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Tennessee State vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 82-91
37-44 45-47
Position#51
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#110
Record5-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee State v Southeast Missouri State
20 Dec 2025
TENN82
SOUT91
02 Jan 2025
TENN65
SOUT67
02 Mar 2023
TENN83
SOUT91
09 Feb 2023
TENN85
SOUT65
08 Jan 2022
TENN95
SOUT84
19 Jan 2021
TENN59
SOUT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
114-76
114
76
+38
H12/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H29/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A04/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A14/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
47-53
55-38
59-38
43-51
39-44
21-43
39-46
34-40
41-33
42-38
56-39
42-33
28-31
27-32
26-48
29-33
34-27
32-37
46-34
154.4Avg total
77.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.474.7154.1+4.664%
Season at home (4)97.868.5166.2+29.2100%
Season away (7)68.978.3147.1-9.443%
Last 10 (10)77.277.2154.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.470.4142.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.482.0160.4-3.642%
vs Weaker (18)77.766.4144.2+11.383%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
87-41
87
41
+46
H13/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A19/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A26/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H29/11
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#473
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H03/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A06/12
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-22
41-19
29-41
43-43
25-49
45-50
29-31
55-37
29-39
43-40
30-38
47-50
50-32
38-25
44-46
30-24
46-22
42-43
35-34
39-51
152.2Avg total
78.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.176.4154.5+1.742%
Season at home (5)82.467.0149.4+15.460%
Season away (7)75.083.1158.1-8.129%
Last 10 (10)78.673.6152.2+5.050%
Last 5 (5)80.273.0153.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.791.7161.3-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.878.5154.3-2.750%
vs Weaker (20)75.665.5141.1+10.070%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +4.1+4.1
Tennessee StateSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A14/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H19/12
NCAA
73.6Avg total
35.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.568.8+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.131.170.2+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)33.833.767.5+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.973.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.669.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.035.470.4-0.442%-
vs Weaker (18)37.130.667.7+6.678%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H13/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A19/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/11
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#473
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/12
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.167.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.329.664.9+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)34.834.569.3+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.471.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.475.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.744.774.3-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.237.574.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (20)34.528.663.0+5.965%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HUT Martin78-71
14/12/25AUNLV63-60
04/12/25AAlabama A&M Bulldogs53-80
30/11/25AChattanooga Mocs70-64
29/11/25HWesleyan Univ.98-77
25/11/25AUNC Asheville75-73
21/11/25ATennessee60-89
16/11/25AWestern Kentucky82-95
12/11/25HOakwood Ambassadors114-76
09/11/25ABelmont79-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25ATennessee Tech74-85
14/12/25HSt. Xavier88-65
06/12/25AChattanooga Mocs74-70
03/12/25HSMWC Pomeroys88-57
29/11/25HLipscomb77-88
27/11/25ANorthern Arizona72-79
26/11/25ACal Poly84-68
19/11/25AIowa70-99
15/11/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)72-84
13/11/25HWebster Gorloks87-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%100%43%
Points / game79.497.868.9
Allowed / game74.768.578.3
Point differential+4.6+29.2-9.4
Avg total154.1166.2147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game78.182.475.0
Allowed / game76.467.083.1
Point differential+1.7+15.4-8.1
Avg total154.5149.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin139469%76.366.2+10.2
2 Lindenwood128467%84.671.6+13.0
3 Tennessee State117464%79.474.7+4.6
4 Siu Edwardsville127558%77.866.9+10.8
5 Tennessee Tech136746%79.778.2+1.5
6 Southeast Missouri State125742%78.176.4+1.7
7 Morehead State114736%76.380.8-4.5
8 Western Illinois124833%68.875.9-7.1
9 Southern Indiana113827%72.677.6-5.0
10 Eastern Illinois113827%62.376.4-14.1
11 UALR123925%66.278.2-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State374582
Southeast Missouri State444791
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