Temple faces Central Connecticut State in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, with the model designating Temple as the favourite and expecting a decisive win; the Pythia model gives Temple a 65% chance of triumph and Central Connecticut State a 35% chance, projecting a final score of 73-69. Temple's recent form shows a 1-4 record in its last five games, including a 59-63 loss to Florida Atlantic away on 11 March 2026, a 76-78 loss to Tulsa away on 8 March 2026, and a 89-60 home victory over Tulane on 5 March 2026. Central Connecticut State, meanwhile, has a 3-2 record in its last five outings, with a 60-70 defeat to Wagner at home on 4 March 2026, a 69-64 home win over St. Francis (PA) on 28 February 2026, and an 80-78 home win against Mercyhurst Lakers on 26 February 2026. The spread line of -14.5 gives Temple a slim 18% chance to cover, while the over-145 line has a 43% probability of hitting. The game carries a 5% chance of overtime, and the projected total of 142.4 points sits just below the over line, suggesting a tightly contested finish.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 70.8 | 71.8 | 142.6 | -1.0 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.2 | 71.6 | 145.8 | +2.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 73.2 | 75.2 | 148.5 | -2.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (12) | 68.8 | 74.4 | 143.2 | -5.7 | 17% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 76.8 | 67.3 | 144.1 | +9.5 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 70.3 | 70.6 | 140.9 | -0.3 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.6 | 71.8 | 139.4 | -4.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (13) | 68.3 | 74.2 | 142.5 | -5.9 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 78.1 | 68.4 | 146.4 | +9.7 | 76% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 68 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.0 | 31.7 | 65.7 | +2.3 | 57% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 35.6 | 31.4 | 67.0 | +4.2 | 69% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 32.2 | 32.1 | 64.3 | +0.1 | 43% | 14% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.4 | 31.8 | 65.2 | +1.6 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 33.2 | 69.4 | +3.0 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 33.2 | 33.5 | 66.8 | -0.2 | 75% | 25% |
| vs Similar (12) | 33.2 | 33.2 | 66.4 | +0.1 | 50% | 42% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 34.9 | 29.9 | 64.9 | +5.0 | 57% | 21% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 68 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.7 | 32.9 | 67.6 | +1.7 | 63% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.0 | 32.6 | 71.6 | +6.4 | 79% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 30.9 | 33.2 | 64.1 | -2.3 | 50% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.5 | 30.3 | 64.8 | +4.2 | 80% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.0 | 30.4 | 63.4 | +2.6 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (13) | 31.5 | 34.9 | 66.5 | -3.4 | 46% | 46% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 37.1 | 31.4 | 68.5 | +5.6 | 76% | 35% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Connecticut State +13 | 78.7% | 2.13 | 2.22 | 2.05 | - | - | - | +35.9pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +12.5 | 76.6% | 2.20 | 2.32 | 2.15 | 2.12 | - | - | +35.7pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +11 | 73.1% | 2.50 | 2.50 | - | - | - | - | +35.6pp | Lost |
| Central Connecticut State +13.5 | 79.2% | 2.06 | 2.12 | 2.05 | 2.00 | - | - | +34.4pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +12 | 76.0% | 2.22 | 2.22 | - | - | - | - | +34.4pp | Push |
| Central Connecticut State +10.5 | 70.9% | 2.54 | 2.55 | 2.52 | - | - | - | +34.3pp | Lost |
| Central Connecticut State +14 | 81.1% | 1.98 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 1.95 | - | - | +34.2pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +11.5 | 73.9% | 2.31 | 2.32 | 2.30 | - | - | - | +33.9pp | Lost |
| Central Connecticut State +14.5 | 81.6% | 1.89 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.85 | +32.2pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +15 | 83.4% | 1.83 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.80 | - | - | +31.4pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +15.5 | 83.8% | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.76 | +29.7pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +16 | 85.4% | 1.71 | 1.77 | 1.69 | 1.66 | - | - | +29.3pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +17 | 87.3% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +28.4pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +16.5 | 85.7% | 1.66 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.62 | - | +27.8pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +17.5 | 87.5% | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +27.6pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +18 | 88.9% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +26.4pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +18.5 | 89.1% | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +26.2pp | Won |
| Temple under 80 | 75.3% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +25.3pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +19 | 90.4% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +24.7pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +19.5 | 90.6% | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +24.6pp | Won |
| Temple under 81.5 | 79.0% | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.65 | - | - | - | +24.0pp | Won |
| Temple under 80.5 | 76.1% | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.79 | 1.78 | - | - | +23.9pp | Won |
| Temple under 79.5 | 72.9% | 1.87 | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.85 | +23.4pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +20 | 91.7% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +22.8pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +20.5 | 91.8% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +22.6pp | Won |
| Temple under 79 | 72.0% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +22.2pp | Won |
| Temple under 83.5 | 84.2% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +21.2pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +21 | 92.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +21.0pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +21.5 | 93.0% | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Temple under 82.5 | 81.7% | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +23 | 94.8% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +20.0pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +22.5 | 93.9% | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +19.7pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +23.5 | 94.8% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +19.5pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State +22 | 93.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State over 63.5 | 70.3% | 1.74 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.60 | - | - | +18.8pp | Lost |
| Temple under 84.5 | 86.5% | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +18.7pp | Won |
| Temple under 85.5 | 88.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +17.9pp | Won |
| Temple under 86.5 | 90.3% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State over 60.5 | 79.6% | 1.39 | 1.44 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Central Connecticut State over 62.5 | 73.6% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Lost |
| Central Connecticut State over 59.5 | 82.3% | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Lost |
| Temple under 88.5 | 93.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State over 61.5 | 76.7% | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.44 | 1.40 | - | - | +12.2pp | Lost |
