432.466.8+1.965%-
Last 30 away (13)32.032.864.8-0.854%-
Last 10 (10)36.831.368.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.429.264.6+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.736.968.6-5.227%-
vs Similar (10)31.728.460.1+3.380%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.132.069.1+5.178%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#50
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A14/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A02/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A03/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A14/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A17/12
NCAA
58.4Avg total
24.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.736.666.3-7.023%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.031.962.9-0.950%-
Last 30 away (20)29.039.068.0-10.010%-
Last 10 (10)24.334.158.4-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)21.435.456.8-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)29.336.766.0-7.422%-
vs Similar (3)33.336.069.3-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TCU wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
No previous meetings.
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22ASMU Mustangs83-75
07/12/22HJackson State78-51
01/12/22HProvidence75-62
27/11/22HIowa79-66
26/11/22HCalifornia59-48
18/11/22HLouisiana Monroe95-60
15/11/22HNorthwestern St.63-64
12/11/22HLamar77-66
08/11/22HArkansas-Pine Bluff73-72
21/03/22AArizona80-85 OT
Miss. Valley St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ATulsa51-66
14/12/22AWichita State48-71
03/12/22AMississippi St.52-82
02/12/22AArkansas State38-58
26/11/22AColorado State45-88
23/11/22AAir Force51-64
21/11/22AMissouri62-83
19/11/22HNorth Alabama76-68
15/11/22AEast. Washington52-60
14/11/22AYale51-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %89%88%100%
Points / game75.874.983.0
Allowed / game62.761.175.0
Point differential+13.1+13.8+8.0
Avg total138.4136.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %8%100%0%
Points / game52.876.050.6
Allowed / game75.868.076.5
Point differential-23.0+8.0-25.8
Avg total128.5144.0127.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1211192%73.550.3+23.2
2 Arizona1110191%90.575.2+15.3
3 Kansas State1110191%75.360.5+14.8
4 Kansas1110191%79.865.3+14.5
5 Arizona State1110191%72.260.8+11.4
6 TCU98189%75.862.7+13.1
7 West Virginia119282%81.966.5+15.4
8 Iowa State119282%70.956.9+14.0
9 Texas Tech108280%75.961.0+14.9
10 Baylor97278%84.669.1+15.4
11 Utah Utes129375%75.260.9+14.2
12 UCF Knights118373%71.261.1+10.1
13 Cincinnati128467%81.169.8+11.3
14 Oklahoma State117464%70.861.8+9.0
15 Brigham Young138562%76.671.6+5.0
16 Colorado127558%75.668.4+7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.106460%65.563.4+2.1
2 Prairie View A&M114736%71.271.5-0.4
3 Bethune-Cookman114736%66.075.8-9.8
4 Southern Univ.124833%74.275.2-1.0
5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff134931%64.169.6-5.5
6 Alabama A&M Bulldogs103730%71.676.3-4.7
7 Alcorn State103730%61.773.9-12.2
8 Texas Southern113827%66.175.2-9.1
9 Florida A&M92722%54.973.4-18.6
10 Alabama State101910%60.681.3-20.7
11 Jackson State111109%66.082.6-16.6
12 Miss. Valley St.121118%52.875.8-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU533588
Miss. Valley St.202343
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