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Tennessee vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 79-70
34-31 45-39
Position#33
Record7-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#94
Record7-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tennessee v NC State
06 Dec 2026
TENN v NC S
upcoming
16 Dec 2023
TENN79
NC S70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
80-42
80
42
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H14/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
92-100
92
100
-8
A30/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-12
39-30
43-35
37-35
36-31
46-30
30-25
43-31
31-30
36-41
35-35
25-34
39-61
53-39
39-26
48-40
34-36
52-43
49-21
25-35
145.1Avg total
78.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.167.0145.1+11.170%
Season at home (5)81.860.8142.6+21.0100%
Season away (5)74.473.2147.6+1.240%
Last 10 (10)78.167.0145.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)79.874.0153.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.073.7148.7+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)69.660.7130.3+8.962%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A17/03
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
37-44
36-27
36-32
47-29
37-35
42-23
45-30
43-33
41-45
43-38
43-57
27-35
25-37
36-33
32-35
37-25
56-36
46-35
35-32
148.5Avg total
78.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.369.7150.0+10.778%
Season at home (5)83.460.8144.2+22.6100%
Season away (4)76.580.8157.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)78.669.9148.5+8.770%
Last 5 (5)79.274.6153.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)86.095.0181.0-9.00%
vs Similar (15)71.374.2145.5-2.947%
vs Weaker (14)82.767.5150.2+15.293%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
TennesseeNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
41-12
41
12
+29
H06/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A30/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H13/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
37.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.028.961.9+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.126.360.4+7.876%-
Last 30 away (13)31.732.364.0-0.654%-
Last 10 (10)37.731.268.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.334.367.7-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)33.027.560.5+5.471%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#83
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A17/03
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H13/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
38.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.769.9+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.332.173.5+9.287%-
Last 30 away (15)33.233.266.4+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.330.668.9+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.271.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.038.081.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (15)34.032.466.4+1.647%-
vs Weaker (14)40.432.672.9+7.879%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tennessee wins
0
NC State wins
No previous meetings.
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HGeorgia Southern74-56
09/12/23HIllinois86-79
05/12/23HGeorge Mason87-66
30/11/23ANorth Carolina92-100
22/11/23AKansas60-69
22/11/23APurdue67-71
20/11/23ASyracuse73-56
14/11/23HWofford82-61
11/11/23AWisconsin80-70
06/11/23HTennessee Tech80-42
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HUT Martin81-67
07/12/23HMd.-East. Shore93-61
02/12/23ABoston College84-78 OT
29/11/23AOle Miss52-72
25/11/23ABrigham Young86-95
24/11/23AVanderbilt84-78
18/11/23HCharleston Southern87-53
11/11/23HAbilene Christian84-64
07/11/23HCitadel72-59
17/03/23ACreighton63-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game78.181.874.4
Allowed / game67.060.873.2
Point differential+11.1+21.0+1.2
Avg total145.1142.6147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game80.383.476.5
Allowed / game69.760.880.8
Point differential+10.7+22.6-4.2
Avg total150.0144.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma10100100%84.461.3+23.1
2 Ole Miss10100100%74.867.8+7.0
3 South Carolina109190%74.565.3+9.2
4 Kentucky108280%90.273.5+16.7
5 Mississippi St.108280%76.463.9+12.5
6 Texas108280%80.768.2+12.5
7 Auburn97278%82.366.2+16.1
8 Tennessee107370%78.167.0+11.1
9 Florida107370%82.372.8+9.5
10 Missouri107370%74.367.8+6.5
11 Georgia107370%71.568.7+2.8
12 Texas A&M117464%75.669.1+6.5
13 Arkansas117464%80.175.5+4.6
14 Alabama106460%92.177.6+14.5
15 LSU116555%74.170.5+3.5
16 Vanderbilt104640%68.473.0-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia109190%66.853.3+13.5
2 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
3 NC State97278%80.369.7+10.7
4 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
5 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
6 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
7 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
8 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
9 North Carolina107370%84.975.0+9.9
10 Syracuse107370%77.270.8+6.4
11 Wake Forest96367%79.069.4+9.6
12 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
13 SMU Mustangs117464%73.862.8+11.0
14 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
15 Florida State94544%75.774.6+1.1
16 Louisville104640%73.474.7-1.3
17 Notre Dame104640%64.667.8-3.2
18 California103730%76.576.8-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee344579
NC State313970
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