| Temple under 89.5 | 94.4% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State over 57.5 | 86.9% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Lost |
| Central Connecticut State over 58.5 | 84.7% | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.20 | - | - | +11.0pp | Lost |
| Temple under 90.5 | 95.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State over 56.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Central Connecticut State over 55.5 | 90.6% | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.10 | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Under 151.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Under 151 | 70.8% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Under 152.5 | 73.4% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Under 152 | 72.9% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Under 153 | 74.9% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Under 153.5 | 75.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | - |
| Under 170.5 | 95.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Under 165.5 | 91.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 94.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Under 155.5 | 78.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 89.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Under 160.5 | 86.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 83.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Over 118.5 | 92.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Over 120.5 | 90.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Won |
| Over 123.5 | 87.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Over 125.5 | 84.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Lost |
| Over 128.5 | 79.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -6.3pp | Lost |
| Temple over 62.5 | 85.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -6.6pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State under 79.5 | 84.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -7.2pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 70.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -7.7pp | Lost |
| Over 130.5 | 76.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -8.2pp | Lost |
| Temple over 63.5 | 83.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -8.3pp | Won |
| Temple over 64.5 | 80.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -10.1pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State under 77.5 | 79.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -10.9pp | Won |
| Temple over 65.5 | 77.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -12.3pp | Won |
| Central Connecticut State under 75.5 | 73.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -12.6pp | Won |
| Temple over 66.5 | 74.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -13.8pp | Won |
| Temple +4.5 | 76.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -16.1pp | Won |
| Temple over 67.5 | 71.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -16.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 | A | Florida Atlantic | 59-63 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Tulsa | 76-78 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Tulane | 89-60 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Rice | 74-80 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Florida Atlantic | 73-77 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Wichita State | 57-69 |
| 19/02/26 | H | UAB | 71-76 |
| 15/02/26 | H | North Texas | 62-65 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Tulane | 66-77 |
| 07/02/26 | A | East Carolina | 81-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 | H | Wagner | 60-70 |
| 28/02/26 | H | St. Francis (PA) | 69-64 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Mercyhurst Lakers | 80-78 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Chicago State | 51-70 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Le Moyne | 78-77 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson | 63-57 |
| 13/02/26 | A | New Haven Chargers | 81-76 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Wagner | 84-67 |
| 06/02/26 | H | Chicago State | 78-67 |
| 31/01/26 | H | LIU Sharks | 59-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 145 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 145 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 127.0 | 42.0 | +85.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 56.0 | +54.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 47.0 | +49.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 51.0 | +46.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 73.0 | +44.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 57.0 | +38.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 113.0 | 76.0 | +37.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 53.0 | +37.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 46.0 | +32.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 115.0 | 83.0 | +32.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 54.0 | +28.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 99.0 | 78.0 | +21.0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 74.0 | +21.0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 68.0 | +16.0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 63.0 | 49.0 | +14.0 | |
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 77.0 | 67.0 | +10.0 | |
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 76.0 | +8.0 | |
| 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 98.0 | +5.0 | |
| 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 73.0 | +3.0 | |
| 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 | |
| 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 85.0 | +1.0 | |
| 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 85.0 | 86.0 | -1.0 | |
| 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 89.0 | -2.0 | |
| 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 | |
| 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 76.0 | -3.0 | |
| 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 | |
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 84.0 | -8.0 | |
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 67.0 | 77.0 | -10.0 | |
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 49.0 | 63.0 | -14.0 | |
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 72.0 | -15.0 | |
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 68.0 | 84.0 | -16.0 | |
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 99.0 | -21.0 | |
| 37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 74.0 | 95.0 | -21.0 | |
| 38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 54.0 | 82.0 | -28.0 | |
| 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 94.0 | -30.0 | |
| 40 | Carnegie Mellon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 46.0 | 78.0 | -32.0 |
| 41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 83.0 | 115.0 | -32.0 | |
| 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 113.0 | -37.0 | |
| 43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 53.0 | 90.0 | -37.0 | |
| 44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 95.0 | -38.0 | |
| 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 94.0 | -39.0 | |
| 46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 117.0 | -44.0 | |
| 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 51.0 | 97.0 | -46.0 | |
| 48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 96.0 | -49.0 | |
| 49 | North American Stallions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 110.0 | -54.0 |
| 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 42.0 | 127.0 | -85.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 32 | 68 | |
| 16 | 40 | 56 |
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