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UNLV vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 60-63
33-29 27-34
Position#192
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#51
Record5-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A14/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
76-115
76
115
-39
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
29-34
43-39
38-47
47-36
54-33
45-47
48-55
49-36
43-42
45-40
54-45
30-27
37-47
36-51
40-64
39-33
26-47
38-39
37-35
164.0Avg total
80.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.284.8168.0-1.644%
Season at home (4)93.585.5179.0+8.050%
Season away (5)75.084.2159.2-9.240%
Last 10 (10)80.783.3164.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)76.485.6162.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.576.7144.2-9.223%
vs Similar (9)83.275.3158.6+7.978%
vs Weaker (8)66.961.8128.6+5.162%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
101-50
101
50
+51
H04/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
114-76
114
76
+38
H12/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H29/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
37-29
47-16
54-34
32-34
47-53
55-38
59-38
43-51
39-44
21-43
39-46
34-40
41-33
42-38
56-39
42-33
28-31
27-32
26-48
156.3Avg total
80.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.376.8158.1+4.656%
Season at home (3)104.367.7172.0+36.7100%
Season away (6)69.881.3151.2-11.533%
Last 10 (10)80.176.2156.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)71.276.6147.8-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)77.381.7159.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.067.2145.2+10.878%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
UNLVTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A14/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H05/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H12/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/12
NCAA
78.5Avg total
40.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.967.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.132.168.1+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)33.233.666.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.478.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.236.568.6-4.323%-
vs Similar (9)40.834.975.7+5.967%-
vs Weaker (8)31.524.956.4+6.675%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
47-16
47
16
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
37.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.368.4+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.730.769.4+8.086%-
Last 30 away (16)33.933.667.5+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.774.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.237.270.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)34.634.969.5-0.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.230.567.7+6.778%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UNLV wins
0
Tennessee State wins
No previous meetings.
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AStanford75-74
27/11/25ARutgers65-80
26/11/25AAlabama76-115
25/11/25AMaryland67-74
21/11/25HSaint Josephs Hawks99-85
16/11/25AMemphis92-78
12/11/25HMontana93-102
09/11/25HChattanooga Mocs101-69
05/11/25HUT Martin81-86
14/03/25AUtah State58-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AAlabama A&M Bulldogs53-80
30/11/25AChattanooga Mocs70-64
29/11/25HWesleyan Univ.98-77
25/11/25AUNC Asheville75-73
21/11/25ATennessee60-89
16/11/25AWestern Kentucky82-95
12/11/25HOakwood Ambassadors114-76
09/11/25ABelmont79-87
04/11/25HFisk101-50
08/03/25ASiu Edwardsville69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game83.293.575.0
Allowed / game84.885.584.2
Point differential-1.6+8.0-9.2
Avg total168.0179.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%100%33%
Points / game81.3104.369.8
Allowed / game76.867.781.3
Point differential+4.6+36.7-11.5
Avg total158.1172.0151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State109190%84.567.6+16.9
2 Wyoming108280%88.071.7+16.3
3 Colorado State108280%83.971.2+12.7
4 New Mexico108280%82.169.9+12.2
5 Boise State107370%79.069.7+9.3
6 Nevada107370%77.372.7+4.6
7 San Diego State85362%81.976.5+5.4
8 Grand Canyon106460%74.967.7+7.2
9 Fresno State116555%76.571.5+5.0
10 San Jose State115645%75.773.8+1.9
11 UNLV94544%83.284.8-1.6
12 Air Force113827%66.273.5-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin107370%73.966.8+7.1
2 Siu Edwardsville106460%76.467.3+9.1
3 Lindenwood106460%81.473.1+8.3
4 Tennessee State95456%81.376.8+4.6
5 Tennessee Tech115645%80.877.9+2.9
6 Southeast Missouri State104640%77.576.7+0.8
7 Western Illinois114736%68.274.5-6.3
8 Southern Indiana103730%73.777.7-4.0
9 Morehead State103730%76.182.5-6.4
10 Eastern Illinois92722%61.876.7-14.9
11 UALR102820%65.379.9-14.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV332760
Tennessee State293463
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