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TCU vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-61
35-35 23-26
Position#210
Record16-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Baylor 🏆
USA
Position#149
Record17-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · TCU v Baylor
19 Jan 2027
TCU v BAYL
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TCU69
BAYL63
04 Mar 2025
TCU58
BAYL61
26 Feb 2024
TCU54
BAYL62
11 Feb 2023
TCU68
BAYL72
08 Jan 2022
TCU64
BAYL76
09 Jan 2021
TCU49
BAYL67
29 Feb 2020
TCU75
BAYL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A30/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H02/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H19/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A22/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A26/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
28-39
34-27
34-30
28-29
37-31
24-42
28-40
38-31
35-41
38-31
36-39
36-28
33-38
24-31
39-44
27-42
28-31
49-30
40-48
136.9Avg total
66.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.368.7137.0-0.455%
Season at home (18)71.464.4135.8+7.078%
Season away (11)63.375.8139.1-12.518%
Last 10 (10)66.570.4136.9-3.960%
Last 5 (5)70.072.4142.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.871.7136.5-6.937%
vs Similar (10)75.167.0142.1+8.180%
vs Weaker (1)71.048.0119.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A05/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H08/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A11/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-44
42-34
21-40
60-30
24-34
35-39
45-36
46-40
30-38
35-38
30-25
35-40
33-41
34-33
32-30
42-46
26-39
41-30
26-24
45-37
147.7Avg total
73.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.869.9147.7+7.959%
Season at home (16)83.462.9146.2+20.588%
Season away (13)71.078.5149.5-7.523%
Last 10 (10)73.873.9147.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)70.670.2140.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.283.2150.3-16.017%
vs Similar (13)75.069.8144.8+5.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.763.0148.7+22.782%
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +4.8+4.8
TCUBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H02/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H06/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A22/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H01/03
NCAA
65.0Avg total
32.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.365.6+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.829.865.6+6.067%-
Last 30 away (12)29.636.165.7-6.58%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.365.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.467.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.734.164.8-3.421%-
vs Similar (10)37.729.967.6+7.880%-
vs Weaker (1)39.022.061.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H01/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A05/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A11/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#131
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H02/03
NCAA
65.4Avg total
30.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.567.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.528.867.3+9.876%-
Last 30 away (13)29.237.566.6-8.331%-
Last 10 (10)30.335.165.4-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)29.431.861.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.540.867.3-14.30%-
vs Similar (13)32.233.565.7-1.454%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.526.868.4+14.791%-
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
TCU wins
6
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Baylor v TCU71-74
27/02/24TCU v Baylor54-62
27/01/24Baylor v TCU102-105 OT
11/02/23TCU v Baylor68-72
05/01/23Baylor v TCU87-88
19/02/22Baylor v TCU72-62
08/01/22TCU v Baylor64-76
09/01/21TCU v Baylor49-67
29/02/20TCU v Baylor75-72
01/02/20Baylor v TCU68-52
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HUCF Knights89-78
26/02/25AWest Virginia55-73
22/02/25ACincinnati63-75
19/02/25HTexas Tech69-66
16/02/25AArizona State74-70
13/02/25HOklahoma State73-72
08/02/25AIowa State52-82
06/02/25HWest Virginia65-60
02/02/25HColorado68-57
30/01/25ATexas Tech57-71
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HOklahoma State71-61
26/02/25ACincinnati67-69
22/02/25AColorado74-76
18/02/25HArizona67-74
15/02/25HWest Virginia74-71 OT
11/02/25AHouston65-76
08/02/25HUCF Knights91-76
05/02/25ATexas Tech59-73
01/02/25HKansas81-70
29/01/25ABrigham Young89-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %55%78%18%
Points / game68.371.463.3
Allowed / game68.764.475.8
Point differential-0.4+7.0-12.5
Avg total137.0135.8139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)100% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%9%
Baylor
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %59%88%23%
Points / game77.883.471.0
Allowed / game69.962.978.5
Point differential+7.9+20.5-7.5
Avg total147.7146.2149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%69%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %14%6%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3026487%74.558.0+16.5
2 Texas Tech2922776%80.666.8+13.8
3 Iowa State2922776%80.267.2+13.0
4 Brigham Young2921872%81.069.4+11.6
5 Arizona29191066%81.170.7+10.4
6 Kansas30191163%75.267.6+7.6
7 Baylor29171259%77.869.9+7.9
8 Cincinnati29171259%71.365.3+6.1
9 West Virginia29171259%68.264.6+3.6
10 Utah Utes29161355%75.771.3+4.4
11 TCU29161355%68.368.7-0.4
12 UCF Knights29151452%78.980.4-1.5
13 Kansas State29141548%72.470.3+2.1
14 Oklahoma State29141548%72.776.2-3.6
15 Arizona State29131645%73.975.1-1.2
16 Colorado29111838%69.771.7-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU352358
Baylor352661
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