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Cincinnati vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 64-74
32-28 32-46
Position#161
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game61.0
Cincinnati
USA
vs
Louisville 🏆
USA
Position#53
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cincinnati v Louisville
21 Nov 2025
CINC64
LOUI74
23 Nov 2022
CINC81
LOUI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
30-41
25-37
39-36
25-22
24-32
36-44
31-34
38-26
49-42
24-33
32-43
49-28
45-35
39-30
35-34
33-26
41-36
30-36
42-19
136.6Avg total
70.6Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.561.0139.5+17.5100%
Season at home (4)78.561.0139.5+17.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.666.0136.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)74.064.0138.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.375.6141.9-9.314%
vs Similar (12)61.864.0125.8-2.242%
vs Weaker (11)78.664.7143.4+13.991%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H06/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H13/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A16/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H20/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
104-45
104
45
+59
H04/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
44-42
33-18
35-30
30-33
45-40
33-28
43-45
38-33
24-40
34-49
41-40
59-15
45-30
55-35
51-35
53-46
43-42
59-44
47-37
156.1Avg total
85.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)103.071.0174.0+32.0100%
Season at home (4)103.071.0174.0+32.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.370.8156.1+14.580%
Last 5 (5)97.474.6172.0+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.073.0135.0-11.00%
vs Similar (8)81.576.0157.5+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.967.7151.6+16.195%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +10.8+10.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +10.8+10.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
CincinnatiLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#149
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H16/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.564.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.130.864.9+3.365%-
Last 30 away (13)30.332.562.8-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.864.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.665.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.637.167.7-6.60%-
vs Similar (12)29.529.859.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)36.929.966.8+7.082%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H06/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A16/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H20/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
59-15
59
15
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H15/11
NCAA
76.2Avg total
43.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.031.772.7+9.387%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.732.475.1+10.283%-
Last 30 away (12)38.630.669.2+8.092%-
Last 10 (10)43.532.776.2+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)52.037.889.8+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.033.071.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (8)38.835.474.1+3.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.030.272.3+11.890%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cincinnati wins
0
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
24/11/22Cincinnati v Louisville81-62
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HMount St. Mary's72-55
12/11/25HDayton74-62
08/11/25HGeorgia State74-64
04/11/25HWestern Carolina94-63
12/03/25AIowa State56-76
11/03/25AOklahoma State87-68
08/03/25AOklahoma State67-78
06/03/25HKansas State49-54
01/03/25AHouston64-73
26/02/25HBaylor69-67
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HOhio106-81
12/11/25HKentucky96-88
07/11/25HJackson State106-70
04/11/25HSouth Carolina St104-45
20/03/25HCreighton75-89
16/03/25ADuke62-73
15/03/25HClemson76-73
13/03/25HStanford75-73
08/03/25HStanford68-48
06/03/25HCalifornia85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+17.5+17.5-
Avg total139.5139.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+32.0+32.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston550100%76.453.4+23.0
2 Oklahoma State550100%92.873.0+19.8
3 West Virginia550100%72.854.8+18.0
4 Cincinnati440100%78.561.0+17.5
5 Kansas State550100%94.478.2+16.2
6 Arizona550100%82.067.0+15.0
7 Baylor330100%89.377.0+12.3
8 Colorado440100%94.282.2+12.0
9 UCF Knights65183%87.077.8+9.2
10 Utah Utes65183%86.380.2+6.2
11 Brigham Young54180%87.268.6+18.6
12 Texas Tech54180%87.472.8+14.6
13 Arizona State54180%77.069.0+8.0
14 Iowa State43175%91.566.2+25.2
15 TCU53260%80.063.6+16.4
16 Kansas53260%77.463.8+13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke550100%92.460.2+32.2
2 Louisville440100%103.071.0+32.0
3 NC State440100%100.869.8+31.0
4 Syracuse440100%81.553.2+28.2
5 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
6 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
7 SMU Mustangs550100%92.074.0+18.0
8 Stanford440100%87.570.2+17.2
9 Virginia65183%83.371.7+11.7
10 Clemson54180%84.658.6+26.0
11 Miami (FL)54180%91.269.0+22.2
12 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
13 Notre Dame54180%83.667.6+16.0
14 California54180%84.069.6+14.4
15 Georgia Tech54180%71.063.0+8.0
16 Pittsburgh64267%71.763.8+7.8
17 Wake Forest53260%89.076.6+12.4
18 Boston College63350%66.862.0+4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati323264
Louisville284674
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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