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Tennessee vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-62
34-27 49-35
Position#67
Record7-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#53
Record9-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H08/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H13/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H21/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-21
43-40
52-31
43-25
47-30
52-36
39-26
52-40
43-21
46-39
56-30
29-30
35-39
41-34
41-34
35-47
30-32
30-30
34-32
28-43
146.9Avg total
80.9Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.966.0146.9+14.970%
Season at home (8)84.165.6149.8+18.575%
Season away (2)68.067.5135.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.966.0146.9+14.970%
Last 5 (5)71.870.2142.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.869.4135.2-3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.267.4142.7+7.867%
vs Weaker (13)77.564.8142.3+12.685%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
104-45
104
45
+59
H04/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H15/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A21/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
87-46
87
46
+41
H25/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
104-47
104
47
+57
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
59-15
45-30
55-35
51-35
53-46
43-42
59-44
47-37
28-32
46-32
33-17
54-29
52-20
52-27
29-47
51-42
41-27
46-51
57-37
42-36
162.4Avg total
94.3Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)94.368.1162.4+26.290%
Season at home (8)98.666.0164.6+32.6100%
Season away (2)77.076.5153.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)94.368.1162.4+26.290%
Last 5 (5)91.466.6158.0+24.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.073.0135.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.676.3156.9+4.371%
vs Weaker (22)86.266.1152.3+20.195%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: +14.6+14.62nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +11.6+11.6
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: +14.6+14.62nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +11.6+11.6
TennesseeLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H08/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H18/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H21/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H24/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
41.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.465.6+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.829.767.5+8.279%-
Last 30 away (11)30.531.662.2-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.029.670.6+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.472.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.633.060.6-5.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.129.564.6+5.658%-
vs Weaker (13)38.230.268.4+7.977%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
59-15
59
15
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H15/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H25/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
52-20
52
20
+32
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H13/12
NCAA
78.6Avg total
46.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.630.772.3+10.987%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.030.674.6+13.489%-
Last 30 away (11)37.530.868.3+6.682%-
Last 10 (10)46.632.078.6+14.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.429.672.0+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.033.071.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.436.173.6+1.371%-
vs Weaker (22)43.128.871.9+14.391%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tennessee wins
0
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Louisville v Tennessee55-77
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HIllinois62-75
03/12/25ASyracuse60-62
27/11/25HKansas76-81
25/11/25AHouston76-73
24/11/25HRutgers85-60
21/11/25HTennessee State89-60
18/11/25HRice91-66
13/11/25HNorth Florida99-66
08/11/25HNorthern Kentucky95-56
04/11/25HMercer76-61
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HMemphis99-73
06/12/25HIndiana87-78
04/12/25AArkansas80-89
27/11/25HNJIT104-47
25/11/25HEastern Michigan87-46
21/11/25ACincinnati74-64
15/11/25HOhio106-81
12/11/25HKentucky96-88
07/11/25HJackson State106-70
04/11/25HSouth Carolina St104-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL70%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %70%75%50%
Points / game80.984.168.0
Allowed / game66.065.667.5
Point differential+14.9+18.5+0.5
Avg total146.9149.8135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %90%100%50%
Points / game94.398.677.0
Allowed / game68.166.076.5
Point differential+26.2+32.6+0.5
Avg total162.4164.6153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt10100100%95.472.9+22.5
2 Georgia109190%98.370.6+27.7
3 LSU109190%88.570.6+17.9
4 Missouri1210283%86.869.8+16.9
5 Arkansas108280%88.172.5+15.6
6 Texas A&M118373%92.976.7+16.2
7 Auburn118373%86.576.8+9.6
8 Tennessee107370%80.966.0+14.9
9 Alabama107370%93.180.9+12.2
10 South Carolina107370%80.168.2+11.9
11 Oklahoma107370%84.775.1+9.6
12 Kentucky117464%84.366.4+17.9
13 Texas117464%86.773.0+13.7
14 Florida106460%82.072.2+9.8
15 Ole Miss106460%74.967.9+7.0
16 Mississippi St.106460%80.376.5+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke11110100%87.760.8+26.9
2 California1110191%82.669.2+13.5
3 Louisville109190%94.368.1+26.2
4 North Carolina109190%81.164.7+16.4
5 Virginia Tech1210283%83.271.9+11.2
6 Miami (FL)119282%87.366.5+20.7
7 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
8 SMU Mustangs119282%88.677.2+11.5
9 Stanford108280%82.373.2+9.1
10 Notre Dame129375%77.368.1+9.2
11 Clemson118373%81.866.4+15.5
12 Wake Forest118373%86.672.7+13.9
13 NC State117464%87.673.1+14.5
14 Syracuse106460%72.665.0+7.6
15 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
16 Florida State105550%85.380.9+4.4
17 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
18 Pittsburgh115645%70.870.2+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee344983
Louisville273562
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