Temple hosts Charleston on 11 November 2026 in a low-scoring NCAA showdown where the Pythia model foresees a tight contest, with both teams' defenses poised to limit the pace. Temple, 1-1 overall, averages 60.5 points and allows 67.5, while Charleston, 2-0 overall, scores 111.5 and concedes 60.5, placing the Tigers fourth in the league. Temple's last five games include a 68-56 win over Central Connecticut State and a 53-79 loss to Richmond Spiders, whereas Charleston's recent slate features 112-66 and 111-55 victories over Newberry and Southern W., and a 56-81 defeat to Towson. The Pythia model names Temple as the favourite with a 64% chance of victory against Charleston's 36%, projecting a 76-72 score and a 147.4 total. The home line of -1.0 carries a 63% probability of covering, while the over on 153.5 carries a 35% chance, and a 5% overtime likelihood is noted. With defenses primed and the Tigers' recent win-loss balance slightly ahead, the game is set to hinge on a few key possessions.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Temple winLost
64.3%fair 1.56
Best odds2.05
Implied47.3%
Edge+17.0pp
Charleston winWon
35.7%fair 2.80
Best odds1.83
Implied52.7%
Edge-17.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Temple) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153Actual: Over 153
Over 153
35.8%
@ 1.78-18.9pp
Under 153
64.2%
@ 2.15+18.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.78
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathon Be
1.68
Bet365
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathon Be
1.95
SBO
1.93
Over/Under 158 · main lineActual: Over 158
Over 158
25.2%
@ 2.12-25.1pp
Under 158
74.8%
@ 1.92+25.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.12
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Bet365
1.64
Over/Under 163Actual: Over 163
Over 163
16.7%
@ 3.00-14.4pp
Under 163
83.3%
@ 1.35+14.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Under
Bet365
1.35
📊 3. Team Totals
Temple total 73Actual: Temple over 73
Over 73
61.1%
Under 73
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Temple total 77 · main lineActual: Temple over 77
Over 77
45.0%
@ 1.85-5.0pp
Under 77
55.0%
@ 1.85+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Temple total 81Push
Over 81
29.6%
Under 81
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleston total 72.5Actual: Charleston over 72.5
Over 72.5
46.3%
@ 1.31-25.3pp
Under 72.5
53.7%
@ 3.75+25.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.25
Betano
2.90
Charleston total 76.5 · main lineActual: Charleston over 76.5
Over 76.5
31.6%
@ 1.85-24.4pp
Under 76.5
68.4%
@ 2.50+24.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.30
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.85
Charleston total 80.5Actual: Charleston over 80.5
Over 80.5
19.5%
@ 2.38-28.3pp
Under 80.5
80.5%
@ 1.81+28.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.53
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Temple -1.5Actual: Charleston +1.5
TEMP -1.5
61.5%
@ 2.20+17.8pp
CHAR +1.5
38.5%
@ 1.81-17.8pp
Best 5 market prices
TEMP
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.07
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.88
CHAR
SBO
1.81
BetVictor
1.75
Bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathon Be
1.69
Spread Temple +1.5 · main lineActual: Charleston -1.5
TEMP +1.5
66.9%
@ 1.94+17.3pp
CHAR -1.5
33.1%
@ 1.91-17.3pp
Best 5 market prices
TEMP
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
CHAR
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Spread Temple +4.5Actual: Charleston -4.5
TEMP +4.5
76.4%
@ 1.55+15.8pp
CHAR -4.5
23.6%
@ 2.45-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
TEMP
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
CHAR
Bet365
2.45
Betano
2.27
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
TempleCharleston
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Charleston under 79.5
77.7%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
+28.7pp
Lost
Charleston under 78.5
74.8%
1.92
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.00
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
-
+28.4pp
Lost
Charleston under 80.5
80.5%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.53
-
+28.3pp
Lost
Charleston under 79
77.1%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+27.1pp
Lost
Under 156
70.8%
1.91
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.77
-
-
+26.9pp
Lost
Under 157
72.8%
1.88
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathon Bet
1.89
SBO
1.88
Bet365
1.71
-
+26.0pp
Lost
Under 156.5
71.4%
1.90
Pinnacle
2.09
WilliamHill
2.00
Betano
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92
1xBet
1.83
+25.9pp
Lost
Under 158
74.8%
1.81
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
Bet365
1.64
-
+25.1pp
Lost
Under 157.5
73.4%
1.88
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.88
+24.8pp
Lost
Under 159
76.7%
1.70
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.57
-
-
+24.3pp
Lost
Under 158.5
75.3%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.81
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.77
+24.2pp
Lost
Charleston under 78
74.0%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
+24.0pp
Lost
Under 160
78.5%
1.63
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.50
-
-
+23.9pp
Lost
Under 159.5
77.1%
1.68
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.54
-
+23.7pp
Lost
Charleston under 77.5
71.7%
1.90
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
+22.1pp
Lost
Charleston under 77
70.7%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+21.0pp
Lost
Under 165.5
86.3%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+19.5pp
Lost
Under 160.5
78.9%
1.54
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+18.3pp
Lost
Under 164.5
85.0%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Lost
Under 161.5
80.5%
1.48
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Lost
Under 162.5
82.1%
1.44
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Lost
Under 163.5
83.6%
1.39
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+16.5pp
Lost
Temple +2.5
70.7%
1.74
SBO
1.81
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.68
+16.3pp
Lost
Temple +3
72.6%
1.66
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Lost
Under 161
80.2%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Lost
Temple +4.5
76.4%
1.54
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
Under 162
81.8%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Lost
Temple +5.5
79.1%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Lost
Temple +3.5
73.4%
1.61
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.58
-
+15.3pp
Lost
Temple +6.5
81.6%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Lost
Temple +4
75.6%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Lost
Temple +5
78.5%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Lost
Temple +6
81.2%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Lost
Under 163
83.3%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+14.4pp
Lost
Temple +7.5
83.9%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+14.4pp
Lost
Temple +8.5
85.9%
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Lost
Temple +7
83.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
Temple +8
85.6%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Lost
Temple +9.5
87.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Lost
Temple +9
87.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Lost
Temple +10.5
89.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+11.6pp
Won
Temple under 81.5
71.4%
1.50
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Temple +14.5
94.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Won
Temple +15.5
95.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Temple under 82.5
74.6%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Temple under 83.5
77.7%
1.32
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Temple +20.5
97.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Temple +19.5
97.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Temple under 85.5
83.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Temple under 84.5
80.5%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Temple under 87.5
87.6%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Under 168.5
89.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Lost
Temple +24.5
98.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
Temple under 95.5
97.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Temple under 93.5
95.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Temple under 89.5
91.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Temple under 91.5
93.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Temple under 94.5
96.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Under 178.5
96.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
Temple under 92.5
94.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.9%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+5.3pp
-
Under 173.5
93.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Temple under 90.5
92.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Temple under 88.5
89.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Temple under 96.5
97.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Temple under 86.5
85.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Temple under 97.5
98.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Charleston +24.5
95.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Charleston +20.5
92.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Charleston +19.5
90.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Charleston +15.5
84.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Charleston +14.5
81.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Charleston over 58.5
89.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Over 128.5
87.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.9pp
Won
Charleston +10.5
71.3%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-6.5pp
Won
Charleston over 60.5
86.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Over 133.5
79.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-9.6pp
Won
Charleston over 62.5
81.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-10.4pp
Won
Over 138.5
70.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-14.3pp
Won
Charleston over 64.5
75.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-14.8pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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